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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 31, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 78% of the time.

BUF winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:41Shot by Kucherov, saved by Enroth
  3. P1 1:34Shot by Girgensons, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 6:50Shot by Flynn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 7:39Shot by Stralman, saved by Enroth
  6. P1 7:48Goal by Carle (Palat)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Moulson, Ennis, Pysyk, Girgensons · TBL Carle, Stralman, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov

  7. P1 8:44Shot by Hodgson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 10:59Killorn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Meszaros, Weber, Ennis, Girgensons · TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stralman, Killorn, Hedman

  9. P1 12:33Goal by Ennis (Zadorov, Moulson)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Stafford, Ennis, Girgensons, Zadorov · TBL Stralman, Johnson, Hedman, Palat

  10. P1 13:22Kaleta: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McCormick, Gorges, Kaleta, Larsson, Pysyk · TBL Carle, Stamkos, Paquette, Sustr, Drouin

  11. P1 15:28Shot by Connolly, saved by Enroth
  12. P1 18:16Shot by Stamkos, saved by Enroth
  13. P1 18:48Shot by Carle, saved by Enroth
  14. P1 0:00Period end
  15. P2 0:00Period start
  16. P2 5:00Shot by Palat, saved by Enroth
  17. P2 5:03Killorn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Meszaros, Weber, Ennis, Girgensons · TBL Filppula, Carle, Callahan, Killorn, Barberio

  18. P2 5:11Shot by Ennis, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  19. P2 6:29Shot by Meszaros, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  20. P2 7:15Shot by Kaleta, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P2 8:22Shot by Zadorov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P2 11:17Shot by Ennis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P2 12:17Shot by Palat, saved by Enroth
  24. P2 14:52Shot by Boyle, saved by Enroth
  25. P2 16:49Shot by Barberio, saved by Enroth
  26. P2 17:04Shot by Hodgson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 18:09Deslauriers: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Stafford, Meszaros, Weber, Deslauriers, Flynn · TBL Filppula, Callahan, Killorn, Hedman, Sustr

  28. P2 19:02Goal by Palat (Johnson, Kucherov)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Strachan, Kaleta, Flynn · TBL Stralman, Johnson, Connolly, Palat, Kucherov

  29. P2 0:00Period end
  30. P3 0:00Period start
  31. P3 3:11Deslauriers: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Stafford, Deslauriers, Flynn, Zadorov · TBL Carle, Barberio, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov

  32. P3 5:05Shot by Connolly, saved by Enroth4v5
  33. P3 5:14Shot by Stralman, saved by Enroth
  34. P3 5:20Goal by Connolly (Stralman, Palat)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Deslauriers, Flynn, Girgensons, Zadorov · TBL Stralman, Johnson, Connolly, Palat, Kucherov

  35. P3 7:30Shot by Drouin, saved by Enroth
  36. P3 8:38Shot by Johnson, saved by Enroth
  37. P3 8:40Goal by Kucherov (Johnson, Stralman)+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Moulson, Ennis, Girgensons, Zadorov · TBL Stralman, Barberio, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov

  38. P3 8:50Shot by Callahan, saved by Enroth
  39. P3 9:25Shot by Hedman, saved by Enroth
  40. P3 11:26Shot by Stralman, saved by Enroth
  41. P3 11:29Shot by Kucherov, saved by Enroth
  42. P3 11:38Shot by Kucherov, saved by Enroth
  43. P3 12:51Shot by Hedman, saved by Enroth
  44. P3 15:18Shot by Moulson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P3 18:05Goal by Kucherov (Palat, Johnson)0 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McCormick, Stafford, Kaleta, Weber, Pysyk · TBL Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Nesterov, Kucherov

  46. P3 18:27Shot by Boyle, saved by Enroth
  47. P3 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Final