Wed, Dec 31, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 78% of the time.
12%
10%
9%
69%
BUF winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Filppula–Callahan–Killorn | Stamkos–Paquette–Drouin | Johnson–Palat–Kucherov | Morrow–Boyle–Connolly | Morrow–Boyle–Paquette | Carle–Sustr | Hedman–Sustr | Carle–Barberio | Hedman–Nesterov | Stralman–Nesterov | Stralman–Barberio | Carle–Stralman | Carle–Nesterov | Stralman–Hedman | Barberio–Hedman | Carle–Hedman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart–Hodgson–Grigorenko | 5:360.09–0.13 | 2:440.04–0.00 | 1:110.02–0.03 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 3:590.00–0.09 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 1:300.09–0.02 | 1:080.00–0.03 | 2:030.04–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.03 | 0:520.00–0.00 | |||||
| Moulson–Ennis–Girgensons | 5:220.09–0.01 | 2:240.13–0.00 | 1:480.02–0.39 | 1:150.00–0.11 | 1:390.00–0.02 | 1:130.13–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:010.00–0.12 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 1:520.02–0.32 | 1:410.04–0.06 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:140.05–0.00 | |||
| Stafford–Deslauriers–Flynn | 1:370.03–0.05 | 1:390.00–0.10 | 4:350.00–0.27 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.01 | 3:310.03–0.05 | 1:250.00–0.24 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.03 | 0:440.00–0.09 | ||||||
| McCormick–Kaleta–Larsson | 2:010.00–0.01 | 0:580.00–0.19 | 1:360.00–0.01 | 1:040.00–0.01 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.01 | 0:360.00–0.19 | |||||||||
| McCormick–Stafford–Kaleta | 1:010.08–0.00 | 0:420.08–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Hodgson–Ennis–Grigorenko | 0:310.00–0.06 | 0:310.00–0.06 | ||||||||||||||
| Gorges–Pysyk | 1:290.01–0.00 | 7:290.11–0.11 | 4:000.00–0.09 | 1:520.00–0.09 | 3:260.08–0.02 | 3:410.00–0.00 | 1:480.03–0.09 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.06 | 1:540.00–0.00 | 1:170.01–0.06 | 1:190.00–0.09 | ||||
| Meszaros–Weber | 7:170.15–0.19 | 0:380.04–0.00 | 1:110.04–0.00 | 3:000.05–0.12 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.09 | 3:040.03–0.05 | 2:270.09–0.02 | 3:090.00–0.16 | 2:310.04–0.00 | 1:210.02–0.00 | 0:370.05–0.00 | ||||
| Strachan–Zadorov | 4:070.10–0.00 | 2:090.00–0.00 | 4:120.00–0.80 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 3:250.00–0.00 | 0:560.05–0.00 | 2:010.00–0.24 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 2:250.00–0.00 | 2:010.00–0.55 | 0:500.03–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | ||||
| Pysyk–Zadorov | 0:480.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||||
| Weber–Pysyk | 0:330.00–0.06 | 0:450.00–0.06 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Josh GorgesBUF | 28 | 23:02 | 0:49 | 1:45 | 4 | 3 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 26 | 22:28 | 0:52 | 2:00 | 4 | 1 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 26 | 21:42 | 0:50 | 1:15 | 5 | 2 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 25 | 21:01 | 0:50 | 2:01 | 5 | 3 |
 Nikita ZadorovBUF | 24 | 20:42 | 0:52 | 1:35 | 1 | 3 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 25 | 20:05 | 0:48 | 1:19 | 0 | 3 |
 Tyson StrachanBUF | 22 | 19:41 | 0:54 | 1:51 | 0 | 5 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 23 | 18:34 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 2 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 23 | 18:27 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 2 | 5 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 21 | 18:20 | 0:52 | 1:35 | 2 | 2 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 22 | 18:19 | 0:50 | 1:41 | 1 | 3 |
 Andrej MeszarosBUF | 19 | 18:07 | 0:57 | 1:41 | 1 | 2 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 19 | 18:02 | 0:57 | 1:47 | 5 | 2 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 20 | 17:57 | 0:54 | 1:45 | 2 | 3 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 19 | 17:21 | 0:55 | 1:44 | 6 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 17 | 17:21 | 1:01 | 1:40 | 2 | 1 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 20 | 17:00 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 1 | 5 |
 Cody HodgsonBUF | 19 | 16:52 | 0:53 | 1:15 | 2 | 1 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 20 | 16:43 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 6 | 2 |
 Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF | 18 | 16:42 | 0:56 | 1:24 | 1 | 1 |
 Chris StewartBUF | 19 | 16:38 | 0:53 | 1:21 | 2 | 1 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 22 | 16:30 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 3 | 3 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 21 | 16:13 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 4 | 0 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 21 | 16:11 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 4 | 0 |
 Nikita NesterovTBL | 17 | 15:02 | 0:53 | 1:14 | 2 | 1 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 19 | 14:51 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 4 | 0 |
 Brian FlynnBUF | 20 | 14:42 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 3 | 5 |
 Mark BarberioTBL | 21 | 14:30 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 3 | 3 |
 Jonathan DrouinTBL | 14 | 14:08 | 1:01 | 1:44 | 1 | 1 |
 Brian BoyleTBL | 18 | 12:57 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 0 | 3 |
 Cody McCormickBUF | 19 | 12:06 | 0:38 | 1:12 | 0 | 3 |
 Brett ConnollyTBL | 15 | 11:05 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 2 | 1 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 16 | 11:01 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 2 | 3 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 19 | 10:32 | 0:33 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 |
 Brenden MorrowTBL | 14 | 9:46 | 0:42 | 1:03 | 0 | 1 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 11 | 6:55 | 0:38 | 1:12 | 0 | 1 |