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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 10, 2015·Gila River Arena, Glendale

Ottawa Senators 5, Arizona Coyotes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 79% of the time.

ARI winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Doan, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 2:27Shot by Ceci, saved by Smith
  4. P1 3:43Shot by Gormley, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 4:31Goal by Boedker (Gagner, Lessio)+17 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Gagner, Boedker, Stone, Ekman-Larsson, Lessio · OTT Condra, Cowen, Stone, Zibanejad, Ceci

  6. P1 5:23Erat: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Doan, Erat, Vermette, Stone, Ekman-Larsson · OTT MacArthur, Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Chiasson

  7. P1 5:54Shot by Karlsson, saved by Smith4v5
  8. P1 6:22Shot by Hoffman, saved by Smith4v5
  9. P1 6:44Shot by Ryan, saved by Smith4v5
  10. P1 7:08Goal by Michalek (Zibanejad, Ryan)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Doan, Vermette, Summers, Murphy · OTT Michalek, Ryan, Karlsson, Chiasson, Zibanejad

  11. P1 9:37Shot by Doan, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 10:23Shot by Condra, saved by Smith
  13. P1 10:29Methot: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Chipchura, Korpikoski, Gormley, Rieder, Murphy · OTT Methot, Condra, Karlsson, Chiasson, Zibanejad

  14. P1 11:15Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Anderson5v4
  15. P1 11:40Shot by Doan, saved by Anderson5v4
  16. P1 13:09Goal by MacArthur (Turris, Stone)+17 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Moss, Chipchura, Yandle, Summers, Lessio · OTT Phillips, MacArthur, Turris, Karlsson, Stone

  17. P1 13:08Shot by Turris, saved by Smith
  18. P1 13:29Summers: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Chipchura, Korpikoski, Yandle, Summers, Rieder · OTT Phillips, Legwand, Ryan, Gryba, Hoffman

  19. P1 14:45Shot by MacArthur, saved by Smith4v5
  20. P1 15:52Shot by Lazar, saved by Smith
  21. P1 15:53Shot by Pageau, saved by Smith
  22. P1 16:07Shot by Gagner, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 17:24Shot by Chiasson, saved by Smith
  24. P1 18:00Shot by Murphy, saved by Anderson
  25. P1 19:58Shot by Erat, saved by Anderson
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:35Shot by Karlsson, saved by Smith
  29. P2 0:45Shot by MacArthur, saved by Smith
  30. P2 1:54Shot by Yandle, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 3:00Cowen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Moss, Vitale, Gormley, Lessio, Murphy · OTT Condra, Cowen, Zibanejad, Ceci, Lazar

  32. P2 3:13Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Anderson5v4
  33. P2 4:53Shot by Stone, saved by Anderson5v4
  34. P2 5:46Shot by Gryba, saved by Smith
  35. P2 7:04Shot by Stone, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 9:21Goal by Hoffman (Zibanejad)+16 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Moss, Yandle, Vitale, Summers, McMillan · OTT Phillips, Ryan, Gryba, Hoffman, Zibanejad

  37. P2 9:46Shot by Condra, saved by Smith
  38. P2 9:58Shot by Doan, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 11:15Michalek: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Chipchura, Korpikoski, Gormley, Rieder, Murphy · OTT Legwand, Michalek, Methot, Karlsson, Stone

  40. P2 11:33Shot by Yandle, saved by Anderson5v4
  41. P2 11:40Ekman-Larsson: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: ARI Doan, Vermette, Yandle, Boedker, Ekman-Larsson · OTT Phillips, Gryba, Condra, Pageau

  42. P2 12:29Shot by Gagner, saved by Anderson4v4
  43. P2 12:54Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Smith4v4
  44. P2 13:13Shot by Turris, saved by Smith4v4
  45. P2 14:05Shot by Methot, saved by Smith
  46. P2 14:13Shot by Gryba, saved by Smith
  47. P2 14:48Shot by Gagner, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 14:52Shot by Rieder, saved by Anderson
  49. P2 15:40Zibanejad: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Doan, Vermette, Gormley, Lessio, Murphy · OTT Methot, Condra, Karlsson, Pageau, Zibanejad, Lazar

  50. P2 15:44Shot by Yandle, saved by Anderson5v4
  51. P2 16:22Shot by Doan, saved by Anderson5v4
  52. P2 18:32Shot by Phillips, saved by Smith
  53. P2 18:46Shot by Hoffman, saved by Smith
  54. P2 18:55Shot by Stone, saved by Smith
  55. P2 19:27Lessio: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: ARI Gagner, Boedker, Stone, Ekman-Larsson, Lessio · OTT Methot, Condra, Turris, Karlsson, Stone, Pageau

  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:26Goal by Ceci (Karlsson, MacArthur)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Doan, Vermette, Stone, Ekman-Larsson · OTT MacArthur, Turris, Karlsson, Stone, Ceci

  59. P3 5:22Shot by Gormley, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 5:58Lazar: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Doan, Vermette, Yandle, Gormley, Lessio · OTT Condra, Cowen, Zibanejad, Ceci, Lazar

  61. P3 5:54Shot by Lazar, saved by Smith
  62. P3 6:27Shot by Yandle, saved by Anderson5v4
  63. P3 7:43Shot by Gagner, saved by Anderson5v4
  64. P3 8:28Shot by Hoffman, saved by Smith
  65. P3 8:45Shot by Vitale, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 8:46Shot by Moss, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 8:47Shot by McMillan, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 10:28Shot by Rieder, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 11:37Shot by Stone, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 11:44Shot by Yandle, saved by Anderson
  71. P3 12:13Shot by Phillips, saved by Smith
  72. P3 12:52Shot by Stone, saved by Anderson
  73. P3 14:39Shot by Murphy, saved by Anderson
  74. P3 14:40Shot by Murphy, saved by Anderson
  75. P3 15:46Vitale: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Moss, Vitale, Summers, Stone, McMillan · OTT MacArthur, Turris, Chiasson, Cowen, Ceci

  76. P3 15:57Shot by MacArthur, saved by Smith4v5
  77. P3 16:12Shot by Stone, saved by Smith4v5
  78. P3 16:51Shot by Turris, saved by Smith4v5
  79. P3 18:33Shot by Lazar, saved by Smith
  80. P3 19:53Goal by Legwand, unassisted0 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Summers, Gagner, Boedker, Lessio, Murphy · OTT Legwand, Methot, Gryba, Condra, Lazar

  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final