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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 15, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Minnesota Wild 7, Buffalo Sabres 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 82% of the time.

BUF winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:37Shot by Hodgson, saved by Dubnyk
  3. P1 3:22Shot by Pominville, saved by Enroth
  4. P1 3:29Shot by Parise, saved by Enroth
  5. P1 4:51Shot by Folin, saved by Enroth
  6. P1 5:10Shot by Parise, saved by Enroth
  7. P1 5:13Goal by Parise (Koivu, Pominville)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Stewart, Hodgson, Varone, Ristolainen · MIN Koivu, Pominville, Parise, Spurgeon, Dumba

  8. P1 5:12Shot by Koivu, saved by Enroth
  9. P1 5:11Shot by Parise, saved by Enroth
  10. P1 5:58Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Enroth
  11. P1 7:10Shot by Zucker, saved by Enroth
  12. P1 7:11Myers: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Stewart, Hodgson, Myers, Varone · MIN Vanek, Spurgeon, Haula, Prosser, Zucker

  13. P1 7:42Vanek: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Mitchell, Kaleta, Weber · MIN Koivu, Pominville, Vanek, Parise, Spurgeon

  14. P1 8:12Shot by Brodin, saved by Enroth4v4
  15. P1 9:46Shot by Flynn, saved by Dubnyk
  16. P1 10:21Shot by Brodziak, saved by Enroth
  17. P1 11:51Shot by Flynn, saved by Dubnyk
  18. P1 14:09Shot by Koivu, saved by Enroth
  19. P1 15:52Shot by Coyle, saved by Enroth
  20. P1 16:56Deslauriers: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Kaleta, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Zadorov · MIN Parise, Brodziak, Fontaine, Brodin, Dumba

  21. P1 16:56Dumba: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Kaleta, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Zadorov · MIN Parise, Brodziak, Fontaine, Brodin, Dumba

  22. P1 18:04Shot by Zucker, saved by Enroth
  23. P1 18:12Weber: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Meszaros, Weber, Ennis, Girgensons · MIN Pominville, Vanek, Spurgeon, Haula, Prosser, Zucker

  24. P1 19:01Goal by Vanek (Koivu, Pominville)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Meszaros, Mitchell, Girgensons, Zadorov · MIN Koivu, Pominville, Vanek, Parise, Spurgeon

  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:33Shot by Vanek, saved by Enroth
  28. P2 1:31Shot by Zucker, saved by Enroth
  29. P2 3:10Shot by Kaleta, saved by Dubnyk
  30. P2 3:12Shot by Kaleta, saved by Dubnyk
  31. P2 4:59Zucker: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Stafford, Mitchell, Myers, Flynn · MIN Vanek, Spurgeon, Haula, Zucker, Dumba

  32. P2 5:07Shot by Ennis, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  33. P2 5:15Shot by Stewart, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  34. P2 5:22Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  35. P2 5:43Shot by Stewart, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  36. P2 5:59Shot by Haula, saved by Enroth5v4
  37. P2 6:00Goal by Brodziak (Haula)5v4+9 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Moulson, Meszaros, Myers, Flynn · MIN Brodziak, Spurgeon, Haula, Dumba

  38. P2 8:42Shot by Vanek, saved by Enroth
  39. P2 8:43Shot by Vanek, saved by Enroth
  40. P2 9:06Goal by Dumba (Pominville, Parise)+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Stafford, Mitchell, Myers, Flynn · MIN Koivu, Pominville, Parise, Spurgeon, Dumba

  41. P2 9:17Shot by Cooke, saved by Enroth
  42. P2 9:26Shot by Zadorov, saved by Dubnyk
  43. P2 11:09Spurgeon: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Meszaros, Weber, Ennis, Girgensons · MIN Carter, Spurgeon, Coyle, Niederreiter, Dumba

  44. P2 14:21Shot by Vanek, saved by Enroth
  45. P2 15:18Shot by Vanek, saved by Enroth
  46. P2 15:31Shot by Moulson, saved by Dubnyk
  47. P2 15:47Shot by Girgensons, saved by Dubnyk
  48. P2 18:18Shot by Stewart, saved by Dubnyk
  49. P2 18:54Goal by Spurgeon (Blum, Carter)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Meszaros, Weber, Stewart, Deslauriers, Girgensons · MIN Carter, Blum, Spurgeon, Coyle, Niederreiter

  50. P2 19:32Gorges: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Moulson, Stafford, Mitchell, Myers · MIN Cooke, Brodziak, Prosser, Fontaine, Brodin

  51. P2 19:45Shot by Parise, saved by Enroth4v5
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:51Shot by Pominville, saved by Enroth4v5
  55. P3 3:03Shot by Haula, saved by Enroth
  56. P3 4:26Goal by Cooke (Brodziak)0 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Meszaros, Kaleta, Weber, Varone · MIN Cooke, Brodziak, Fontaine, Brodin, Folin

  57. P3 5:54Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Enroth
  58. P3 6:27Myers: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Stafford, Mitchell, Myers, Flynn · MIN Koivu, Pominville, Parise, Spurgeon, Dumba

  59. P3 8:26Shot by Weber, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  60. P3 9:01Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Dubnyk
  61. P3 10:28Kaleta: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Gorges, Kaleta, Stewart, Myers · MIN Cooke, Brodziak, Fontaine, Brodin, Folin

  62. P3 10:35Shot by Vanek, saved by Enroth4v5
  63. P3 11:04Shot by Vanek, saved by Enroth4v5
  64. P3 11:15Shot by Dumba, saved by Enroth4v5
  65. P3 12:40Shot by Parise, saved by Enroth
  66. P3 14:19Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Dubnyk
  67. P3 15:30Shot by Coyle, saved by Enroth
  68. P3 16:45Stewart: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Meszaros, Weber, Stewart, Hodgson, Deslauriers · MIN Cooke, Brodziak, Blum, Prosser, Fontaine

  69. P3 18:27Goal by Haula (Vanek, Folin)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Stafford, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Zadorov · MIN Vanek, Haula, Zucker, Brodin, Folin

  70. P3 19:39Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Dubnyk
  71. P3 19:52Shot by Stafford, saved by Dubnyk
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final