Wed, Jan 21, 2015·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.
54%
9%
8%
28%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 25:18 | 0.18 | 36.9% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:10 | 0.01 | 32.5% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:57 | 0.18 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:40 | 0.04 | 34.1% | +6.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:05 | 0.24 | 24.3% | +3.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:38 | 0.13 | 28.8% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:36 | 0.51 | 63.9% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:34 | 0.23 | 18.8% | +3.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:55 | 0.05 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:09 | 0.27 | 86.8% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:22 | 0.11 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.01 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:06 | 0.31 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.06 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:23 | 0.07 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:13 | 0.08 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:43 | 0.01 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:30 | 0.00 | 33.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 2.67 | −1.3 | 58:21 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 25:59 | 0.01 | 58.9% | +7.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 25:03 | 0.32 | 61.0% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:50 | 0.04 | 50.2% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.02 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:53 | 0.26 | 66.7% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.02 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.02 | 44.7% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:26 | 0.00 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:30 | 0.19 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:13 | 0.00 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.59 | 72.7% | +7.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:24 | 0.15 | 48.8% | +9.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:15 | 0.24 | 74.8% | +29.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.24 | 67.2% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 13:47 | 0.66 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:04 | 0.00 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:48 | 0.41 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:37 | 0.07 | 45.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 40 | 37 | 3 | .925 | 2.50 | −0.5 | 59:48 |