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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 21, 2015·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake GardinerD · #51022+1525:180.1836.9%+16.6
Morgan RiellyD · #44011+1023:100.0132.5%+13.3
Tyler BozakC · #420000221:570.1872.0%0.0
Cody FransonD · #4011−1221:400.0434.1%+6.3
James van RiemsdykLW · #211010120:050.2424.3%+3.4
Nazem KadriC · #431010419:380.1328.8%+13.3
Daniel WinnikLW · #26011−1319:360.5163.9%+6.3
Phil KesselRW · #810110319:340.2318.8%+3.4
Roman PolakD · #46000−2117:550.0557.3%0.0
David ClarksonRW · #71101−1417:090.2786.8%+6.3
Dion PhaneufD · #3000−1415:220.1149.1%0.0
Stuart PercyD · #50000−2115:150.0147.1%0.0
Mike SantorelliC · #25000−1413:060.3121.3%0.0
Trevor SmithC · #230000013:050.0654.0%0.0
David BoothLW · #200000311:230.0762.6%0.0
Matt FrattinRW · #39000028:130.0866.9%0.0
Richard PanikRW · #18000−117:430.0118.8%0.0
Josh LeivoLW · #32000−107:300.0033.3%0.0
James Reimer#34L26224.8462.67−1.358:21

Ottawa Senators

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Marc MethotD · #3011+2025:590.0158.9%+7.5
Erik KarlssonD · #65202+1625:030.3261.0%+21.9
Cody CeciD · #5011+2118:500.0450.2%+16.7
Jared CowenD · #2000+1118:420.0251.3%0.0
Mark StoneRW · #61011+1217:530.2666.7%+16.7
Erik CondraRW · #22000−1117:440.0245.8%0.0
Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44011+1116:270.0244.7%+9.0
Eric GrybaD · #62000−1016:260.0057.0%0.0
Kyle TurrisC · #70000215:300.1956.5%0.0
Clarke MacArthurLW · #160000015:130.0058.9%0.0
Mika ZibanejadC · #93101+1214:340.5972.7%+7.5
Milan MichalekLW · #9011+1214:240.1548.8%+9.0
Mike HoffmanC · #68112+2214:150.2474.8%+29.5
Bobby RyanRW · #60220113:570.2467.2%+20.3
Alex ChiassonRW · #90000+2013:470.6651.8%0.0
Patrick WierciochD · #46000−1013:040.0065.8%0.0
Curtis LazarC · #270000311:480.4149.5%0.0
Chris NeilRW · #250000210:370.0745.2%0.0
Craig Anderson#41W40373.9252.50−0.559:48