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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 27, 2015·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Arizona Coyotes 3, Philadelphia Flyers 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 64% of the time.

PHI winsARI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Schultz, saved by Smith
  3. P1 2:29Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Smith
  4. P1 3:33Goal by Murphy (Erat, Campbell)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Umberger, Colaiacovo, MacDonald, Read, Couturier · ARI Erat, Hanzal, Gagner, Campbell, Murphy

  5. P1 3:43Shot by Vitale, saved by Emery
  6. P1 5:12Shot by Voracek, saved by Smith
  7. P1 5:19Shot by Voracek, saved by Smith
  8. P1 5:48Shot by Michalek, saved by Emery
  9. P1 5:50Goal by Erat (Ekman-Larsson, Doan)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Umberger, MacDonald, Del Zotto, Read, Couturier · ARI Doan, Erat, Vermette, Michalek, Ekman-Larsson

  10. P1 6:43Shot by Doan, saved by Mason
  11. P1 7:55Shot by Simmonds, saved by Smith
  12. P1 8:11McMillan: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Lecavalier, VandeVelde, Schenn, Del Zotto, Bellemare · ARI Moss, Chipchura, Yandle, Stone, McMillan

  13. P1 8:20Shot by Simmonds, saved by Smith5v4
  14. P1 8:29Shot by Schenn, saved by Smith5v4
  15. P1 8:59Shot by Streit, saved by Smith5v4
  16. P1 9:00Shot by Simmonds, saved by Smith5v4
  17. P1 9:02Goal by Simmonds (Streit, Giroux)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn · ARI Doan, Vermette, Michalek, Ekman-Larsson

  18. P1 9:41Shot by Yandle, saved by Mason
  19. P1 12:06Shot by Erat, saved by Mason
  20. P1 12:31Shot by Bellemare, saved by Smith
  21. P1 13:42Shot by Schultz, saved by Smith
  22. P1 14:14White: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Colaiacovo, White, MacDonald, Simmonds, Straka · ARI Korpikoski, Vitale, Campbell, Lessio, Murphy

  23. P1 15:36Shot by Yandle, saved by Mason4v5
  24. P1 16:19Shot by Erat, saved by Mason
  25. P1 16:21Shot by Rieder, saved by Mason
  26. P1 16:51Shot by Giroux, saved by Smith
  27. P1 17:57Shot by Bellemare, saved by Smith
  28. P1 18:52Shot by Umberger, saved by Smith
  29. P1 19:23Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Smith
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:30Ekman-Larsson: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn · ARI Doan, Vermette, Michalek, Ekman-Larsson, Rieder

  33. P2 1:47Shot by Voracek, saved by Smith5v4
  34. P2 2:59Shot by Umberger, saved by Smith
  35. P2 3:11Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Smith
  36. P2 6:03Shot by Umberger, saved by Smith
  37. P2 6:14Shot by McMillan, saved by Mason
  38. P2 8:00Shot by White, saved by Smith
  39. P2 8:44Shot by White, saved by Smith
  40. P2 9:04Shot by Voracek, saved by Smith
  41. P2 9:45Shot by Read, saved by Smith
  42. P2 9:52Shot by Erat, saved by Mason
  43. P2 13:19Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Mason
  44. P2 13:42Shot by Umberger, saved by Smith
  45. P2 13:55Goal by Umberger (MacDonald, Couturier)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Umberger, Colaiacovo, MacDonald, Read, Couturier · ARI Yandle, Gagner, Stone, McMillan, Lessio

  46. P2 16:44Shot by Hanzal, saved by Mason
  47. P2 16:58Shot by Streit, saved by Smith
  48. P2 18:59Goal by Del Zotto (Voracek, Bellemare)+26 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Schenn, Del Zotto, Schenn, Bellemare · ARI Erat, Hanzal, Yandle, Gagner, Stone

  49. P2 19:22Goal by Rieder (Doan, Vermette)+26 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Lecavalier, VandeVelde, Schenn, Del Zotto, Bellemare · ARI Doan, Vermette, Michalek, Ekman-Larsson, Rieder

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:24Shot by Colaiacovo, saved by Smith
  53. P3 1:35Shot by Doan, saved by Mason
  54. P3 2:28Shot by Giroux, saved by Smith
  55. P3 3:20Shot by Chipchura, saved by Mason
  56. P3 4:59Shot by White, saved by Smith
  57. P3 5:38Shot by Bellemare, saved by Smith
  58. P3 6:38Shot by Couturier, saved by Smith
  59. P3 6:42Shot by MacDonald, saved by Smith
  60. P3 8:03Shot by Moss, saved by Mason
  61. P3 9:57Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Mason
  62. P3 10:05Shot by Chipchura, saved by Mason
  63. P3 10:07Shot by Moss, saved by Mason
  64. P3 10:30Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Smith
  65. P3 11:07Shot by Schenn, saved by Smith
  66. P3 11:36Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Mason
  67. P3 12:37Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Mason
  68. P3 14:50Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Smith
  69. P3 15:35Shot by Giroux, saved by Smith
  70. P3 16:15Shot by Chipchura, saved by Mason
  71. P3 17:29Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Smith
  72. P3 18:40Shot by Schenn, saved by Smith
  73. P3 19:29Shot by Read, saved by Smith
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. OT 0:00Period start
  76. OT 0:27Shot by Yandle, saved by Mason4v4
  77. OT 3:05Shot by Erat, saved by Mason4v4
  78. OT 3:27Shot by Giroux, saved by Smith4v4
  79. OT 4:15Shot by Rieder, saved by Mason4v4
  80. OT 5:00Period end
  81. SO Period start
  82. SO Shot by Voracek, saved by Smithother
  83. SO Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Masonother
  84. SO Shot by Vermette, saved by Masonother
  85. SO Goal by Simmonds, unassistedother
  86. SO Period end
  87. SO Final