Tue, Feb 3, 2015·Centre Bell, Montreal
Buffalo Sabres 3, Montréal Canadiens 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 66% of the time.
55%
11%
10%
24%
MTL winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
MTL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Stewart–Ennis–Girgensons | Gionta–Moulson–Mitchell | Stafford–Hodgson–Flynn | Ellis–Kaleta–Deslauriers | Stafford–Deslauriers–Flynn | Gorges–Myers | Strachan–Weber | Ristolainen–Zadorov | Myers–Zadorov | Gorges–Ristolainen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desharnais–Gallagher–Galchenyuk | 1:270.00–0.10 | 2:190.14–0.00 | 2:000.11–0.05 | 1:580.00–0.02 | 3:240.18–0.10 | 4:070.01–0.07 | 1:020.05–0.08 | |||
| Eller–de la Rose–Sekac | 1:230.00–0.00 | 3:140.06–0.20 | 1:550.01–0.63 | 0:460.12–0.00 | 1:470.03–0.00 | 3:310.18–0.63 | 3:010.01–0.19 | |||
| Plekanec–Pacioretty–Weise | 3:590.18–0.05 | 1:580.02–0.02 | 1:110.01–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 3:540.11–0.06 | 1:470.03–0.00 | 1:310.07–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||
| Prust–Dumont–Thomas | 1:320.10–0.03 | 1:340.16–0.01 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 1:410.11–0.04 | 1:410.01–0.03 | 2:120.01–0.01 | 3:010.27–0.04 | |||
| Desharnais–Pacioretty–Weise | 1:570.25–0.00 | 1:530.09–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 1:300.23–0.00 | 3:320.11–0.00 | |||||
| Plekanec–Gallagher–Galchenyuk | 2:010.05–0.00 | 1:030.08–0.04 | 1:340.05–0.12 | 2:360.10–0.12 | 1:130.05–0.04 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||
| Eller–Thomas–de la Rose | 0:390.00–0.03 | 0:380.00–0.03 | ||||||||
| Plekanec–Pacioretty–Thomas | 0:570.06–0.00 | 0:570.06–0.00 | ||||||||
| Prust–Weise–Dumont | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Markov–Subban | 6:300.13–0.18 | 9:060.29–0.08 | 0:520.00–0.52 | 1:390.15–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 10:000.27–0.23 | 5:550.17–0.58 | 3:540.02–0.02 | 0:540.13–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 |
| Gonchar–Beaulieu | 1:260.10–0.07 | 2:160.16–0.09 | 4:490.18–0.22 | 3:070.00–0.02 | 1:260.12–0.00 | 3:130.13–0.12 | 7:290.20–0.16 | 4:220.27–0.21 | ||
| Gilbert–Emelin | 5:240.40–0.00 | 2:010.09–0.14 | 2:580.07–0.05 | 4:360.32–0.00 | 3:450.05–0.05 | 2:270.12–0.14 |
Every shift, one row per player.
MTLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 P.K. SubbanMTL | 30 | 29:22 | 0:59 | 2:24 | 6 | 4 |
 Andrei MarkovMTL | 28 | 28:25 | 1:01 | 2:24 | 6 | 3 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 35 | 25:41 | 0:44 | 1:47 | 1 | 9 |
 Tyler MyersBUF | 37 | 24:42 | 0:40 | 2:14 | 2 | 8 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 27 | 22:30 | 0:50 | 1:42 | 2 | 5 |
 Tyson StrachanBUF | 31 | 21:17 | 0:41 | 1:34 | 3 | 7 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 29 | 20:34 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 3 | 7 |
 Max PaciorettyMTL | 27 | 20:24 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 12 | 3 |
 Tomas PlekanecMTL | 27 | 19:56 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 8 | 4 |
 David DesharnaisMTL | 24 | 19:42 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 7 | 1 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 24 | 19:00 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 4 | 3 |
 Brendan GallagherMTL | 25 | 18:42 | 0:45 | 1:47 | 5 | 1 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 21 | 18:36 | 0:53 | 1:46 | 2 | 3 |
 Sergei GoncharMTL | 19 | 18:08 | 0:57 | 2:05 | 5 | 2 |
 Torrey MitchellBUF | 24 | 17:55 | 0:45 | 1:35 | 3 | 3 |
 Alex GalchenyukMTL | 24 | 17:48 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 4 | 1 |
 Nathan BeaulieuMTL | 20 | 17:46 | 0:53 | 1:54 | 4 | 2 |
 Chris StewartBUF | 22 | 17:35 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 3 | 4 |
 Dale WeiseMTL | 22 | 16:52 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 11 | 1 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 22 | 16:20 | 0:45 | 1:34 | 3 | 5 |
 Brian FlynnBUF | 24 | 15:19 | 0:38 | 1:25 | 3 | 8 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 20 | 14:14 | 0:43 | 1:42 | 2 | 2 |
 Alexei EmelinMTL | 21 | 13:59 | 0:40 | 1:47 | 5 | 1 |
 Nikita ZadorovBUF | 18 | 13:39 | 0:46 | 1:38 | 2 | 1 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 20 | 13:26 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 3 | 6 |
 Jacob de la RoseMTL | 19 | 12:34 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 5 | 2 |
 Tom GilbertMTL | 21 | 12:20 | 0:35 | 1:47 | 5 | 1 |
 Jiri SekacMTL | 17 | 12:10 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 5 | 2 |
 Lars EllerMTL | 19 | 11:59 | 0:38 | 1:03 | 5 | 2 |
 Cody HodgsonBUF | 15 | 11:43 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 3 | 1 |
 Christian ThomasMTL | 15 | 10:24 | 0:42 | 1:27 | 1 | 1 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 18 | 9:40 | 0:32 | 0:57 | 0 | 5 |
 Brandon PrustMTL | 13 | 9:22 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 0 | 1 |
 Gabriel DumontMTL | 13 | 9:09 | 0:42 | 1:34 | 1 | 1 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 14 | 6:59 | 0:30 | 0:53 | 0 | 2 |
 Matt EllisBUF | 14 | 6:50 | 0:29 | 0:46 | 0 | 2 |