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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 10, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

Ottawa Senators

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 74% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:28Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Enroth
  3. P1 1:35Shot by Turris, saved by Enroth
  4. P1 2:59Shot by Moulson, saved by Lehner
  5. P1 3:18Shot by Michalek, saved by Enroth
  6. P1 4:29Shot by Lazar, saved by Enroth
  7. P1 4:48Shot by Pageau, saved by Enroth
  8. P1 6:23Shot by Legwand, saved by Enroth
  9. P1 9:58Shot by Legwand, saved by Enroth
  10. P1 10:10Shot by Girgensons, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 10:45Shot by Turris, saved by Enroth
  12. P1 10:55Shot by Foligno, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 11:33Gionta: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Moulson, Mitchell, Myers, Zadorov · OTT Gryba, Hoffman, Chiasson, Cowen, Pageau

  14. P1 11:39Shot by Turris, saved by Enroth4v5
  15. P1 11:59Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Enroth4v5
  16. P1 12:18Goal by Karlsson (Turris, Stone)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Myers, Flynn, Girgensons · OTT Michalek, Turris, Karlsson, Wiercioch, Stone

  17. P1 13:02Shot by Neil, saved by Enroth
  18. P1 13:04Deslauriers: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ennis, Deslauriers, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Zadorov · OTT Legwand, Neil, Methot, Condra, Karlsson

  19. P1 13:04Condra: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Ennis, Deslauriers, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Zadorov · OTT Legwand, Neil, Methot, Condra, Karlsson

  20. P1 13:04Condra: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Ennis, Deslauriers, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Zadorov · OTT Legwand, Neil, Methot, Condra, Karlsson

  21. P1 13:04Deslauriers: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Ennis, Deslauriers, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Zadorov · OTT Legwand, Neil, Methot, Condra, Karlsson

  22. P1 13:38Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Enroth
  23. P1 14:19Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehner
  24. P1 16:11Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehner
  25. P1 16:33Shot by Weber, saved by Lehner
  26. P1 17:09Shot by Gionta, saved by Lehner
  27. P1 18:49Shot by Flynn, saved by Lehner
  28. P1 19:34Shot by Turris, saved by Enroth
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:29Shot by Gionta, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 0:47Shot by Gorges, saved by Lehner
  33. P2 1:13Shot by Girgensons, saved by Lehner
  34. P2 3:34Shot by Kaleta, saved by Lehner
  35. P2 3:37Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Lehner
  36. P2 3:38Shot by Kaleta, saved by Lehner
  37. P2 3:42Shot by Myers, saved by Lehner
  38. P2 3:49Shot by Gionta, saved by Lehner
  39. P2 3:48Shot by Mitchell, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 5:02Shot by Zadorov, saved by Lehner
  41. P2 5:46Shot by Flynn, saved by Lehner
  42. P2 6:18Shot by Gorges, saved by Lehner
  43. P2 6:24Shot by Myers, saved by Lehner
  44. P2 6:33Shot by Mitchell, saved by Lehner
  45. P2 6:54Shot by Mitchell, saved by Lehner
  46. P2 7:26Shot by Neil, saved by Enroth
  47. P2 9:27Shot by Ellis, saved by Lehner
  48. P2 10:40Shot by Flynn, saved by Lehner
  49. P2 11:19Shot by Lazar, saved by Enroth
  50. P2 13:33Shot by Pageau, saved by Enroth
  51. P2 13:34Borowiecki: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Meszaros, Kaleta, Weber, Deslauriers · OTT Condra, Wiercioch, Borowiecki, Chiasson, Pageau

  52. P2 13:34Borowiecki: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Meszaros, Kaleta, Weber, Deslauriers · OTT Condra, Wiercioch, Borowiecki, Chiasson, Pageau

  53. P2 13:34Kaleta: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Meszaros, Kaleta, Weber, Deslauriers · OTT Condra, Wiercioch, Borowiecki, Chiasson, Pageau

  54. P2 13:43Shot by Stewart, saved by Lehner5v4
  55. P2 15:51Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth
  56. P2 17:03Shot by Stewart, saved by Lehner
  57. P2 17:23MacArthur: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Stafford, Meszaros, Weber, Stewart, Flynn · OTT Legwand, Neil, MacArthur, Gryba, Wiercioch

  58. P2 18:48Shot by Myers, saved by Lehner5v4
  59. P2 19:32Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehner
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:21Shot by Gionta, saved by Lehner
  63. P3 1:45Shot by Legwand, saved by Enroth
  64. P3 3:07Shot by Hoffman, saved by Enroth
  65. P3 4:14Gryba: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Ennis, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Zadorov · OTT MacArthur, Gryba, Turris, Cowen, Lazar

  66. P3 5:08Goal by Myers (Moulson, Stewart)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Stewart, Myers, Ennis, Girgensons · OTT Legwand, Methot, Condra, Borowiecki

  67. P3 6:39Shot by Gionta, saved by Lehner
  68. P3 7:26Gionta: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Mitchell, Stewart, Ristolainen, Zadorov · OTT Karlsson, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Chiasson, Pageau

  69. P3 8:29Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth4v5
  70. P3 10:38Shot by Pageau, saved by Enroth
  71. P3 11:56Shot by Hoffman, saved by Enroth
  72. P3 12:13Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Enroth
  73. P3 12:15Goal by Michalek (Wiercioch, Hoffman)+33 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Ellis, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Zadorov · OTT Michalek, Wiercioch, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Zibanejad

  74. P3 13:01Stewart: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Stewart, Ennis, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Zadorov · OTT MacArthur, Methot, Karlsson, Chiasson, Pageau

  75. P3 13:11Shot by Stone, saved by Enroth4v5
  76. P3 15:36Shot by Girgensons, saved by Lehner
  77. P3 15:46Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehner
  78. P3 17:44Methot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Stafford, Foligno, Flynn, Ristolainen, Zadorov · OTT Methot, Condra, Turris, Karlsson, Stone

  79. P3 19:12Shot by Stewart, saved by Lehner6v4
  80. P3 19:54Shot by Stewart, saved by Lehner6v5
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final