Mon, Dec 15, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 4, Buffalo Sabres 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 55% of the time.
35%
10%
10%
45%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 34:02 | 0.22 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 22:03 | 0.23 | 59.0% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:41 | 0.12 | 23.4% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:17 | 0.00 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:03 | 0.00 | 63.1% | +26.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.30 | 17.0% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:23 | 0.00 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.20 | 9.0% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 17:41 | 0.21 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.05 | 62.1% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 16:23 | 0.39 | 9.0% | +17.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:05 | 0.13 | 52.5% | +53.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:35 | 0.30 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:31 | 0.00 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.07 | 52.5% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:12 | 0.04 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.35 | 53.4% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:00 | 0.00 | 34.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 2.35 | −1.7 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31:09 | 0.09 | 64.4% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 27:44 | 0.04 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25:24 | 0.33 | 74.3% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:01 | 0.29 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.03 | 68.1% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:23 | 0.05 | 75.9% | +19.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:00 | 0.42 | 77.5% | +53.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:29 | 0.49 | 68.4% | +21.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:59 | 0.23 | 78.4% | +53.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:16 | 0.08 | 85.7% | +40.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.01 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.00 | 45.1% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:24 | 0.13 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.08 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.03 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 10:08 | 0.00 | 19.0% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:48 | 0.04 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:04 | 0.00 | 37.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 2.61 | −1.4 | 64:29 |