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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 21, 2015·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Nashville Predators 2, Philadelphia Flyers 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 80% of the time.

PHI winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:52Shot by White, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 3:43Shot by Raffl, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 5:11Shot by Jones, saved by Zepp
  5. P1 5:41Shot by Giroux, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 6:07Shot by Schenn, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 8:59Goal by Simmonds (Del Zotto, Coburn)+18 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Coburn, Giroux, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Raffl · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg

  8. P1 9:14Shot by White, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 11:12Shot by Voracek, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 12:19Shot by Giroux, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 14:32Shot by Bellemare, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 15:24Shot by Schultz, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 15:40Shot by Simmonds, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 16:10Shot by Schenn, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 16:41Shot by Umberger, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 18:58Goal by Wilson, unassisted+20 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Coburn, Giroux, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Raffl · NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Wilson, Ekholm, Jones

  17. P1 19:25Shot by Smith, saved by Zepp
  18. P1 19:55Weber: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Schultz, Coburn, Giroux, Simmonds, Raffl · NSH Fisher, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg

  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 2:58Shot by Giroux, saved by Rinne
  22. P2 3:03Shot by Bellemare, saved by Rinne
  23. P2 3:43Rinaldo: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: PHI Schultz, VandeVelde, MacDonald, Rinaldo, Bellemare · NSH Fisher, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg

  24. P2 3:43VandeVelde: Illegal check to head (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Schultz, VandeVelde, MacDonald, Rinaldo, Bellemare · NSH Fisher, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg

  25. P2 6:30Shot by White, saved by Rinne
  26. P2 8:38Shot by Neal, saved by Zepp
  27. P2 8:40Shot by Wilson, saved by Zepp
  28. P2 11:21Goal by White (Umberger, Schenn)+23 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Umberger, White, Schenn · NSH Santorelli, Bartley, Smith, Jarnkrok, Jones

  29. P2 11:52Shot by Voracek, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 12:04Shot by Read, saved by Rinne
  31. P2 12:12Shot by Raffl, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 12:14Shot by Giroux, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 13:46Shot by Smith, saved by Zepp
  34. P2 16:06Shot by Forsberg, saved by Zepp
  35. P2 17:10Neal: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Voracek, Read, Couturier · NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Franson, Ekholm, Forsberg

  36. P2 18:09Shot by Streit, saved by Rinne5v4
  37. P2 0:00Period end
  38. P3 0:00Period start
  39. P3 0:23Goal by Smith (Fisher, Cullen)+26 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Coburn, Voracek, Del Zotto, Read, Couturier · NSH Cullen, Fisher, Weber, Josi, Smith

  40. P3 1:06Shot by Wilson, saved by Zepp
  41. P3 2:08Shot by Coburn, saved by Rinne
  42. P3 2:54Shot by Voracek, saved by Rinne
  43. P3 2:55Shot by Read, saved by Rinne
  44. P3 5:16Shot by Cullen, saved by Zepp
  45. P3 8:33Shot by Neal, saved by Zepp
  46. P3 9:17Shot by MacDonald, saved by Rinne
  47. P3 9:28Shot by Wilson, saved by Zepp
  48. P3 10:03Shot by Santorelli, saved by Zepp
  49. P3 12:42MacDonald: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, MacDonald, Voracek, Del Zotto, Bellemare · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Neal, Wilson, Josi

  50. P3 13:18Shot by Forsberg, saved by Zepp4v5
  51. P3 15:53Shot by Giroux, saved by Rinne
  52. P3 15:54Shot by Giroux, saved by Rinne
  53. P3 16:22Shot by Franson, saved by Zepp
  54. P3 16:40Shot by Franson, saved by Zepp
  55. P3 16:45Shot by Neal, saved by Zepp
  56. P3 17:46Shot by Couturier, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 0:00Period end
  58. OT 0:00Period start
  59. OT 0:27Shot by Forsberg, saved by Zepp4v4
  60. OT 0:33Shot by Ekholm, saved by Zepp4v4
  61. OT 0:42Shot by Forsberg, saved by Zepp4v4
  62. OT 1:25Shot by Grossmann, saved by Rinne4v4
  63. OT 1:45Shot by Read, saved by Rinne4v4
  64. OT 2:56Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Zepp4v4
  65. OT 4:24Shot by Simmonds, saved by Rinne4v4
  66. OT 4:27Shot by Streit, saved by Rinne4v4
  67. OT 4:51Shot by Wilson, saved by Zepp4v4
  68. OT 5:00Period end
  69. SO Period start
  70. SO Goal by Voracek, unassistedother
  71. SO Shot by Cullen, saved by Zeppother
  72. SO Goal by Simmonds, unassistedother
  73. SO Shot by Smith, saved by Zeppother
  74. SO Period end
  75. SO Final