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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 21, 2015·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Nashville Predators 2, Philadelphia Flyers 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 80% of the time.

PHI winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PHI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Gaustad–Nystrom–BourqueFisher–Smith–ForsbergRibeiro–Neal–WilsonRibeiro–Neal–ForsbergSantorelli–Wilson–JarnkrokCullen–Santorelli–JarnkrokCullen–Fisher–SmithFisher–Wilson–SmithWeber–JosiFranson–EkholmBartley–JonesEkholm–JonesFranson–Bartley
Giroux–Simmonds–Raffl1:170.00–0.001:480.03–0.024:150.38–0.051:160.11–0.122:350.41–0.017:380.80–0.172:070.50–0.001:240.12–0.02
Umberger–White–Schenn2:350.00–0.013:130.00–0.081:440.37–0.000:310.00–0.002:410.00–0.081:170.16–0.014:070.46–0.011:000.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Voracek–Read–Couturier0:360.00–0.002:320.12–0.001:280.00–0.291:300.00–0.020:360.00–0.040:500.01–0.003:430.13–0.043:020.00–0.161:150.00–0.141:010.45–0.05
VandeVelde–Rinaldo–Bellemare1:290.00–0.002:290.01–0.001:110.02–0.000:450.00–0.012:540.01–0.001:330.00–0.011:120.02–0.000:300.00–0.00
VandeVelde–Voracek–Bellemare1:470.00–0.000:590.00–0.000:440.00–0.091:430.00–0.011:450.00–0.090:410.00–0.00
Simmonds–Read–Couturier0:340.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:340.02–0.00
White–Giroux–Raffl0:500.01–0.000:370.01–0.00
Giroux–Simmonds–Read0:300.00–0.00
Coburn–Del Zotto1:150.00–0.002:060.06–0.003:150.21–0.052:510.13–0.271:070.30–0.001:300.00–0.056:290.28–0.081:490.50–0.142:470.34–0.122:000.03–0.02
Streit–Schultz2:150.00–0.003:280.09–0.001:280.07–0.000:560.00–0.091:120.00–0.001:300.00–0.012:000.41–0.005:270.57–0.014:340.00–0.121:500.09–0.001:200.02–0.00
Grossmann–MacDonald4:140.00–0.010:330.00–0.001:030.08–0.003:200.01–0.081:440.07–0.024:090.01–0.143:550.00–0.023:350.07–0.031:260.54–0.00
Streit–Del Zotto0:460.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:420.08–0.241:180.08–0.000:520.00–0.00
Coburn–Grossmann0:500.01–0.001:300.03–0.00
MacDonald–Del Zotto0:350.00–0.121:030.00–0.12
Schultz–Coburn0:330.00–0.020:340.00–0.000:410.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndRaffl FSimmonds FGiroux FCouturier FRead FVoracek FSchenn FUmberger FWhite FRinaldo FVandeVelde FBellemare FCoburn DDel Zotto DStreit DSchultz DGrossmann DMacDonald DZepp GNeal FWilson FRibeiro FForsberg FFisher FSmith FCullen FSantorelli FJarnkrok FNystrom FGaustad FBourque FWeber DJosi DEkholm DFranson DJones DBartley DRinne G
PHINSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH3330:490:561:4546
Shea WeberNSH3328:260:521:2646
Michael Del ZottoPHI2724:580:552:0012
Braydon CoburnPHI2924:010:501:2935
Mark StreitPHI2622:080:511:4234
Seth JonesNSH2521:090:511:4140
Mattias EkholmNSH2720:560:471:5925
Nick SchultzPHI2920:430:431:1836
Claude GirouxPHI2420:110:501:2134
Wayne SimmondsPHI2419:590:501:2534
Craig SmithNSH2419:210:482:0323
Mike RibeiroNSH2319:190:501:3841
Mike FisherNSH2618:540:441:2732
Andrew MacDonaldPHI2718:380:411:3162
Jakub VoracekPHI2618:270:431:4352
Colin WilsonNSH2318:210:481:2054
Sean CouturierPHI2317:590:472:1222
Cody FransonNSH2417:520:451:3126
James NealNSH2217:500:492:2631
Filip ForsbergNSH2317:480:461:3961
Nicklas GrossmannPHI2417:370:441:3372
Matt ReadPHI2317:180:451:3302
Brayden SchennPHI2015:510:481:1741
Michael RafflPHI2115:370:451:1623
Pierre-Edouard BellemarePHI1714:290:512:3033
Chris VandeVeldePHI1613:490:522:3033
R.J. UmbergerPHI1713:230:471:1221
Calle JarnkrokNSH1913:200:421:0724
Paul GaustadNSH2213:190:361:2328
Eric NystromNSH1912:540:411:2335
Ryan WhitePHI1612:530:481:1531
Mike SantorelliNSH1712:110:431:1723
Gabriel BourqueNSH1811:580:401:0045
Victor BartleyNSH1410:570:471:2121
Matt CullenNSH1810:360:351:0712
Zac RinaldoPHI107:590:481:2212