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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 24, 2015·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Colorado Avalanche 2, Nashville Predators 5

Away

Colorado Avalanche

2

Final

Home

Nashville Predators

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 85% of the time.

NSH winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:58Shot by Santorelli, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 3:57Goal by MacKinnon (O'Reilly, Stuart)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi, Bourque · COL Stuart, Holden, O'Reilly, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  4. P1 4:12Goal by Jarnkrok, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Weber, Santorelli, Wilson, Josi, Jarnkrok · COL Tanguay, Hejda, Mitchell, Elliott, Everberg

  5. P1 7:49Shot by Talbot, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 9:54Shot by Santorelli, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 12:33Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 13:01Landeskog: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi, Bourque · COL Guenin, O'Reilly, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  9. P1 13:01Weber: Instigator (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi, Bourque · COL Guenin, O'Reilly, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  10. P1 13:01Weber: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi, Bourque · COL Guenin, O'Reilly, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  11. P1 13:01Weber: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi, Bourque · COL Guenin, O'Reilly, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  12. P1 14:45Mitchell: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Josi, Bourque, Jones · COL Mitchell, McLeod, Holden, Duchene, Elliott

  13. P1 14:43Shot by Gaustad, saved by Varlamov4v5
  14. P1 14:43Shot by Bourque, saved by Varlamov4v5
  15. P1 14:44Shot by Jones, saved by Varlamov4v5
  16. P1 14:46Shot by Neal, saved by Varlamov4v4
  17. P1 16:27Forsberg: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Neal, Franson, Ekholm, Forsberg · COL Stuart, Tanguay, Guenin, MacKinnon, Everberg

  18. P1 16:35Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Varlamov4v4
  19. P1 17:31Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne4v5
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:21Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Varlamov
  23. P2 0:38Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov
  24. P2 1:00Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  25. P2 1:51Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov
  26. P2 3:01Shot by McLeod, saved by Rinne
  27. P2 3:15Shot by Holden, saved by Rinne
  28. P2 4:32Goal by Smith (Fisher)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Fisher, Josi, Ekholm, Smith · COL Tanguay, Guenin, Mitchell, Barrie, Everberg

  29. P2 5:42Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov
  30. P2 6:37Shot by Santorelli, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 8:04Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 8:13Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 8:57Shot by Holden, saved by Rinne
  34. P2 9:07Shot by Elliott, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 9:58Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 11:02Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 11:06Goal by Josi (Cullen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Fisher, Weber, Josi, Smith · COL Stuart, Holden, O'Reilly, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  38. P2 11:30Shot by Bartley, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 11:51Shot by Elliott, saved by Rinne
  40. P2 15:18Stuart: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Santorelli, Franson, Wilson, Ekholm, Jarnkrok · COL Iginla, Stuart, Talbot, Holden, Duchene

  41. P2 15:56Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov5v4
  42. P2 16:23Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov5v4
  43. P2 17:51Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:36Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov
  47. P3 0:49Shot by Neal, saved by Varlamov
  48. P3 0:54Goal by Forsberg (Ribeiro)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Franson, Ekholm, Forsberg · COL Iginla, Talbot, Hejda, Duchene, Barrie

  49. P3 2:08Shot by Bartley, saved by Varlamov
  50. P3 2:53Shot by Josi, saved by Berra
  51. P3 2:59Shot by Weber, saved by Berra
  52. P3 3:25Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  53. P3 3:35Shot by Bourque, saved by Berra
  54. P3 3:48Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Berra
  55. P3 4:34Shot by Weber, saved by Berra
  56. P3 4:45Shot by Weber, saved by Berra
  57. P3 6:45Shot by Holden, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 7:10Smith: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Fisher, Bartley, Smith, Jones · COL Tanguay, Hejda, Mitchell, Barrie, Everberg

  59. P3 7:36Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne4v5
  60. P3 8:06Shot by McLeod, saved by Rinne4v6
  61. P3 8:28Goal by Nystrom (Josi)4v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi · COL Iginla, McLeod, O'Reilly, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  62. P3 9:19Shot by Tanguay, saved by Rinne
  63. P3 9:26Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 9:37McLeod: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Bartley, Forsberg, Jones · COL Stuart, Guenin, McLeod, Cliche, Carey

  65. P3 9:37Bartley: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Bartley, Forsberg, Jones · COL Stuart, Guenin, McLeod, Cliche, Carey

  66. P3 9:35Shot by Carey, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 10:45Shot by Fisher, saved by Berra
  68. P3 11:21Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Berra
  69. P3 13:40Shot by Cullen, saved by Berra
  70. P3 15:57Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  71. P3 16:26Shot by Weber, saved by Berra
  72. P3 17:45Shot by Jones, saved by Berra
  73. P3 17:52Shot by Iginla, saved by Rinne
  74. P3 17:53Ekholm: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Ekholm, Forsberg, Jones · COL Iginla, Talbot, Guenin, Holden, Duchene

  75. P3 18:11Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne4v5
  76. P3 18:41Goal by Mitchell (Duchene, Tanguay)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Franson, Bartley, Jarnkrok · COL Tanguay, Mitchell, Holden, Duchene, Barrie

  77. P3 19:59Shot by Cliche, saved by Rinne
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final