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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 24, 2015·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Colorado Avalanche 2, Nashville Predators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 85% of the time.

NSH winsCOL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

O'Reilly–Landeskog–MacKinnonIginla–Talbot–DucheneTanguay–Mitchell–EverbergMcLeod–Cliche–CareyStuart–HoldenGuenin–BarrieHejda–ElliottHejda–BarrieGuenin–ElliottStuart–HejdaHolden–ElliottHolden–Barrie
Ribeiro–Neal–Forsberg0:510.00–0.004:260.16–0.294:110.41–0.001:440.00–0.003:390.06–0.112:410.01–0.001:260.19–0.042:000.16–0.000:340.08–0.001:180.18–0.00
Santorelli–Wilson–Jarnkrok0:570.08–0.004:050.10–0.073:060.18–0.071:530.04–0.013:200.12–0.072:360.04–0.071:020.20–0.001:360.11–0.002:030.00–0.000:320.00–0.01
Gaustad–Nystrom–Bourque7:430.08–0.140:330.00–0.000:580.00–0.003:330.04–0.081:430.00–0.001:240.00–0.030:470.00–0.000:580.00–0.040:430.00–0.02
Cullen–Fisher–Smith1:570.13–0.002:330.06–0.042:170.17–0.030:590.03–0.002:340.19–0.002:090.04–0.041:300.00–0.031:020.19–0.000:320.00–0.00
Santorelli–Wilson–Smith0:330.00–0.03
Franson–Ekholm2:160.00–0.048:330.22–0.242:270.17–0.004:200.09–0.124:330.05–0.071:100.07–0.001:420.12–0.051:010.08–0.000:380.00–0.021:070.05–0.03
Weber–Josi8:080.39–0.081:160.02–0.001:020.25–0.076:120.34–0.151:390.00–0.001:420.25–0.001:170.12–0.00
Bartley–Jones0:320.00–0.042:380.18–0.036:140.30–0.022:530.04–0.031:520.00–0.003:150.33–0.060:350.17–0.001:190.09–0.000:320.00–0.01
Josi–Jones1:270.05–0.020:450.04–0.000:490.02–0.000:590.00–0.00
Ekholm–Jones1:220.05–0.180:450.06–0.001:180.05–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSantorelli FJarnkrok FWilson FCullen FFisher FSmith FForsberg FRibeiro FNeal FNystrom FGaustad FBourque FEkholm DFranson DWeber DJosi DJones DBartley DRinne GDuchene FIginla FTalbot FMacKinnon FLandeskog FO'Reilly FTanguay FMitchell FEverberg FCliche FCarey FMcLeod FHolden DStuart DBarrie DGuenin DHejda DElliott DVarlamov GBerra G
NSHCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Nick HoldenCOL2824:530:532:3014
Seth JonesNSH2623:390:551:4054
Roman JosiNSH2422:320:561:5434
Cody FransonNSH2521:390:521:3244
Tyson BarrieCOL2321:380:562:0163
Mattias EkholmNSH2421:190:532:3633
Brad StuartCOL2720:590:471:5215
Ryan O'ReillyCOL2318:140:481:2464
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2218:080:491:2453
Nate GueninCOL2217:580:492:0124
Jan HejdaCOL2217:470:491:5243
John MitchellCOL2417:370:441:3244
Alex TanguayCOL2517:160:411:1635
Matt DucheneCOL2217:130:471:5424
Mike RibeiroNSH1817:030:571:2951
Colin WilsonNSH1816:400:561:3952
Jarome IginlaCOL2216:390:451:2843
Shea WeberNSH1816:350:551:3733
James NealNSH1915:390:491:2561
Max TalbotCOL2115:170:441:1624
Gabriel LandeskogCOL1915:150:481:3153
Eric NystromNSH2015:090:451:1846
Filip ForsbergNSH1914:470:471:1661
Calle JarnkrokNSH2114:310:411:2134
Mike SantorelliNSH1714:300:511:2133
Stefan ElliottCOL1914:280:461:4033
Victor BartleyNSH1714:160:501:4043
Paul GaustadNSH2114:020:401:1856
Mike FisherNSH2113:580:401:3832
Craig SmithNSH2013:550:421:2741
Dennis EverbergCOL2012:380:381:3223
Gabriel BourqueNSH1812:080:401:1444
Cody McLeodCOL1511:360:461:3112
Matt CullenNSH1710:500:381:0420
Marc-Andre ClicheCOL1510:130:411:3113
Paul CareyCOL129:010:451:1912