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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 28, 2015·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Detroit Red Wings 4, Nashville Predators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 62% of the time.

NSH winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:14Shot by Tatar, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 3:56Shot by Smith, saved by Gustavsson
  4. P1 4:36Shot by Weiss, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 5:15Shot by Gaustad, saved by Gustavsson
  6. P1 5:57Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Gustavsson
  7. P1 7:22Goal by Smith (Andersson, Miller)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Wilson, Ekholm, Smith, Jarnkrok, Jones · DET Weiss, Smith, Andersson, Pulkkinen, DeKeyser

  8. P1 10:14Shot by Smith, saved by Gustavsson
  9. P1 11:49Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Gustavsson
  10. P1 13:23Shot by Josi, saved by Gustavsson
  11. P1 14:25Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 15:24Shot by Ericsson, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 16:09Shot by Marchenko, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 16:22Shot by Pulkkinen, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 16:54Shot by Forsberg, saved by Gustavsson
  16. P1 18:59Shot by Forsberg, saved by Gustavsson
  17. P1 19:05Shot by Forsberg, saved by Gustavsson
  18. P1 19:40Shot by Sheahan, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 19:57Shot by Glendening, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 19:51Shot by Ericsson, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 19:58Glendening: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Ekholm, Forsberg, Jones · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Miller, Sheahan, Glendening

  22. P1 19:58Ribeiro: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Ekholm, Forsberg, Jones · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Miller, Sheahan, Glendening

  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:48Shot by Sheahan, saved by Rinne4v4
  26. P2 1:58Shot by Jones, saved by Gustavsson
  27. P2 2:03Goal by Miller (Jurco)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Wilson, Josi, Forsberg, Jones · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Miller, Jurco, Glendening

  28. P2 2:26Shot by Wilson, saved by Gustavsson
  29. P2 2:33Goal by Cullen (Smith, Josi)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Fisher, Weber, Josi, Smith · DET Datsyuk, Weiss, Smith, Tatar, DeKeyser

  30. P2 2:31Shot by Josi, saved by Gustavsson
  31. P2 3:32Shot by Neal, saved by Gustavsson
  32. P2 5:34Shot by Miller, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 6:02Goal by Fisher (Franson, Cullen)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Fisher, Franson, Ekholm, Smith · DET Abdelkader, Smith, Nyquist, Sheahan, DeKeyser

  34. P2 8:14Shot by Santorelli, saved by Gustavsson
  35. P2 8:17Kindl: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Santorelli, Franson, Wilson, Ekholm, Jarnkrok · DET Kindl, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Sheahan, Marchenko

  36. P2 9:00Shot by Weber, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  37. P2 10:15Shot by Franson, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  38. P2 10:17Shot by Wilson, saved by Gustavsson
  39. P2 10:20Shot by Cullen, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 11:05Shot by Tatar, saved by Rinne
  41. P2 11:13Shot by Kindl, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 11:28Josi: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi, Bourque · DET Datsyuk, Kindl, Abdelkader, Tatar, Marchenko

  43. P2 11:45Shot by Fisher, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  44. P2 12:41Shot by Tatar, saved by Rinne4v5
  45. P2 14:11Tatar: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Santorelli, Wilson, Josi · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Jurco, Glendening

  46. P2 14:11Wilson: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Santorelli, Wilson, Josi · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Jurco, Glendening

  47. P2 14:42Shot by Smith, saved by Rinne4v4
  48. P2 14:49Shot by Nyquist, saved by Rinne4v4
  49. P2 15:16Smith: Holding (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NSH Weber, Josi, Jarnkrok, Forsberg · DET Kronwall, Smith, Nyquist, Sheahan

  50. P2 16:08Goal by Weber (Ribeiro, Josi)4v3+23 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Forsberg · DET Miller, Glendening, DeKeyser

  51. P2 17:33Shot by Neal, saved by Gustavsson
  52. P2 17:42Shot by Ekholm, saved by Gustavsson
  53. P2 19:23Shot by Cullen, saved by Gustavsson
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:43Shot by Smith, saved by Gustavsson
  57. P3 0:54Shot by Nyquist, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 2:02Smith: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Bartley, Forsberg, Jones · DET Smith, Pulkkinen, Jurco, Glendening, DeKeyser

  59. P3 2:02Forsberg: Embellishment (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Bartley, Forsberg, Jones · DET Smith, Pulkkinen, Jurco, Glendening, DeKeyser

  60. P3 3:56Goal by Marchenko (Abdelkader, Kronwall)4v4+28 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Neal, Josi · DET Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Marchenko

  61. P3 4:32Shot by Weber, saved by Gustavsson
  62. P3 5:21Shot by Kindl, saved by Rinne
  63. P3 5:23Shot by Andersson, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 8:07Fisher: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Fisher, Weber, Josi, Smith · DET Datsyuk, Abdelkader, Smith, Tatar, DeKeyser

  65. P3 9:06Goal by Tatar (Datsyuk, Kronwall)4v5+27 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Nystrom, Weber, Josi, Jarnkrok · DET Datsyuk, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Tatar

  66. P3 9:42Neal: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Franson, Ekholm, Forsberg · DET Miller, Smith, Jurco, Glendening, DeKeyser

  67. P3 10:50Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Rinne4v5
  68. P3 13:44Shot by Weber, saved by Gustavsson
  69. P3 13:50Shot by Weber, saved by Gustavsson
  70. P3 13:57Smith: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Wilson, Ekholm, Smith, Jones · DET Datsyuk, Abdelkader, Smith, Tatar, DeKeyser

  71. P3 14:17Shot by Neal, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  72. P3 14:19Shot by Neal, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  73. P3 14:21Shot by Neal, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  74. P3 15:25Shot by Forsberg, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  75. P3 16:23Shot by Jones, saved by Gustavsson
  76. P3 16:33Shot by Nyquist, saved by Rinne
  77. P3 17:17Sheahan: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Ribeiro, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg · DET Datsyuk, Kronwall, Ericsson, Miller, Abdelkader

  78. P3 17:29Shot by Weber, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  79. P3 18:07Shot by Weber, saved by Gustavsson6v4
  80. P3 18:16Shot by Weber, saved by Gustavsson6v4
  81. P3 18:23Shot by Weber, saved by Gustavsson6v4
  82. P3 18:44Shot by Forsberg, saved by Gustavsson6v4
  83. P3 19:24Shot by Neal, saved by Gustavsson6v5
  84. P3 19:37Neal: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Ribeiro, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg · DET Datsyuk, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Smith, Andersson

  85. P3 19:50Rinne: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Weber, Josi, Smith · DET Datsyuk, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Andersson, DeKeyser

  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final