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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 4, 2015·Pepsi Center, Denver

Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Colorado Avalanche 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 59% of the time.

COL winsPIT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kunitz–Malkin–ComeauCrosby–Hornqvist–PerronWinnik–Downie–SutterLapierre–Spaling–BennettCrosby–Hornqvist–SpalingMartin–LetangLovejoy–PouliotScuderi–Cole
O'Reilly–Landeskog–MacKinnon9:240.22–0.350:450.15–0.000:500.03–0.007:430.19–0.232:540.08–0.09
Tanguay–Mitchell–Everberg2:200.00–0.367:470.19–0.171:140.00–0.004:010.13–0.443:280.07–0.103:350.12–0.00
Iginla–Caron–Duchene2:260.00–0.196:350.03–0.180:550.00–0.002:540.00–0.173:580.00–0.083:280.03–0.16
McLeod–Cliche–Hishon0:410.00–0.024:130.00–0.011:090.00–0.003:510.04–0.011:490.00–0.02
McLeod–Hishon–MacKinnon0:500.03–0.001:040.03–0.00
Tanguay–Mitchell–MacKinnon
Guenin–Barrie7:420.15–0.301:100.00–0.051:030.00–0.021:280.01–0.015:410.04–0.144:540.10–0.141:420.00–0.07
Hejda–Redmond1:170.03–0.001:330.15–0.017:110.03–0.181:280.00–0.003:030.15–0.046:090.03–0.154:170.03–0.11
Stuart–Holden1:560.00–0.347:350.19–0.301:060.00–0.001:360.00–0.005:390.13–0.603:080.10–0.003:200.12–0.00
Stuart–Barrie0:500.00–0.090:300.00–0.090:470.00–0.00
Guenin–Hejda0:320.02–0.000:500.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Guenin–Holden0:350.00–0.120:420.02–0.001:130.02–0.12
Redmond–Barrie
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMitchell FTanguay FEverberg FDuchene FIginla FCaron FMacKinnon FO'Reilly FLandeskog FCliche FHishon FMcLeod FHolden DStuart DHejda DRedmond DBarrie DGuenin DVarlamov GPerron FHornqvist FCrosby FSutter FDownie FWinnik FKunitz FComeau FMalkin FSpaling FBennett FLapierre FMartin DLetang DScuderi DCole DLovejoy DPouliot DFleury G
COLPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT3126:470:522:0655
Tyson BarrieCOL3122:390:441:3754
Paul MartinPIT3022:340:451:1543
Nick HoldenCOL2821:580:471:1944
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2519:350:471:2932
Brad StuartCOL2619:350:451:1627
Nate GueninCOL3019:340:391:0844
Ben LovejoyPIT2519:270:471:2533
Derrick PouliotPIT2519:270:471:3342
Sidney CrosbyPIT2319:190:502:2743
Alex TanguayCOL2319:010:501:2465
Ryan O'ReillyCOL2518:260:441:1444
Evgeni MalkinPIT2318:100:472:2753
Patric HornqvistPIT2318:040:472:0062
John MitchellCOL2317:590:471:2664
David PerronPIT2217:170:471:3553
Zach RedmondCOL2517:110:411:1425
Chris KunitzPIT2417:100:431:4553
Gabriel LandeskogCOL2317:040:451:0542
Brandon SutterPIT2416:590:421:0464
Matt DucheneCOL2116:540:481:3515
Jan HejdaCOL2516:440:401:3025
Jarome IginlaCOL2316:210:431:3335
Blake ComeauPIT2315:290:401:1323
Rob ScuderiPIT2315:210:401:1663
Dennis EverbergCOL2115:200:441:1535
Daniel WinnikPIT1913:410:431:1151
Jordan CaronCOL1913:180:421:3515
Nick SpalingPIT1813:070:441:1123
Ian ColePIT1712:200:441:0340
Steve DowniePIT1712:020:421:0460
Maxim LapierrePIT1310:480:501:1121
Beau BennettPIT139:580:461:1012
Marc-Andre ClicheCOL139:170:431:0423
Cody McLeodCOL128:590:451:1122
Joey HishonCOL128:050:401:0022