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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 7, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

St. Louis Blues 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Away

St. Louis Blues

6

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 75% of the time.

TOR winsSTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:45Shot by Jaskin, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 4:41Shot by Jaskin, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 7:49Shot by Stastny, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 7:57Shot by Jaskin, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 8:22Shot by Backes, saved by Bernier
  7. P1 9:49Shot by Berglund, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 9:54Shot by Jaskin, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 10:13Shot by Steen, saved by Bernier
  10. P1 10:21Shot by Oshie, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 10:58Shot by Panik, saved by Elliott
  12. P1 11:01Sill: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Lindstrom, Smith, Sill, Erixon · STL Jokinen, Ott, Reaves, Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo

  13. P1 11:01Ott: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Lindstrom, Smith, Sill, Erixon · STL Jokinen, Ott, Reaves, Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo

  14. P1 11:57Shot by Jackman, saved by Bernier
  15. P1 12:04Shot by Schwartz, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 12:14Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Elliott
  17. P1 12:18Lehtera: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lindstrom, Lupul, Polak, Holland, Rielly · STL Jackman, Bortuzzo, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz

  18. P1 14:01Shot by Panik, saved by Elliott5v4
  19. P1 14:49Goal by Schwartz (Tarasenko, Lehtera)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Lindstrom, Polak, Kadri, Panik · STL Butler, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz, Lindbohm

  20. P1 16:18Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Elliott
  21. P1 16:30Goal by Oshie (Steen, Elliott)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Erixon, Rielly · STL Steen, Backes, Oshie, Butler, Bortuzzo

  22. P1 17:10Shot by Erixon, saved by Elliott
  23. P1 17:35Booth: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Booth, Gardiner, Holland · STL Steen, Backes, Oshie, Butler, Lindbohm

  24. P1 18:04Shot by Lehtera, saved by Bernier4v5
  25. P1 18:29Shot by Stastny, saved by Bernier4v5
  26. P1 18:42Shot by Steen, saved by Bernier4v5
  27. P1 19:45Goal by Tarasenko (Lehtera, Gunnarsson)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Booth, Komarov, Smith, Gardiner, Rielly · STL Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz

  28. P1 0:00Lupul: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Booth, Polak, Gardiner, Holland · STL Stastny, Butler, Reaves, Berglund, Lindbohm

  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:49Shot by Jaskin, saved by Reimer4v5
  32. P2 1:26Shot by Lehtera, saved by Reimer4v5
  33. P2 3:30Shot by Bortuzzo, saved by Reimer
  34. P2 3:37Shot by Bortuzzo, saved by Reimer
  35. P2 4:47Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Panik · STL Steen, Backes, Oshie, Butler, Lindbohm

  36. P2 4:47Backes: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Panik · STL Steen, Backes, Oshie, Butler, Lindbohm

  37. P2 5:06Shot by Bozak, saved by Elliott4v4
  38. P2 7:58Shot by Kadri, saved by Elliott
  39. P2 8:28Shot by Ott, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 9:08Shot by Bortuzzo, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 9:08Reaves: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly · STL Jackman, Stastny, Berglund, Bortuzzo, Jaskin

  42. P2 11:07Goal by Butler (Schwartz, Lehtera)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Gardiner, Erixon, Holland, Panik · STL Butler, Lehtera, Schwartz, Lindbohm

  43. P2 11:17Shot by Sill, saved by Elliott
  44. P2 11:18Shot by Kadri, saved by Elliott
  45. P2 12:02Booth: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Lupul, Booth, Erixon, Holland · STL Stastny, Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz

  46. P2 13:36Goal by Stastny (Oshie, Steen)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Sill, Panik, Rielly · STL Steen, Backes, Stastny, Oshie, Gunnarsson

  47. P2 14:08Shot by Lindbohm, saved by Reimer
  48. P2 14:25Shot by Jokinen, saved by Reimer
  49. P2 14:42Shot by Bozak, saved by Elliott
  50. P2 15:17Shot by Reaves, saved by Reimer
  51. P2 15:30Shot by Panik, saved by Elliott
  52. P2 15:38Pietrangelo: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Komarov, Kadri, Panik, Rielly · STL Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz

  53. P2 15:38Panik: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Polak, Komarov, Kadri, Panik, Rielly · STL Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz

  54. P2 15:38Pietrangelo: Cross checking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Polak, Komarov, Kadri, Panik, Rielly · STL Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz

  55. P2 18:34Shot by Schwartz, saved by Reimer
  56. P2 18:55Shot by Kessel, saved by Elliott
  57. P2 19:38Bortuzzo: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Komarov, Kadri, Panik, Rielly · STL Jokinen, Jackman, Ott, Reaves, Bortuzzo

  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:11Shot by Kadri, saved by Elliott5v4
  61. P3 1:24Shot by Komarov, saved by Elliott5v4
  62. P3 1:33Shot by Schwartz, saved by Reimer5v4
  63. P3 2:21Shot by Polak, saved by Elliott
  64. P3 2:59Goal by Booth (Gardiner, Holland)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Booth, Gardiner, Holland · STL Steen, Backes, Oshie, Butler, Lindbohm

  65. P3 3:12Shot by Stastny, saved by Reimer
  66. P3 4:07Brewer: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Lindstrom, Smith, Sill, Erixon · STL Jokinen, Ott, Reaves, Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo

  67. P3 5:06Shot by Steen, saved by Reimer4v5
  68. P3 5:44Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Reimer4v5
  69. P3 6:03Backes: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Booth, Komarov, Erixon, Rielly · STL Backes, Stastny, Oshie, Butler, Gunnarsson

  70. P3 6:07Shot by Kessel, saved by Elliott5v4
  71. P3 6:55Shot by Kessel, saved by Elliott5v4
  72. P3 7:02Shot by Gardiner, saved by Elliott5v4
  73. P3 10:36Goal by Backes (Steen, Pietrangelo)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Holland · STL Steen, Backes, Oshie, Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo

  74. P3 11:19Shot by Ott, saved by Reimer
  75. P3 11:20Shot by Reaves, saved by Reimer
  76. P3 12:39Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Elliott
  77. P3 13:20Shot by Bortuzzo, saved by Reimer
  78. P3 13:43Shot by Booth, saved by Elliott
  79. P3 13:50Shot by Rielly, saved by Elliott
  80. P3 14:39Shot by Lindbohm, saved by Reimer
  81. P3 14:39Reaves: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Booth, Polak, Komarov, Holland, Rielly · STL Stastny, Butler, Reaves, Jaskin, Lindbohm

  82. P3 14:39Polak: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Booth, Polak, Komarov, Holland, Rielly · STL Stastny, Butler, Reaves, Jaskin, Lindbohm

  83. P3 14:39Polak: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Booth, Polak, Komarov, Holland, Rielly · STL Stastny, Butler, Reaves, Jaskin, Lindbohm

  84. P3 15:00Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Reimer4v4
  85. P3 15:14Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Elliott4v4
  86. P3 15:53Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Reimer4v4
  87. P3 16:20Shot by Lindbohm, saved by Reimer4v4
  88. P3 17:53Shot by Bortuzzo, saved by Reimer
  89. P3 18:18Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Reimer
  90. P3 18:53Shot by Bortuzzo, saved by Reimer
  91. P3 19:00Shot by Booth, saved by Elliott
  92. P3 0:00Period end
  93. P3 0:00Final