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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 7, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

St. Louis Blues 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 75% of the time.

TOR winsSTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against STL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Steen–Backes–OshieLehtera–Tarasenko–SchwartzStastny–Berglund–JaskinJokinen–Ott–ReavesJokinen–Berglund–JaskinOtt–Stastny–ReavesOtt–Lehtera–TarasenkoJackman–BortuzzoButler–LindbohmGunnarsson–Pietrangelo
Lupul–Booth–Holland1:190.10–0.080:370.00–0.092:590.00–0.261:000.00–0.120:370.02–0.000:340.00–0.003:310.28–0.262:230.13–0.172:020.00–0.12
Kessel–van Riemsdyk–Bozak1:210.03–0.142:470.01–0.000:410.05–0.030:540.00–0.190:520.00–0.401:560.04–0.201:320.00–0.112:410.01–0.00
Komarov–Kadri–Panik3:110.05–0.101:080.12–0.000:430.16–0.001:450.04–0.052:560.06–0.071:220.26–0.00
Lindstrom–Smith–Sill1:190.00–0.000:500.02–0.000:420.00–0.041:340.03–0.00
Booth–Smith–Sill0:330.00–0.00
Lindstrom–Komarov–Smith0:470.00–0.13
Lindstrom–Lupul–Holland0:340.00–0.141:000.03–0.14
Phaneuf–Gardiner5:190.20–0.140:430.00–0.001:400.05–0.080:580.00–0.000:340.00–0.143:260.04–0.335:050.18–0.031:260.00–0.00
Brewer–Erixon0:480.00–0.090:310.00–0.022:000.11–0.121:210.00–0.190:520.00–0.400:300.00–0.003:310.00–0.301:570.03–0.232:500.11–0.12
Polak–Rielly2:210.15–0.001:580.03–0.190:340.00–0.003:040.31–0.131:570.02–0.112:010.15–0.00
Brewer–Polak1:360.01–0.131:000.01–0.00
Gardiner–Rielly0:480.03–0.001:140.03–0.00
Brewer–Gardiner0:430.00–0.00
Brewer–Rielly0:330.00–0.000:570.00–0.11
Gardiner–Erixon0:320.00–0.090:420.00–0.09
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPanik FKadri FKomarov FLupul FHolland FBooth FBozak FKessel Fvan Riemsdyk FLindstrom FSill FSmith FPhaneuf DGardiner DRielly DPolak DBrewer DErixon DBernier GReimer GSteen FBackes FOshie FJaskin FStastny FBerglund FSchwartz FLehtera FTarasenko FOtt FJokinen FReaves FGunnarsson DPietrangelo DButler DLindbohm DJackman DBortuzzo DElliott G
TORSTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jake GardinerTOR2723:440:531:4856
Dion PhaneufTOR2822:570:491:2887
Morgan RiellyTOR2322:160:581:4213
Alex PietrangeloSTL3121:170:411:3165
Barret JackmanSTL2720:480:461:3022
Alexander SteenSTL2918:470:391:5647
T.J. OshieSTL3018:370:371:2334
Roman PolakTOR2318:020:471:3417
Petteri LindbohmSTL2817:530:381:1554
Paul StastnySTL3017:450:361:1232
Carl GunnarssonSTL2917:430:371:2452
Jaden SchwartzSTL2317:270:461:1462
Robert BortuzzoSTL2317:190:452:0922
Chris ButlerSTL2617:150:401:1552
Peter HollandTOR2317:030:441:2342
David BackesSTL3017:020:341:1239
Joffrey LupulTOR2216:260:451:4231
Leo KomarovTOR2516:110:391:1036
Eric BrewerTOR2116:090:461:4113
Richard PanikTOR2215:550:431:5143
Nazem KadriTOR2315:430:411:4244
Tim ErixonTOR2315:370:411:1402
James van RiemsdykTOR1715:160:541:2443
Phil KesselTOR1715:110:541:2443
Vladimir TarasenkoSTL2014:490:441:1661
Tyler BozakTOR1814:360:491:2654
David BoothTOR1714:260:511:3623
Jori LehteraSTL2113:310:391:1080
Patrik BerglundSTL2012:570:391:0940
Trevor SmithTOR1512:110:491:1223
Dmitrij JaskinSTL1812:080:401:0740
Steve OttSTL1811:060:371:1613
Olli JokinenSTL1710:290:371:2304
Zach SillTOR159:370:381:1813
Ryan ReavesSTL159:090:371:0012
Joakim LindstromTOR117:060:391:2011