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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 16, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Washington Capitals 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)

Away

Washington Capitals

4

Final

Shootout

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 51% of the time.

BUF winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:17Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Holtby
  3. P1 1:29Shot by Schaller, saved by Holtby
  4. P1 1:33Shot by Zadorov, saved by Holtby
  5. P1 2:43Shot by Ennis, saved by Holtby
  6. P1 2:51Shot by Laich, saved by Lindback
  7. P1 3:28Weber: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Weber, Foligno, Varone, Ristolainen · WSH Ovechkin, Niskanen, Backstrom, Alzner, Wilson

  8. P1 3:28Ovechkin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Weber, Foligno, Varone, Ristolainen · WSH Ovechkin, Niskanen, Backstrom, Alzner, Wilson

  9. P1 3:28Ovechkin: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Weber, Foligno, Varone, Ristolainen · WSH Ovechkin, Niskanen, Backstrom, Alzner, Wilson

  10. P1 3:49Shot by Larsson, saved by Holtby5v4
  11. P1 4:37Shot by Gionta, saved by Holtby5v4
  12. P1 4:43Shot by Gionta, saved by Holtby5v4
  13. P1 5:02Goal by Ennis (Ristolainen, Gionta)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Moulson, Ennis, Larsson, Ristolainen · WSH Chimera, Ward, Gleason, Carlson

  14. P1 7:06Shot by Carlson, saved by Lindback
  15. P1 7:36D'Amigo: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Strachan, Weber, Dalpe, D'Amigo · WSH Chimera, Fehr, Green, Wilson, Schmidt

  16. P1 7:52Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lindback4v5
  17. P1 9:21Shot by Ward, saved by Lindback4v5
  18. P1 9:23Goal by Glencross (Ward, Niskanen)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Benoit, Foligno, Ristolainen · WSH Ward, Glencross, Ovechkin, Niskanen, Kuznetsov

  19. P1 10:08Goal by Hodgson (Schaller)+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hodgson, Deslauriers, Schaller, Ruhwedel, Zadorov · WSH Chimera, Ward, Laich, Niskanen, Alzner

  20. P1 10:27Shot by Backstrom, saved by Lindback
  21. P1 11:17Shot by Backstrom, saved by Lindback
  22. P1 11:25Shot by Alzner, saved by Lindback
  23. P1 11:41Shot by Ennis, saved by Holtby
  24. P1 11:45Shot by Larsson, saved by Holtby
  25. P1 12:40Shot by Ellis, saved by Holtby
  26. P1 13:07Shot by Ellis, saved by Holtby
  27. P1 14:36Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lindback
  28. P1 15:18Shot by Moulson, saved by Holtby
  29. P1 16:40Shot by Conner, saved by Lindback
  30. P1 18:58Shot by Benoit, saved by Holtby
  31. P1 19:18Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lindback
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:23Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Holtby
  35. P2 1:09Shot by Foligno, saved by Holtby
  36. P2 1:50Fehr: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Strachan, Deslauriers, Varone, Zadorov · WSH Chimera, Ward, Fehr, Carlson, Schmidt

  37. P2 2:44Shot by Backstrom, saved by Lindback5v4
  38. P2 3:29Shot by Hodgson, saved by Holtby5v4
  39. P2 5:14Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lindback
  40. P2 6:00Shot by Glencross, saved by Lindback
  41. P2 6:05Shot by Laich, saved by Lindback
  42. P2 6:09Goal by Green (Johansson, Laich)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Benoit, Strachan, Dalpe, D'Amigo · WSH Gleason, Laich, Green, Conner, Johansson

  43. P2 6:33Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Lindback
  44. P2 7:04Shot by Carlson, saved by Lindback
  45. P2 9:13Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Lindback
  46. P2 10:37Shot by Moulson, saved by Holtby
  47. P2 10:39Shot by Moulson, saved by Holtby
  48. P2 11:13Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Lindback
  49. P2 12:19Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lindback
  50. P2 12:27Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lindback
  51. P2 14:14Shot by Moulson, saved by Holtby
  52. P2 14:39Shot by Brouwer, saved by Lindback
  53. P2 15:02Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Lindback
  54. P2 16:57Shot by Wilson, saved by Lindback
  55. P2 18:16Shot by Hodgson, saved by Holtby
  56. P2 19:15Shot by Carlson, saved by Lindback
  57. P2 19:59Shot by Gionta, saved by Holtby
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 1:52Shot by Hodgson, saved by Holtby
  61. P3 4:03Shot by Green, saved by Lindback
  62. P3 4:10Zadorov: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Hodgson, Varone, Ruhwedel, Zadorov · WSH Gleason, Ovechkin, Green, Backstrom, Johansson

  63. P3 4:29Shot by Brouwer, saved by Lindback4v5
  64. P3 5:55Goal by Kuznetsov (Niskanen)4v5+25 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Strachan, D'Amigo, Schaller · WSH Ward, Glencross, Ovechkin, Green, Kuznetsov

  65. P3 8:55Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Lindback
  66. P3 8:38Shot by Hodgson, saved by Holtby
  67. P3 9:49Brouwer: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Ennis, Foligno, Larsson, Ruhwedel, Zadorov · WSH Chimera, Ward, Fehr, Niskanen, Alzner

  68. P3 11:19Shot by Hodgson, saved by Holtby5v4
  69. P3 11:37Shot by Hodgson, saved by Holtby5v4
  70. P3 13:50Goal by Larsson (Ruhwedel, Moulson)+35 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Ennis, Larsson, Ruhwedel, Zadorov · WSH Chimera, Ward, Fehr, Carlson, Schmidt

  71. P3 15:42Shot by Larsson, saved by Holtby
  72. P3 17:50Shot by Benoit, saved by Holtby
  73. P3 18:45Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Lindback
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. OT 0:00Period start
  76. OT 0:13Shot by Weber, saved by Holtby4v4
  77. OT 0:46Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lindback4v4
  78. OT 1:31Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Lindback4v4
  79. OT 1:40Shot by Carlson, saved by Lindback4v4
  80. OT 3:02Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lindback4v4
  81. OT 3:12Shot by Ennis, saved by Holtby4v4
  82. OT 3:40Shot by Carlson, saved by Lindback4v4
  83. OT 3:43Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lindback4v4
  84. OT 3:56Shot by Gionta, saved by Holtby4v4
  85. OT 4:39Shot by Green, saved by Lindback4v4
  86. OT 5:00Period end
  87. SO Period start
  88. SO Shot by Ennis, saved by Holtbyother
  89. SO Goal by Kuznetsov, unassistedother
  90. SO Shot by Moulson, saved by Holtbyother
  91. SO Shot by Backstrom, saved by Lindbackother
  92. SO Period end
  93. SO Final