Mon, Mar 16, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 51% of the time.
41%
10%
9%
40%
BUF winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 26:16 | 0.32 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 26:00 | 0.00 | 27.6% | +42.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:49 | 0.01 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:58 | 0.18 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 22:30 | 0.77 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:57 | 0.10 | 42.9% | +21.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:23 | 0.43 | 47.6% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:15 | 0.13 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18:07 | 0.36 | 48.8% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.00 | 68.2% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.00 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.25 | 22.2% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:24 | 0.01 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:14 | 0.05 | 55.9% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:16 | 0.00 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:06 | 0.00 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:06 | 0.19 | 62.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.85 | −0.1 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28:11 | 0.04 | 42.5% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:39 | 0.01 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:59 | 0.52 | 51.4% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:22 | 0.61 | 77.7% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:10 | 0.50 | 73.8% | +34.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:31 | 0.00 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:58 | 0.10 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:39 | 0.36 | 76.0% | +34.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:34 | 0.18 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:52 | 0.09 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.02 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 14:48 | 0.19 | 26.5% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.06 | 39.5% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.05 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:13 | 0.00 | 69.5% | +34.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:13 | 0.00 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:35 | 0.00 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 4:02 | 0.14 | 34.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 2.79 | −0.2 | 64:45 |