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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 22, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Boston Bruins 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 53% of the time.

TBL winsBOS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by McQuaid, saved by Bishop5v6
  3. P1 0:33Goal by Bergeron (Marchand, McQuaid)5v6+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stralman, Hedman, Namestnikov · BOS Seidenberg, Bergeron, Soderberg, McQuaid, Marchand, Smith

  4. P1 1:19Shot by Drouin, saved by Rask
  5. P1 2:07Johnson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Garrison, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov · BOS Seidenberg, Bergeron, Marchand, Trotman, Pastrnak

  6. P1 2:07Marchand: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Carle, Garrison, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov · BOS Seidenberg, Bergeron, Marchand, Trotman, Pastrnak

  7. P1 3:35Stralman: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman · BOS Chara, Bergeron, Smith, Trotman

  8. P1 4:06Shot by Eriksson, saved by Bishop3v4
  9. P1 5:36Shot by McQuaid, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 5:46Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Rask
  11. P1 5:47Shot by Morrow, saved by Rask
  12. P1 5:49Goal by Namestnikov (Morrow, Brown)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Morrow, Barberio, Namestnikov, Brown, Sustr · BOS Seidenberg, Campbell, Talbot, Paille, McQuaid

  13. P1 6:10Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 10:05Stamkos: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Drouin · BOS Chara, Eriksson, Bergeron, Marchand, Bartkowski

  15. P1 10:05Marchand: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Drouin · BOS Chara, Eriksson, Bergeron, Marchand, Bartkowski

  16. P1 10:31Shot by Garrison, saved by Rask
  17. P1 10:47Goal by Brown (Palat, Carle)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Carle, Palat, Brown, Sustr · BOS Chara, Seidenberg, Campbell, Talbot, Lucic

  18. P1 11:02Goal by Stralman (Filppula, Namestnikov)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stralman, Hedman, Namestnikov · BOS Seidenberg, Paille, Bergeron, Smith, Trotman

  19. P1 12:39Shot by Paille, saved by Bishop
  20. P1 19:25Shot by Brown, saved by Rask
  21. P1 19:50Shot by Chara, saved by Bishop
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:08Shot by Stralman, saved by Rask
  25. P2 1:31Shot by Kelly, saved by Bishop
  26. P2 1:36Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Bishop
  27. P2 2:27Shot by Garrison, saved by Rask
  28. P2 2:45Shot by Talbot, saved by Bishop
  29. P2 3:50Shot by Marchand, saved by Bishop
  30. P2 6:20Shot by Talbot, saved by Bishop
  31. P2 7:39Shot by Johnson, saved by Rask
  32. P2 7:54Goal by Garrison (Johnson, Carle)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carle, Garrison, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov · BOS Kelly, Seidenberg, Eriksson, Soderberg, Krug

  33. P2 11:17Shot by Trotman, saved by Bishop
  34. P2 11:32Shot by Lucic, saved by Bishop
  35. P2 12:47Shot by Callahan, saved by Svedberg
  36. P2 13:17Shot by Chara, saved by Bishop
  37. P2 14:30Shot by Lucic, saved by Bishop
  38. P2 16:09Shot by Johnson, saved by Svedberg
  39. P2 17:40Shot by Spooner, saved by Bishop
  40. P2 18:24Shot by Drouin, saved by Svedberg
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 0:55Shot by Stamkos, saved by Svedberg
  44. P3 2:39Shot by Boyle, saved by Svedberg
  45. P3 3:00Shot by Talbot, saved by Bishop
  46. P3 3:04Shot by Campbell, saved by Bishop
  47. P3 6:33Shot by Trotman, saved by Bishop
  48. P3 7:41Shot by Chara, saved by Bishop
  49. P3 8:45Shot by Kelly, saved by Bishop
  50. P3 8:56Killorn: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Killorn, Stamkos, Sustr, Drouin · BOS Kelly, Seidenberg, Eriksson, Soderberg, Krug

  51. P3 9:05Shot by Krug, saved by Bishop4v5
  52. P3 10:22Goal by Chara (Smith, Pastrnak)4v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Boyle, Stralman, Hedman · BOS Chara, Soderberg, Lucic, Smith, Pastrnak

  53. P3 12:01Soderberg: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Garrison, Stamkos, Barberio, Drouin · BOS Chara, Kelly, Eriksson, Soderberg, McQuaid

  54. P3 12:22Shot by Hedman, saved by Svedberg5v4
  55. P3 13:50Goal by Palat (Callahan, Kucherov)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Stralman, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov · BOS Chara, Campbell, Talbot, McQuaid

  56. P3 16:57Shot by Chara, saved by Bishop
  57. P3 17:03Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Bishop
  58. P3 18:32Shot by Talbot, saved by Bishop
  59. P3 19:12Goal by Paille (Talbot, Campbell)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Garrison, Barberio, Namestnikov · BOS Seidenberg, Campbell, Talbot, Paille, Krug

  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Final