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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 22, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Boston Bruins 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 53% of the time.

TBL winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kelly–Eriksson–SoderbergLucic–Spooner–PastrnakBergeron–Marchand–SmithCampbell–Talbot–PailleBergeron–Lucic–SmithSeidenberg–KrugMcQuaid–BartkowskiChara–TrotmanChara–McQuaidChara–KrugBartkowski–TrotmanSeidenberg–TrotmanSeidenberg–McQuaid
Killorn–Stamkos–Drouin6:140.31–0.064:220.00–0.161:070.00–0.030:400.00–0.004:390.08–0.131:410.05–0.012:330.12–0.032:040.10–0.04
Filppula–Callahan–Namestnikov1:440.00–0.042:090.00–0.077:320.10–0.060:550.00–0.083:360.03–0.082:160.06–0.002:290.00–0.141:490.00–0.050:550.00–0.000:380.02–0.010:460.00–0.00
Johnson–Palat–Kucherov1:490.10–0.005:310.07–0.161:470.04–0.001:460.00–0.051:170.04–0.003:160.14–0.003:370.03–0.032:020.00–0.170:330.00–0.001:110.09–0.000:520.00–0.00
Morrow–Boyle–Brown1:590.03–0.021:340.00–0.054:110.07–0.231:550.10–0.251:340.00–0.022:080.00–0.020:460.00–0.001:170.00–0.010:330.00–0.00
Filppula–Killorn–Drouin0:410.00–0.010:400.00–0.01
Stralman–Hedman2:490.03–0.001:240.00–0.077:150.10–0.042:400.02–0.030:320.00–0.007:180.10–0.031:350.11–0.021:460.00–0.070:320.00–0.001:570.00–0.011:040.02–0.011:000.00–0.00
Barberio–Sustr5:250.17–0.091:190.00–0.013:070.03–0.051:590.45–0.000:470.04–0.002:080.10–0.054:190.00–0.012:530.00–0.122:310.15–0.00
Carle–Garrison1:140.03–0.006:430.07–0.160:440.00–0.012:050.00–0.061:150.03–0.032:570.03–0.011:560.00–0.171:400.00–0.010:360.04–0.000:330.00–0.00
Garrison–Barberio1:340.05–0.001:220.00–0.040:580.00–0.042:070.07–0.282:040.07–0.281:490.05–0.001:370.00–0.04
Carle–Sustr2:160.00–0.031:160.00–0.070:400.00–0.131:460.00–0.161:130.00–0.031:080.00–0.000:410.00–0.04
Stralman–Barberio0:370.00–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCallahan FFilppula FNamestnikov FKillorn FDrouin FStamkos FJohnson FPalat FKucherov FBoyle FBrown FMorrow FStralman DHedman DBarberio DSustr DGarrison DCarle DBishop GSmith FBergeron FMarchand FSoderberg FEriksson FKelly FPastrnak FLucic FSpooner FCampbell FPaille FTalbot FSeidenberg DMcQuaid DChara DKrug DTrotman DBartkowski DRask GSvedberg G
TBLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zdeno CharaBOS3023:480:481:2351
Torey KrugBOS2523:050:552:1332
Dennis SeidenbergBOS2921:570:451:3841
Victor HedmanTBL2720:540:461:4015
Mark BarberioTBL2520:440:502:4323
Anton StralmanTBL2820:020:431:4006
Jason GarrisonTBL2619:200:451:3004
Andrej SustrTBL2218:510:512:0621
Patrice BergeronBOS2618:270:431:4152
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2517:560:431:3223
Alex KillornTBL1917:400:561:4022
Matt CarleTBL2117:380:501:3001
Adam McQuaidBOS2317:220:451:3440
Loui ErikssonBOS2217:070:471:5621
Milan LucicBOS2216:590:461:2150
Zach TrotmanBOS2516:540:411:2140
Matt BartkowskiBOS1916:420:531:2101
Jonathan DrouinTBL1816:400:561:4012
Ondrej PalatTBL2116:180:471:1904
Tyler JohnsonTBL2016:140:491:1903
Carl SoderbergBOS2015:460:471:0711
Ryan SpoonerBOS2015:460:471:2150
Ryan CallahanTBL2115:430:451:3213
Reilly SmithBOS2415:320:391:1742
Steven StamkosTBL1715:220:541:3112
Chris KellyBOS2014:490:441:0711
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL2014:420:441:3213
David PastrnakBOS2014:380:441:1040
Nikita KucherovTBL1714:060:501:1902
Brad MarchandBOS2214:040:381:1832
Brian BoyleTBL1712:180:431:3612
Daniel PailleBOS1811:440:391:0011
Gregory CampbellBOS2011:180:341:0021
Max TalbotBOS1710:540:381:0720
JT BrownTBL1510:330:421:1411
Brenden MorrowTBL149:330:411:1410