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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 28, 2015·Pepsi Center, Denver

Buffalo Sabres 3, Colorado Avalanche 5

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 51% of the time.

COL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:37Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 2:32Shot by Guenin, saved by Lindback
  4. P1 2:47Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 3:51Shot by Hodgson, saved by Varlamov5v6
  6. P1 3:52Redmond: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Iginla, Hejda, Mitchell, Redmond, Duchene · BUF Ellis, Weber, Hodgson, Larsson, Schaller, Ristolainen

  7. P1 4:24Shot by Larsson, saved by Varlamov4v5
  8. P1 5:16Shot by Benoit, saved by Varlamov4v5
  9. P1 5:17Shot by Foligno, saved by Varlamov4v5
  10. P1 6:09Shot by Duchene, saved by Lindback
  11. P1 6:17Shot by Iginla, saved by Lindback
  12. P1 7:03Shot by Larsson, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 8:00Shot by Hishon, saved by Lindback
  14. P1 8:05Shot by Barrie, saved by Lindback
  15. P1 9:02Shot by Redmond, saved by Lindback
  16. P1 10:47Goal by Cliche (McLeod, Everberg)+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Stuart, McLeod, Cliche, Holden, Everberg · BUF Gionta, Benoit, Moulson, Bogosian, Larsson

  17. P1 11:19Goal by Mitchell (Duchene, Iginla)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Hejda, Mitchell, Duchene, Barrie · BUF Strachan, Meszaros, Dalpe, Foligno, Grigorenko

  18. P1 12:03Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Lindback
  19. P1 12:51Shot by Hodgson, saved by Varlamov
  20. P1 13:16Shot by Hodgson, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 14:44Holden: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Stuart, Tanguay, Holden, O'Reilly, Landeskog · BUF Weber, Dalpe, Foligno, Grigorenko, Ristolainen

  22. P1 15:26Shot by Gionta, saved by Varlamov4v5
  23. P1 17:33Shot by Hejda, saved by Lindback
  24. P1 18:13Shot by Duchene, saved by Lindback5v4
  25. P1 18:49Shot by Larsson, saved by Varlamov
  26. P1 18:56Shot by Moulson, saved by Varlamov
  27. P1 19:44Shot by McLeod, saved by Lindback
  28. P1 0:00McLeod: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Stuart, McLeod, Cliche, Holden, Everberg · BUF Benoit, Kaleta, Bogosian, Deslauriers, Varone

  29. P1 0:00Kaleta: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Stuart, McLeod, Cliche, Holden, Everberg · BUF Benoit, Kaleta, Bogosian, Deslauriers, Varone

  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:19Shot by Gionta, saved by Varlamov4v4
  33. P2 3:29Goal by Barrie (O'Reilly, Landeskog)+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL Stuart, Tanguay, O'Reilly, Barrie, Landeskog · BUF Gionta, Strachan, Moulson, Meszaros, Larsson

  34. P2 4:33Shot by Dalpe, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 6:56Goal by Duchene (Iginla, Redmond)+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Hejda, Mitchell, Redmond, Duchene · BUF Gionta, Benoit, Moulson, Bogosian, Larsson

  36. P2 9:34Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 9:49Shot by Gionta, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 11:00Shot by Hishon, saved by Hackett
  39. P2 12:07Shot by Varone, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 13:36Landeskog: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Hejda, Redmond, O'Reilly, Landeskog · BUF Ellis, Strachan, Weber, Hodgson, Schaller

  41. P2 14:43Shot by Hodgson, saved by Varlamov4v5
  42. P2 15:17Shot by Meszaros, saved by Varlamov4v5
  43. P2 19:42Shot by Hodgson, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:43Shot by Meszaros, saved by Varlamov
  47. P3 0:51Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Varlamov
  48. P3 1:46Shot by Redmond, saved by Hackett
  49. P3 3:09Goal by Meszaros (Ristolainen, Larsson)+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Guenin, O'Reilly, Barrie, Landeskog · BUF Gionta, Moulson, Meszaros, Larsson, Ristolainen

  50. P3 3:38Shot by Hejda, saved by Hackett
  51. P3 4:48Goal by Stuart (Iginla, Duchene)+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Stuart, Mitchell, Holden, Duchene · BUF Benoit, Kaleta, Bogosian, Deslauriers, Varone

  52. P3 5:29Goal by Meszaros, unassisted+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Guenin, O'Reilly, Barrie, Landeskog · BUF Moulson, Meszaros, Hodgson, Larsson, Ristolainen

  53. P3 8:08Shot by Moulson, saved by Varlamov
  54. P3 8:17Shot by Dalpe, saved by Varlamov
  55. P3 8:16Shot by Dalpe, saved by Varlamov
  56. P3 8:43Goal by Ristolainen (Foligno, Dalpe)+4 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Guenin, Redmond, O'Reilly, Landeskog · BUF Meszaros, Dalpe, Foligno, Grigorenko, Ristolainen

  57. P3 9:14Shot by McLeod, saved by Hackett
  58. P3 9:45Shot by Mitchell, saved by Hackett
  59. P3 9:59Shot by Kaleta, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 11:33Shot by Dalpe, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 11:56Shot by Bogosian, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 13:30Shot by Redmond, saved by Hackett
  63. P3 14:05Bogosian: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Stuart, Tanguay, Holden, O'Reilly, Landeskog · BUF Gionta, Benoit, Moulson, Bogosian, Larsson

  64. P3 15:18Shot by Redmond, saved by Hackett5v4
  65. P3 15:29Shot by Gionta, saved by Varlamov5v4
  66. P3 15:49Shot by Benoit, saved by Varlamov5v4
  67. P3 17:31Shot by Hodgson, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 17:46Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 18:27Shot by Foligno, saved by Varlamov5v6
  70. P3 18:34Shot by Bogosian, saved by Varlamov5v6
  71. P3 18:45Shot by Bogosian, saved by Varlamov5v6
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final