Sat, Mar 28, 2015·Pepsi Center, Denver
Buffalo Sabres 3, Colorado Avalanche 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 51% of the time.
39%
10%
8%
42%
COL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 24:02 | 0.14 | 74.7% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 23:04 | 0.09 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:07 | 0.00 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.08 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:41 | 0.09 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.25 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.63 | 55.6% | +1.6 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:33 | 0.21 | 58.6% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.76 | 64.8% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 0.15 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 14:38 | 0.43 | 92.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:32 | 0.00 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.02 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.02 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:38 | 0.00 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:47 | 0.16 | 92.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:31 | 0.00 | 83.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:59 | 0.46 | 64.8% | +3.5 |
| L | 10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 0.70 | −2.3 | 37:47 | |
| – | 12 | 10 | 2 | .833 | 0.94 | −1.1 | 19:49 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 23:22 | 0.03 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:31 | 0.11 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 22:14 | 0.02 | 58.9% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 19:32 | 0.09 | 28.7% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.72 | 27.5% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:18 | 0.10 | 32.6% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:43 | 0.00 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:42 | 0.19 | 43.8% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.02 | 36.3% | +17.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.26 | 44.7% | +12.8 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.78 | 46.1% | +17.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.19 | 52.2% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.01 | 8.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:17 | 0.58 | 52.2% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:25 | 0.19 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:57 | 0.00 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 7:41 | 0.07 | 64.2% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:25 | 0.00 | 81.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 3.49 | +0.5 | 60:00 |