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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 31, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 68% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:00Shot by Booth, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 3:18Shot by Brown, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 5:23Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 5:59Shot by Witkowski, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 6:09Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 6:59Morrow: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly · TBL Morrow, Boyle, Witkowski, Nesterov, Brown

  8. P1 8:03Shot by Boyle, saved by Reimer5v4
  9. P1 8:53Goal by Kadri (Lindstrom, Brennan)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lindstrom, Lupul, Brennan, Gardiner, Kadri · TBL Filppula, Stralman, Palat, Nesterov

  10. P1 9:10Callahan: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Phaneuf, Booth, Komarov, Smith · TBL Carle, Callahan, Killorn, Stamkos, Koekkoek

  11. P1 9:53Shot by Kessel, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  12. P1 10:12Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  13. P1 10:40Shot by Killorn, saved by Reimer5v4
  14. P1 12:03Goal by Booth, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Booth, Smith, Erixon, Panik · TBL Filppula, Killorn, Stamkos, Barberio, Koekkoek

  15. P1 13:40Shot by Komarov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 13:50Shot by Killorn, saved by Reimer
  17. P1 13:56Shot by Stralman, saved by Reimer
  18. P1 14:40Shot by Koekkoek, saved by Reimer
  19. P1 15:05Shot by Kucherov, saved by Reimer
  20. P1 15:16Shot by Booth, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 15:38Shot by Boyle, saved by Reimer
  22. P1 15:38Carrick: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Brennan, Sill, Erixon, Panik, Carrick · TBL Morrow, Boyle, Barberio, Witkowski, Brown

  23. P1 15:38Brown: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Brennan, Sill, Erixon, Panik, Carrick · TBL Morrow, Boyle, Barberio, Witkowski, Brown

  24. P1 15:52Shot by Drouin, saved by Reimer
  25. P1 16:18Shot by Carle, saved by Reimer
  26. P1 16:27Shot by Gardiner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P1 17:05Rielly: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lindstrom, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Rielly · TBL Filppula, Carle, Killorn, Stamkos, Koekkoek

  28. P1 18:03Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer4v5
  29. P1 18:04Goal by Callahan (Palat, Kucherov)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Phaneuf, Booth, Smith · TBL Callahan, Palat, Nesterov, Kucherov, Namestnikov

  30. P1 18:18Shot by Kadri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P1 19:29Shot by Boyle, saved by Reimer
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:37Shot by Komarov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 1:44Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 3:02Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Reimer
  37. P2 3:37Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer
  38. P2 5:07Gardiner: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Phaneuf, Sill, Panik, Carrick · TBL Filppula, Killorn, Stamkos, Witkowski, Nesterov, Kucherov

  39. P2 5:57Shot by Nesterov, saved by Reimer4v5
  40. P2 6:04Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer4v5
  41. P2 7:39Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 7:56Shot by Koekkoek, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 8:14Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 8:24Shot by Brown, saved by Reimer
  45. P2 8:30Shot by Brown, saved by Reimer
  46. P2 9:04Shot by Komarov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 9:34Shot by Booth, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 12:14Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 12:28Shot by Erixon, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 12:42Shot by Boyle, saved by Reimer
  51. P2 13:44Shot by Booth, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 14:46Shot by Kucherov, saved by Reimer
  53. P2 15:23Shot by Stralman, saved by Reimer
  54. P2 17:48Shot by Nesterov, saved by Reimer
  55. P2 18:03Shot by Panik, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P2 18:22Shot by Kucherov, saved by Reimer
  57. P2 18:38Shot by Kadri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P2 18:49Brewer: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Phaneuf, Komarov, Smith, Kadri · TBL Filppula, Killorn, Stamkos, Barberio, Witkowski

  59. P2 19:42Shot by Nesterov, saved by Reimer4v5
  60. P2 19:49Kucherov: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly · TBL Callahan, Stamkos, Nesterov, Kucherov, Namestnikov

  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 0:24Goal by Rielly (Kadri, Gardiner)4v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Panik, Rielly · TBL Stamkos, Barberio, Palat, Nesterov

  64. P3 0:42Shot by Booth, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  65. P3 2:09Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer
  66. P3 4:38Shot by Brennan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 4:45Shot by Erixon, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 5:58Shot by Carle, saved by Reimer
  69. P3 7:00Shot by Nesterov, saved by Reimer
  70. P3 7:55Shot by Witkowski, saved by Reimer
  71. P3 7:58Shot by Barberio, saved by Reimer
  72. P3 9:16Shot by Brennan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  73. P3 10:29Shot by Drouin, saved by Reimer
  74. P3 11:49Shot by Killorn, saved by Reimer
  75. P3 14:01Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  76. P3 14:20Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  77. P3 18:10Shot by Kucherov, saved by Reimer5v6
  78. P3 18:14Shot by Stralman, saved by Reimer5v6
  79. P3 18:23Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer5v6
  80. P3 18:33Shot by Stralman, saved by Reimer5v6
  81. P3 19:08Shot by Kucherov, saved by Reimer5v6
  82. P3 19:13Shot by Nesterov, saved by Reimer5v6
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final