Skip to content
Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 31, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 68% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Filppula–Killorn–StamkosPalat–Kucherov–NamestnikovCallahan–Paquette–DrouinMorrow–Boyle–BrownBarberio–WitkowskiCarle–KoekkoekStralman–NesterovCarle–NesterovStralman–KoekkoekStralman–Barberio
Kessel–van Riemsdyk–Bozak4:000.04–0.071:120.02–0.282:240.11–0.120:330.08–0.002:320.00–0.102:560.10–0.262:450.14–0.202:030.01–0.02
Lindstrom–Komarov–Kadri4:430.18–0.150:590.18–0.003:380.03–0.012:180.03–0.004:160.19–0.091:510.07–0.081:000.18–0.00
Lupul–Booth–Smith4:200.04–0.391:160.10–0.002:250.17–0.003:330.23–0.212:030.00–0.192:080.00–0.030:530.15–0.00
Sill–Panik–Carrick3:580.13–0.082:420.04–0.061:150.06–0.00
Komarov–Kadri–Panik0:460.22–0.000:500.21–0.110:370.16–0.00
Gardiner–Rielly2:360.11–0.036:090.49–0.384:410.24–0.121:180.06–0.003:100.23–0.314:510.11–0.224:390.35–0.100:470.04–0.001:000.18–0.00
Brewer–Phaneuf7:350.14–0.230:340.00–0.002:310.08–0.103:000.05–0.113:250.06–0.164:040.10–0.182:000.01–0.020:340.00–0.00
Brennan–Erixon0:310.03–0.001:530.02–0.280:550.06–0.005:020.16–0.085:440.15–0.232:000.05–0.180:480.03–0.00
Brewer–Erixon0:420.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Phaneuf–Gardiner0:380.00–0.020:330.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLindstrom FKadri FKomarov Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FKessel FSmith FLupul FBooth FPanik FSill FCarrick FRielly DGardiner DBrewer DPhaneuf DErixon DBrennan DReimer GPaquette FCallahan FDrouin FKillorn FFilppula FStamkos FPalat FNamestnikov FKucherov FMorrow FBoyle FBrown FStralman DCarle DBarberio DWitkowski DNesterov DKoekkoek DVasilevskiy G
TORTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dion PhaneufTOR2624:540:572:1803
Jake GardinerTOR2823:240:501:3114
Nikita NesterovTBL2422:110:553:3841
Morgan RiellyTOR2721:420:481:1524
Matt CarleTBL2421:150:531:1512
Eric BrewerTOR2821:070:451:3505
Anton StralmanTBL2621:060:491:4944
Nazem KadriTOR2520:410:501:1808
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2320:360:541:3441
Alex KillornTBL2420:150:511:3442
Steven StamkosTBL2319:150:501:5940
Mark BarberioTBL2418:510:471:1814
Trevor SmithTOR2018:390:561:1805
Leo KomarovTOR2318:140:481:2208
Ondrej PalatTBL2117:060:491:1671
David BoothTOR1916:520:531:1802
James van RiemsdykTOR2116:510:481:2322
Luke WitkowskiTBL2316:500:441:1523
Tyler BozakTOR2216:420:461:2622
Nikita KucherovTBL1915:420:501:1861
Slater KoekkoekTBL2115:310:441:2021
Joffrey LupulTOR1615:300:581:1501
TJ BrennanTOR2015:230:461:2331
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1815:120:511:1561
Phil KesselTOR1814:410:491:1530
Ryan CallahanTBL1914:090:451:1841
Joakim LindstromTOR1713:510:491:2103
Tim ErixonTOR1913:450:431:2611
Brian BoyleTBL1813:020:431:2325
Jonathan DrouinTBL1612:590:491:3611
Cedric PaquetteTBL1712:310:441:0822
Richard PanikTOR1511:460:471:2723
Brenden MorrowTBL1410:470:461:1424
JT BrownTBL1210:180:521:1614
Zach SillTOR86:100:461:0031
Sam CarrickTOR74:490:410:5431