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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 4, 2015·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Dallas Stars 4, Nashville Predators 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 59% of the time.

NSH winsDAL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Roussel–Eakin–GarbuttMoen–Fiddler–SceviourSpezza–Hemsky–NichushkinEaves–Benn–SeguinBenn–Seguin–NichushkinSpezza–Hemsky–EavesGoligoski–KlingbergDemers–BennDaley–JokipakkaGoligoski–Demers
Ribeiro–Neal–Forsberg4:270.03–0.007:250.27–0.541:450.00–0.006:040.15–0.144:540.08–0.394:120.25–0.00
Fisher–Wilson–Smith1:430.00–0.032:080.07–0.081:320.10–0.614:470.30–0.021:040.03–0.000:360.00–0.022:370.15–0.465:240.25–0.203:150.09–0.050:330.00–0.03
Cullen–Stalberg–Beck4:410.05–0.092:300.20–0.151:410.00–0.000:340.00–0.003:160.05–0.183:530.22–0.063:270.00–0.01
Weber–Josi1:330.00–0.013:470.25–0.003:000.04–0.024:370.26–0.021:010.03–0.006:160.34–0.005:490.17–0.023:290.12–0.02
Ekholm–Jones4:220.05–0.022:340.07–0.023:480.30–0.261:380.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:580.00–0.033:230.05–0.174:460.30–0.125:440.07–0.04
Franson–Ellis4:130.03–0.033:360.02–0.590:350.00–0.483:030.00–0.622:400.00–0.452:510.07–0.000:340.00–0.03
Ellis–Ekholm0:430.01–0.061:130.06–0.06
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndCullen FStalberg FBeck FFisher FSmith FWilson FForsberg FNeal FRibeiro FJarnkrok FBourque FJones DEkholm DEllis DFranson DWeber DJosi DBartley DRinne GGarbutt FEakin FRoussel FSceviour FMoen FFiddler FNichushkin FSeguin FBenn FEaves FHemsky FSpezza FKlingberg DGoligoski DJokipakka DDaley DDemers DBenn DEnroth G
NSHDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Shea WeberNSH3026:340:532:2245
Roman JosiNSH3026:080:522:2235
Alex GoligoskiDAL2824:410:532:2935
John KlingbergDAL2823:100:502:2943
Seth JonesNSH2622:490:531:5043
Mattias EkholmNSH2722:230:501:2344
Jason DemersDAL2721:190:471:3526
Filip ForsbergNSH2320:460:542:3083
Mike RibeiroNSH2220:450:572:3074
James NealNSH2319:560:522:2283
Jyrki JokipakkaDAL2919:470:411:3556
Craig SmithNSH2719:340:431:3261
Trevor DaleyDAL2919:330:401:1058
Jamie BennDAL2919:080:401:1765
Jordie BennDAL2718:530:421:2026
Colin WilsonNSH2518:350:451:3960
Tyler SeguinDAL2618:030:421:2662
Ryan EllisNSH2017:480:531:5762
Mike FisherNSH2717:210:391:1171
Cody EakinDAL2717:030:381:00311
Ryan GarbuttDAL2616:330:381:05311
Antoine RousselDAL2515:370:371:06211
Jason SpezzaDAL2114:500:421:2232
Ales HemskyDAL2114:280:411:2223
Vernon FiddlerDAL2114:110:412:0234
Valeri NichushkinDAL1914:100:451:2212
Travis MoenDAL2014:060:422:0232
Colton SceviourDAL1913:270:422:0232
Patrick EavesDAL2313:170:351:0463
Matt CullenNSH1712:510:451:5343
Viktor StalbergNSH1712:500:451:2233
Taylor BeckNSH1712:280:441:1553
Cody FransonNSH1512:260:501:5751
Gabriel BourqueNSH1511:320:461:1113
Calle JarnkrokNSH1411:280:491:2823
Victor BartleyNSH139:240:431:0223