Sat, Apr 11, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Montréal Canadiens 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 74% of the time.
17%
8%
66%
TOR winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 28:56 | 0.07 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 28:04 | 0.67 | 48.2% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 24:45 | 0.00 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22:13 | 0.38 | 57.7% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:53 | 0.02 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:16 | 0.20 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 17:19 | 0.88 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:20 | 0.04 | 30.8% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:03 | 0.21 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:20 | 0.32 | 55.0% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.12 | 51.0% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:31 | 0.01 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:22 | 0.04 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.00 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.05 | 18.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:06 | 0.00 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:30 | 0.02 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:31 | 0.03 | 85.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 1.73 | −1.3 | 64:50 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 28:56 | 0.17 | 48.7% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 28:06 | 0.06 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:43 | 0.03 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22:16 | 0.20 | 60.0% | +38.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:41 | 0.18 | 62.0% | +38.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:07 | 0.09 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:00 | 0.21 | 59.0% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:37 | 0.00 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:29 | 0.09 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.18 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.07 | 54.2% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.02 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.01 | 35.5% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.00 | 90.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:16 | 0.00 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:31 | 0.03 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 9:01 | 0.40 | 56.9% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:06 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.08 | +0.1 | 65:00 |