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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 7, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Montréal Canadiens 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Away

Montréal Canadiens

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.

TOR winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:51Shot by Boyes, saved by Price
  3. P1 1:05Shot by Kadri, saved by Price
  4. P1 1:53Shot by Winnik, saved by Price
  5. P1 2:37Shot by Lupul, saved by Price
  6. P1 1:06Shot by Kadri, saved by Price
  7. P1 3:09Goal by Pacioretty (Subban)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Matthias, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  8. P1 3:54Shot by Petry, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 5:11Komarov: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Holland, Marincin, Arcobello, Rielly · MTL Markov, Mitchell, Subban, Smith-Pelly, Flynn

  10. P1 5:11Smith-Pelly: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Holland, Marincin, Arcobello, Rielly · MTL Markov, Mitchell, Subban, Smith-Pelly, Flynn

  11. P1 6:14Shot by Plekanec, saved by Bernier4v4
  12. P1 6:50Shot by Gilbert, saved by Bernier4v4
  13. P1 8:13Shot by Matthias, saved by Price
  14. P1 8:25Shot by Plekanec, saved by Bernier
  15. P1 11:12Shot by Plekanec, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 12:17Kadri: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Boyes, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri, Harrington · MTL Fleischmann, Emelin, Desharnais, Petry, Weise

  17. P1 15:09Shot by Boyes, saved by Price
  18. P1 17:39Shot by Hunwick, saved by Price
  19. P1 17:54Shot by Hunwick, saved by Price
  20. P1 18:05Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Price
  21. P1 18:21Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bernier
  22. P1 19:25Shot by Harrington, saved by Price
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:12Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bernier
  26. P2 0:13Gallagher: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Hunwick, Matthias, Bozak · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  27. P2 0:19Goal by van Riemsdyk (Kadri, Phaneuf)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Parenteau, Phaneuf, van Riemsdyk, Kadri · MTL Fleischmann, Emelin, Mitchell, Petry

  28. P2 0:51Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Price
  29. P2 1:20Shot by Kadri, saved by Price
  30. P2 2:54Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Bernier
  31. P2 4:17Shot by Winnik, saved by Price
  32. P2 4:23Shot by Winnik, saved by Price
  33. P2 4:27Shot by Harrington, saved by Price
  34. P2 6:13Shot by Matthias, saved by Price
  35. P2 6:17Shot by Matthias, saved by Price
  36. P2 7:00Shot by Subban, saved by Bernier
  37. P2 8:09Shot by Lupul, saved by Price6v5
  38. P2 8:11Eller: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Lupul, Gardiner, Bozak, Holland, Rielly · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Fleischmann, Emelin, Gallagher

  39. P2 8:42Shot by Emelin, saved by Bernier5v4
  40. P2 9:33Shot by Kadri, saved by Price5v4
  41. P2 9:37Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Price5v4
  42. P2 10:43Shot by Desharnais, saved by Bernier
  43. P2 10:48Shot by Desharnais, saved by Bernier
  44. P2 12:06Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Price
  45. P2 13:00Shot by Plekanec, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 13:07Shot by Gallagher, saved by Bernier
  47. P2 13:17Shot by Plekanec, saved by Bernier
  48. P2 13:27Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bernier
  49. P2 13:54Shot by Weise, saved by Bernier
  50. P2 14:11Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Bernier
  51. P2 14:45Shot by Kadri, saved by Price
  52. P2 14:50Shot by Harrington, saved by Price
  53. P2 16:10Shot by Komarov, saved by Price
  54. P2 16:25Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Bernier
  55. P2 17:00Shot by Petry, saved by Bernier
  56. P2 19:11Shot by Matthias, saved by Price
  57. P2 19:58Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Bernier
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 1:02Shot by Rielly, saved by Price
  61. P3 2:00Shot by Gardiner, saved by Price
  62. P3 2:23Shot by Winnik, saved by Price
  63. P3 2:30Shot by Arcobello, saved by Price
  64. P3 6:38Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Price
  65. P3 6:46Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 8:06Shot by Semin, saved by Bernier
  67. P3 12:00Shot by Markov, saved by Bernier
  68. P3 12:02Goal by Galchenyuk (Markov, Subban)+35 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Winnik, Spaling, Gardiner, Harrington · MTL Markov, Semin, Subban, Eller, Galchenyuk

  69. P3 14:00Shot by Rielly, saved by Price
  70. P3 14:17Shot by Holland, saved by Price
  71. P3 14:17Mitchell: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Holland, Marincin, Arcobello, Rielly · MTL Markov, Mitchell, Subban, Smith-Pelly, Flynn

  72. P3 15:38Shot by Lupul, saved by Price5v4
  73. P3 17:07Shot by Plekanec, saved by Bernier
  74. P3 17:24Shot by Rielly, saved by Price
  75. P3 17:59Shot by Gallagher, saved by Bernier
  76. P3 19:20Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Price6v5
  77. P3 19:29Goal by Pacioretty (Subban, Flynn)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Parenteau, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri, Rielly · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Flynn

  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final