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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 7, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Montréal Canadiens 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.

TOR winsMTL wins

Montréal Canadiens

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

P.K. SubbanD · #76033+3124:350.0765.6%+58.5
Jeff PetryD · #260000222:520.0223.1%0.0
Alexei EmelinD · #740000122:030.0816.4%0.0
Andrei MarkovD · #79011+3121:440.0963.1%+35.1
Tomas PlekanecC · #14000+2618:290.1334.4%0.0
Max PaciorettyLW · #67202+2518:070.8039.3%+23.4
Tomas FleischmannLW · #150000317:270.3031.3%0.0
David DesharnaisC · #510000216:510.2034.4%0.0
Alexander SeminRW · #13000+1116:050.0654.0%0.0
Dale WeiseRW · #220000115:130.0935.2%0.0
Alex GalchenyukC · #27101+1214:350.3359.1%+35.1
Nathan BeaulieuD · #280000014:270.0037.2%0.0
Lars EllerC · #81000+1014:210.2266.4%0.0
Tom GilbertD · #770000114:190.0341.5%0.0
Brendan GallagherRW · #11000+1213:560.0742.9%0.0
Devante Smith-PellyRW · #210000110:000.0736.5%0.0
Brian FlynnC · #32011+109:560.0920.3%+4.0
Torrey MitchellC · #17000008:540.0032.8%0.0
Carey Price#31W37361.9733.12+2.160:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake GardinerD · #51000−2121:280.0562.4%0.0
Dion PhaneufD · #30110320:560.2458.2%+22.4
Morgan RiellyD · #44000−2320:380.2237.7%0.0
Matt HunwickD · #20000220:280.0360.7%0.0
Tyler BozakC · #420000019:030.0052.4%0.0
Joffrey LupulLW · #190000317:440.1369.2%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #43011−2517:170.6572.4%+22.4
Brad BoyesRW · #28000−2217:120.1374.1%0.0
James van RiemsdykLW · #21101−1416:410.1981.3%+22.4
Scott HarringtonD · #36000−1316:360.0670.0%0.0
Martin MarincinD · #52000−1015:570.0043.7%0.0
Daniel WinnikLW · #26000−1415:070.4559.9%0.0
Nick SpalingC · #16000−1015:020.0652.1%0.0
PA ParenteauRW · #15000−2014:560.0640.7%0.0
Peter HollandC · #240000114:260.3340.8%0.0
Shawn MatthiasLW · #23000−1413:240.3966.1%0.0
Mark ArcobelloRW · #330000112:150.0166.3%0.0
Leo KomarovRW · #47000019:070.1242.0%0.0
Jonathan Bernier#45L28262.9291.92−0.157:43