Wed, Oct 7, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Montréal Canadiens 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.
49%
8%
10%
33%
TOR winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 24:35 | 0.07 | 65.6% | +58.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:52 | 0.02 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:03 | 0.08 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 21:44 | 0.09 | 63.1% | +35.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | 18:29 | 0.13 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 18:07 | 0.80 | 39.3% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:27 | 0.30 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.20 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.06 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:13 | 0.09 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.33 | 59.1% | +35.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:27 | 0.00 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.22 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.03 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:56 | 0.07 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:00 | 0.07 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:56 | 0.09 | 20.3% | +4.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:54 | 0.00 | 32.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 36 | 1 | .973 | 3.12 | +2.1 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:28 | 0.05 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:56 | 0.24 | 58.2% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:38 | 0.22 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.03 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:03 | 0.00 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:44 | 0.13 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0.65 | 72.4% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:12 | 0.13 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:41 | 0.19 | 81.3% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:36 | 0.06 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:57 | 0.00 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:07 | 0.45 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.06 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:56 | 0.06 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.33 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:24 | 0.39 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.01 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:07 | 0.12 | 42.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 1.92 | −0.1 | 57:43 |