Thu, Oct 8, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.
29%
11%
11%
50%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 23:55 | 0.00 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:57 | 0.11 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:31 | 0.06 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:31 | 0.39 | 48.2% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.28 | 60.1% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:11 | 0.06 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.00 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.76 | 58.0% | +5.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.05 | 50.9% | +5.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.04 | 48.9% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.07 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.17 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.20 | 43.0% | +5.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.02 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.04 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:57 | 0.00 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:15 | 0.00 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:01 | 0.00 | 17.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 1.80 | +0.8 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:10 | 0.27 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:58 | 0.24 | 56.7% | +13.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:58 | 0.38 | 47.3% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.02 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.05 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:17 | 0.00 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:11 | 0.16 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.02 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.01 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.07 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:17 | 0.12 | 90.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.00 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.00 | 40.1% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.09 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:40 | 0.02 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:04 | 0.09 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:03 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 8:57 | 0.24 | 56.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 9 | 8 | 1 | .889 | 0.80 | −0.2 | 31:29 | |
| – | 12 | 11 | 1 | .917 | 0.68 | −0.3 | 27:30 |