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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 8, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 3, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Goal by Turris (Hoffman, Stone)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Franson, Weber, Ennis, O'Reilly · OTT Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  3. P1 3:37Shot by Stone, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 5:06Shot by Gorges, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 5:09Shot by Pysyk, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 6:03Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 6:39Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Lehner
  8. P1 9:04Shot by Franson, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 11:51Shot by Ceci, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 12:44Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 12:57Shot by Reinhart, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 15:46Shot by MacArthur, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 16:05Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehner
  14. P1 18:07Shot by Franson, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 4:03Shot by Weber, saved by Anderson
  18. P2 5:19Shot by Gorges, saved by Anderson
  19. P2 5:44Shot by Ryan, saved by Lehner
  20. P2 6:16Shot by Pageau, saved by Lehner
  21. P2 6:15Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Lehner
  22. P2 6:23Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Lehner
  23. P2 6:27Shot by Ceci, saved by Lehner
  24. P2 8:33Shot by Karlsson, saved by Johnson
  25. P2 9:46Shot by Ceci, saved by Johnson
  26. P2 10:49Goal by Turris (Hoffman, Stone)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Colaiacovo, McGinn, Deslauriers, Ristolainen · OTT Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  27. P2 11:05Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Johnson
  28. P2 13:16Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Johnson
  29. P2 13:33Shot by Larsson, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 14:49Shot by Kane, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 15:45Shot by Eichel, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 15:46Pageau: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Colaiacovo, Kane, Pysyk, Girgensons, Eichel · OTT Michalek, MacArthur, Wiercioch, Pageau, Ceci

  33. P2 17:23Shot by Kane, saved by Anderson5v4
  34. P2 18:27Shot by Girgensons, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 18:52Shot by Hoffman, saved by Johnson
  36. P2 0:00Period end
  37. P3 0:00Period start
  38. P3 2:50Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Anderson
  39. P3 2:58Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Anderson
  40. P3 5:05Shot by Michalek, saved by Johnson
  41. P3 6:53Shot by Turris, saved by Johnson
  42. P3 7:42Shot by Legwand, saved by Anderson
  43. P3 7:45Wiercioch: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Gorges, McGinn, Ennis, Ristolainen · OTT Ryan, Wiercioch, Zibanejad, Ceci, Lazar

  44. P3 9:11Goal by Eichel (Foligno, Kane)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Kane, Foligno, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Eichel · OTT Michalek, Methot, Chiasson, Ceci

  45. P3 9:25Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Anderson
  46. P3 10:50Shot by Moulson, saved by Anderson
  47. P3 10:55Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson
  48. P3 11:03Shot by Stone, saved by Johnson
  49. P3 11:21Shot by Girgensons, saved by Anderson
  50. P3 11:42Shot by Eichel, saved by Anderson
  51. P3 13:10Shot by Moulson, saved by Anderson
  52. P3 13:50Ryan: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Kane, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Eichel · OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Cowen, Pageau, Lazar

  53. P3 14:48Shot by Kane, saved by Anderson5v4
  54. P3 16:27Shot by Legwand, saved by Anderson
  55. P3 16:56Shot by Legwand, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 18:56Goal by Lazar (Zibanejad, Ryan)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Colaiacovo, O'Reilly, Kane, Pysyk, Girgensons, Eichel · OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Cowen, Zibanejad, Lazar

  57. P3 19:58Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson6v5
  58. P3 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Final