Thu, Oct 8, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.
29%
11%
11%
50%
BUF winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Turris–Hoffman–Stone | Ryan–Zibanejad–Lazar | Michalek–MacArthur–Pageau | Neil–Smith–Chiasson | Ryan–Pageau–Lazar | Methot–Karlsson | Wiercioch–Ceci | Borowiecki–Cowen | Karlsson–Cowen | Karlsson–Wiercioch | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moulson–Ennis–O'Reilly | 5:490.22–0.10 | 3:020.00–0.15 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 7:480.26–0.37 | 2:210.00–0.00 | 2:160.04–0.00 | |||
| Kane–Girgensons–Eichel | 1:430.00–0.00 | 1:000.04–0.00 | 1:310.23–0.00 | 2:180.10–0.00 | 1:220.13–0.00 | 1:180.04–0.00 | 0:330.15–0.00 | |||
| Kane–Reinhart–Eichel | 0:440.00–0.00 | 2:510.00–0.05 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:330.02–0.00 | 2:050.00–0.04 | 2:050.00–0.11 | ||||
| Legwand–McGinn–Deslauriers | 1:130.00–0.24 | 0:370.00–0.01 | 2:270.13–0.02 | 2:130.13–0.20 | 1:020.00–0.06 | 0:470.00–0.01 | ||||
| Kane–Foligno–Eichel | 0:320.00–0.02 | 0:390.01–0.00 | 2:020.00–0.17 | 1:430.10–0.00 | 1:560.00–0.19 | |||||
| Foligno–Larsson–Girgensons | 1:100.09–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.01 | 0:330.09–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.01 | |||||
| Legwand–Deslauriers–Larsson | 1:300.00–0.02 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 2:040.00–0.02 | |||||||
| Larsson–Girgensons–Reinhart | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:540.01–0.02 | |||||||
| Foligno–Deslauriers–Larsson | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Franson–Weber | 7:430.15–0.17 | 2:430.00–0.07 | 2:070.00–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.02 | 6:530.19–0.22 | 5:570.00–0.07 | 2:580.06–0.05 | |||
| Gorges–Pysyk | 3:040.16–0.06 | 2:430.07–0.01 | 2:470.00–0.22 | 1:550.13–0.07 | 3:530.31–0.10 | 3:330.01–0.09 | 3:340.05–0.18 | |||
| Colaiacovo–Ristolainen | 1:200.02–0.31 | 3:080.00–0.12 | 3:100.00–0.01 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 3:230.02–0.30 | 2:530.12–0.00 | 3:250.00–0.15 | |||
| Gorges–Ristolainen | 1:000.00–0.00 | 3:110.08–0.04 | 1:520.10–0.02 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 3:510.10–0.04 | 1:540.03–0.00 | 1:100.12–0.00 | 0:500.15–0.00 | ||
| Colaiacovo–Pysyk | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:570.01–0.00 | 0:590.13–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:510.13–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:440.01–0.00 | ||
| Colaiacovo–Franson | 0:320.00–0.18 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Marc MethotOTT | 28 | 23:55 | 0:51 | 1:45 | 5 | 3 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 26 | 23:10 | 0:53 | 2:11 | 2 | 5 |
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 28 | 22:57 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 5 | 3 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 29 | 21:58 | 0:45 | 1:53 | 3 | 3 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 28 | 21:58 | 0:47 | 2:18 | 4 | 2 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 27 | 20:33 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 2 | 4 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 25 | 20:31 | 0:49 | 1:30 | 4 | 4 |
 Cody FransonBUF | 26 | 20:28 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 7 | 4 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 24 | 20:17 | 0:51 | 1:21 | 9 | 2 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 23 | 20:11 | 0:53 | 1:22 | 8 | 1 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 26 | 19:31 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 4 | 7 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 27 | 19:08 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 4 | 8 |
 Patrick WierciochOTT | 24 | 18:11 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 4 | 4 |
 Jared CowenOTT | 27 | 17:54 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 2 | 3 |
 Curtis LazarOTT | 26 | 17:30 | 0:40 | 1:24 | 6 | 3 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 25 | 17:17 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 3 | 2 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 24 | 17:16 | 0:43 | 1:39 | 6 | 2 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 23 | 17:08 | 0:45 | 1:44 | 6 | 4 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 23 | 17:07 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 4 | 4 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 21 | 16:49 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 9 | 0 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 27 | 16:32 | 0:37 | 1:05 | 4 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 21 | 16:17 | 0:47 | 1:48 | 3 | 7 |
 Carlo ColaiacovoBUF | 24 | 16:08 | 0:40 | 1:28 | 1 | 2 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 23 | 15:27 | 0:40 | 1:19 | 2 | 2 |
 Mika ZibanejadOTT | 23 | 15:06 | 0:39 | 1:20 | 6 | 2 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 20 | 14:28 | 0:43 | 1:45 | 3 | 5 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 20 | 14:05 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 2 | 3 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 18 | 13:35 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 0 | 7 |
 Clarke MacArthurOTT | 18 | 12:11 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 3 | 3 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 17 | 11:40 | 0:41 | 1:25 | 1 | 1 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 16 | 10:04 | 0:38 | 1:17 | 1 | 4 |
 Jamie McGinnBUF | 13 | 10:03 | 0:46 | 1:46 | 1 | 3 |
 Alex ChiassonOTT | 18 | 9:57 | 0:33 | 1:04 | 1 | 1 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 14 | 9:15 | 0:40 | 1:14 | 1 | 0 |
 David LegwandBUF | 15 | 8:57 | 0:36 | 1:17 | 0 | 4 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 12 | 8:01 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 1 | 0 |