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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 12, 2015·TD Garden, Boston

Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Boston Bruins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 56% of the time.

BOS winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:49Shot by Condra, saved by Rask
  3. P1 1:14Shot by Chara, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 1:38Shot by Miller, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 2:41Carle: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Kelly, Krejci, Hayes, Spooner, Morrow, Miller · TBL Filppula, Carle, Condra, Killorn, Garrison

  6. P1 2:50Shot by Krejci, saved by Bishop5v4
  7. P1 2:59Goal by Krejci (Krug, Bergeron)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Eriksson, Bergeron, Krejci, Spooner, Krug · TBL Boyle, Stralman, Condra, Hedman

  8. P1 3:38Shot by Miller, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 7:19Shot by Beleskey, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 8:38Shot by Connolly, saved by Bishop
  11. P1 9:29Shot by Johnson, saved by Rask
  12. P1 10:21Shot by Brown, saved by Rask
  13. P1 10:30Shot by Kelly, saved by Bishop6v5
  14. P1 10:39Namestnikov: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BOS Chara, Kelly, Beleskey, Hayes, Spooner, Miller · TBL Stralman, Condra, Killorn, Hedman, Namestnikov

  15. P1 11:02Goal by Eriksson (Krug, Krejci)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Eriksson, Bergeron, Krejci, Spooner, Krug · TBL Stralman, Johnson, Hedman, Palat

  16. P1 12:24Shot by Coburn, saved by Rask
  17. P1 15:04Shot by Johnson, saved by Rask
  18. P1 15:11Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Bishop
  19. P1 15:42Goal by Boyle (Hedman, Namestnikov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Talbot, McQuaid, Rinaldo, Krug, Kemppainen · TBL Boyle, Stralman, Hedman, Namestnikov, Brown

  20. P1 15:58Bergeron: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Eriksson, Bergeron, Connolly, Miller · TBL Carle, Callahan, Garrison, Stamkos, Drouin

  21. P1 16:51Goal by Palat (Johnson, Stralman)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Talbot, Miller, Kemppainen · TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov

  22. P1 17:18Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Bishop
  23. P1 18:11Shot by Carle, saved by Rask
  24. P1 18:18Shot by Garrison, saved by Rask
  25. P1 19:23Shot by Chara, saved by Bishop
  26. P1 19:30Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Bishop
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:32Shot by Brown, saved by Rask
  30. P2 0:53Shot by Connolly, saved by Bishop
  31. P2 1:40Shot by Coburn, saved by Rask
  32. P2 2:19Shot by Krug, saved by Bishop6v5
  33. P2 2:44Sustr: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, Krejci, McQuaid, Beleskey, Krug, Pastrnak · TBL Coburn, Callahan, Stamkos, Sustr, Drouin

  34. P2 4:48Goal by Boyle, unassisted+24 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Beleskey, Hayes, Miller, Pastrnak · TBL Coburn, Boyle, Condra, Hedman, Sustr

  35. P2 5:01Shot by Eriksson, saved by Bishop
  36. P2 5:31Shot by Garrison, saved by Rask
  37. P2 6:34Krejci: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Krejci, Beleskey, Miller, Pastrnak · TBL Stralman, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov

  38. P2 8:51Shot by Krejci, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 9:34Shot by Connolly, saved by Bishop
  40. P2 11:01Carle: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Beleskey, Hayes, Spooner, Miller, Krug · TBL Carle, Condra, Stamkos, Sustr, Drouin

  41. P2 11:47Shot by Krug, saved by Bishop5v4
  42. P2 12:20Goal by Eriksson (Krejci, Krug)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Eriksson, Krejci, Beleskey, Connolly, Krug · TBL Filppula, Stralman, Hedman, Palat

  43. P2 13:21Shot by Krejci, saved by Bishop
  44. P2 14:05Shot by Stralman, saved by Rask
  45. P2 14:13Bergeron: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Bergeron, Beleskey, Connolly, Krug · TBL Carle, Stralman, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov

  46. P2 14:55Shot by Killorn, saved by Rask4v5
  47. P2 15:17Goal by Stamkos (Stralman, Johnson)4v5+27 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Kelly, Eriksson, McQuaid, Morrow · TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov

  48. P2 17:27Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Bishop
  49. P2 19:31Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Bishop
  50. P2 19:59Shot by Hedman, saved by Rask
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:51Shot by Palat, saved by Rask
  54. P3 1:23Shot by Chara, saved by Bishop
  55. P3 5:09Shot by Bergeron, saved by Bishop
  56. P3 5:17Shot by Miller, saved by Bishop
  57. P3 5:38Goal by Drouin (Condra, Hedman)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Eriksson, Bergeron, Connolly, Morrow · TBL Filppula, Condra, Hedman, Sustr, Drouin

  58. P3 5:58Shot by Spooner, saved by Bishop
  59. P3 11:54Shot by Drouin, saved by Rask
  60. P3 12:28Shot by Beleskey, saved by Bishop
  61. P3 12:38Pastrnak: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Krejci, Beleskey, Morrow, Miller, Pastrnak · TBL Coburn, Garrison, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov

  62. P3 12:54Shot by Drouin, saved by Rask4v5
  63. P3 15:58Goal by Filppula (Killorn, Brown)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Krejci, Beleskey, Morrow, Miller, Pastrnak · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Killorn, Garrison, Brown

  64. P3 16:25Shot by Miller, saved by Bishop
  65. P3 17:10Shot by Krug, saved by Bishop
  66. P3 18:12Shot by Kucherov, saved by Rask
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final