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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 12, 2015·TD Garden, Boston

Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Boston Bruins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 56% of the time.

BOS winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Filppula–Condra–KillornBoyle–Namestnikov–BrownCallahan–Stamkos–DrouinJohnson–Palat–KucherovCoburn–GarrisonCarle–GarrisonStralman–HedmanCarle–SustrHedman–SustrCoburn–StralmanCoburn–SustrCarle–Stralman
Krejci–Beleskey–Pastrnak3:190.12–0.012:480.11–0.031:270.05–0.004:540.12–0.234:000.22–0.312:460.07–0.003:260.08–0.040:460.01–0.001:180.04–0.130:330.00–0.00
Kelly–Hayes–Spooner5:180.07–0.092:580.00–0.120:560.00–0.001:090.00–0.001:460.00–0.042:150.03–0.072:440.00–0.141:400.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:380.00–0.04
Eriksson–Bergeron–Connolly0:570.05–0.031:040.05–0.006:340.44–0.051:200.02–0.002:040.22–0.002:530.05–0.051:480.00–0.032:200.03–0.000:310.01–0.110:530.00–0.00
Talbot–Rinaldo–Kemppainen1:300.00–0.013:330.00–0.070:570.05–0.001:240.00–0.001:020.09–0.002:360.03–0.000:340.00–0.00
Eriksson–Krejci–Beleskey0:440.00–0.040:440.00–0.04
McQuaid–Krug2:490.04–0.002:430.00–0.072:230.11–0.022:450.07–0.012:030.03–0.012:240.03–0.023:200.00–0.071:000.00–0.091:160.01–0.000:310.00–0.001:110.16–0.00
Chara–Miller2:380.05–0.070:510.11–0.005:150.21–0.041:420.02–0.002:170.31–0.033:130.10–0.041:580.00–0.031:320.02–0.000:470.00–0.001:190.00–0.000:380.00–0.04
Morrow–Miller3:240.03–0.073:180.00–0.091:190.06–0.092:090.04–0.271:470.09–0.001:120.03–0.092:270.00–0.060:480.00–0.00
Miller–Krug0:520.05–0.000:450.00–0.040:590.03–0.130:570.05–0.000:330.00–0.000:390.03–0.000:440.00–0.04
Chara–Miller0:320.08–0.030:340.00–0.011:280.16–0.001:000.00–0.001:340.02–0.000:450.08–0.04
Miller–Krug0:540.00–0.001:250.00–0.040:340.02–0.000:490.00–0.042:080.02–0.02
McQuaid–Morrow0:580.00–0.00
Miller–Morrow0:450.00–0.000:590.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBeleskey FKrejci FPastrnak FConnolly FEriksson FBergeron FKelly FHayes FSpooner FTalbot FRinaldo FKemppainen FKrug DMcQuaid DChara DMiller DMorrow DMiller DRask GJohnson FPalat FKucherov FKillorn FCondra FFilppula FCallahan FDrouin FStamkos FBoyle FBrown FNamestnikov FStralman DHedman DGarrison DCoburn DCarle DSustr DBishop G
BOSTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Torey KrugBOS2723:510:533:1132
Zdeno CharaBOS2221:270:591:5023
David KrejciBOS2620:570:482:1241
Matt CarleTBL2420:460:521:3222
Kevan MillerBOS2320:250:531:3924
Jason GarrisonTBL2420:220:511:5221
Victor HedmanTBL2520:220:491:3956
Anton StralmanTBL2719:070:421:1946
Matt BeleskeyBOS2618:310:431:2521
Loui ErikssonBOS2518:070:431:2954
Colin MillerBOS2518:010:431:2531
Patrice BergeronBOS2717:450:391:3347
Adam McQuaidBOS2217:300:482:4913
Braydon CoburnTBL2117:270:501:3010
Ondrej PalatTBL2217:190:471:3135
Alex KillornTBL2117:090:491:2942
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2116:550:481:2942
David PastrnakBOS2416:430:421:0821
Tyler JohnsonTBL2216:330:451:2133
Andrej SustrTBL1916:120:511:3212
Ryan SpoonerBOS1815:550:532:3430
Jonathan DrouinTBL2015:480:471:3970
Ryan CallahanTBL1915:380:491:2970
Steven StamkosTBL2015:300:471:3141
Joe MorrowBOS2215:260:421:3223
Erik CondraTBL1714:230:511:2712
Chris KellyBOS2014:020:421:3921
Brett ConnollyBOS2113:580:401:3403
Jimmy HayesBOS1913:220:421:3920
Brian BoyleTBL1913:210:421:1013
Nikita KucherovTBL1913:210:421:2932
JT BrownTBL1712:570:461:2211
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1712:500:451:1011
Max TalbotBOS1711:250:401:2524
Joonas KemppainenBOS179:570:351:1123
Zac RinaldoBOS137:320:350:5311