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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 12, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Columbus Blue Jackets

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 70% of the time.

BUF winsCBJ wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Saad, saved by Johnson
  3. P1 1:07Bourque: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Franson, Weber, McGinn, Larsson · CBJ Dubinsky, Bourque, Prout, Connauton, Jenner

  4. P1 1:19Shot by Franson, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  5. P1 3:20Murray: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Ennis, O'Reilly, Pysyk, Girgensons, McCabe, Eichel · CBJ Dubinsky, Bourque, Johnson, Jenner, Murray

  6. P1 3:35Shot by Ennis, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  7. P1 7:10Shot by Weber, saved by Bobrovsky
  8. P1 7:19Shot by Bourque, saved by Johnson
  9. P1 8:57Gorges: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Franson, Ennis, O'Reilly, Girgensons · CBJ Tyutin, Johnson, Foligno, Atkinson, Johansen, Saad

  10. P1 9:44Shot by Jenner, saved by Johnson4v5
  11. P1 10:18Shot by Atkinson, saved by Johnson4v5
  12. P1 11:09Shot by Hartnell, saved by Johnson
  13. P1 11:15Shot by Bourque, saved by Johnson
  14. P1 11:43Shot by Murray, saved by Johnson
  15. P1 15:32Shot by Franson, saved by Bobrovsky
  16. P1 18:47Shot by Kane, saved by Bobrovsky
  17. P1 19:31Shot by Franson, saved by Bobrovsky
  18. P1 19:35Shot by Ennis, saved by Bobrovsky
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:13Shot by Eichel, saved by Bobrovsky
  22. P2 0:27Shot by Foligno, saved by Johnson
  23. P2 0:41Shot by Franson, saved by Bobrovsky
  24. P2 0:46Shot by Foligno, saved by Bobrovsky
  25. P2 0:46Foligno: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Franson, Weber, Kane, Foligno, Eichel · CBJ Tyutin, Johnson, Foligno, Johansen, Saad

  26. P2 1:09Shot by Ennis, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  27. P2 1:29Shot by Moulson, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  28. P2 1:52Shot by Kane, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  29. P2 2:33Goal by Ristolainen (Foligno, Kane)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Kane, Foligno, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · CBJ Dubinsky, Savard, Jenner, Murray

  30. P2 3:50Shot by Franson, saved by Bobrovsky
  31. P2 3:59Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Johnson
  32. P2 4:08Shot by Bourque, saved by Johnson
  33. P2 5:36Boll: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Deslauriers, Pysyk, McCabe, Reinhart · CBJ Campbell, Boll, Calvert, Savard, Murray

  34. P2 5:36Deslauriers: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Deslauriers, Pysyk, McCabe, Reinhart · CBJ Campbell, Boll, Calvert, Savard, Murray

  35. P2 6:36Shot by Saad, saved by Johnson
  36. P2 9:09Campbell: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Weber, Ennis, Ristolainen, Reinhart · CBJ Tyutin, Campbell, Johnson, Foligno, Calvert

  37. P2 10:55Shot by Franson, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  38. P2 11:06Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  39. P2 11:41Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bobrovsky
  40. P2 12:22Shot by Ennis, saved by Bobrovsky
  41. P2 12:44Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bobrovsky
  42. P2 13:29Shot by Karlsson, saved by Johnson
  43. P2 13:58Shot by Foligno, saved by Johnson
  44. P2 14:03Shot by Moulson, saved by Bobrovsky
  45. P2 14:35Foligno: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, McGinn, Deslauriers, Larsson, Ristolainen · CBJ Foligno, Savard, Johansen, Saad, Murray

  46. P2 16:55Shot by Pysyk, saved by Bobrovsky
  47. P2 18:40Shot by Kane, saved by Bobrovsky
  48. P2 19:32Shot by Foligno, saved by Johnson
  49. P2 19:59Shot by Foligno, saved by Johnson
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:17Shot by Gorges, saved by Bobrovsky
  53. P3 0:22Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Bobrovsky
  54. P3 0:40Shot by Savard, saved by Johnson
  55. P3 2:28Shot by Larsson, saved by Bobrovsky
  56. P3 4:33Foligno: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Franson, Weber, Ennis, Kane, Eichel · CBJ Foligno, Savard, Connauton, Johansen, Jenner

  57. P3 5:10Goal by O'Reilly (Moulson, McGinn)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Franson, McGinn, Ennis, O'Reilly · CBJ Tyutin, Dubinsky, Johnson, Karlsson

  58. P3 6:32Girgensons: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Franson, Ennis, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen · CBJ Foligno, Prout, Connauton, Johansen, Jenner

  59. P3 7:03Shot by Johansen, saved by Johnson4v5
  60. P3 7:27Shot by Foligno, saved by Johnson4v5
  61. P3 7:30Goal by Saad, unassisted4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Gorges, Franson, Larsson · CBJ Hartnell, Foligno, Johansen, Saad, Murray

  62. P3 8:45Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Bobrovsky
  63. P3 9:21Goal by Eichel (Moulson, McGinn)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Weber, McGinn, Ristolainen, Eichel · CBJ Bourque, Savard, Connauton, Jenner, Karlsson

  64. P3 12:20Kane: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Kane, Foligno, Pysyk, Eichel · CBJ Hartnell, Calvert, Prout, Connauton, Karlsson

  65. P3 13:11Shot by Foligno, saved by Johnson4v5
  66. P3 13:13Goal by Hartnell (Johansen, Foligno)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Deslauriers, Larsson, Ristolainen · CBJ Hartnell, Foligno, Johansen, Saad, Murray

  67. P3 14:36Bourque: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Kane, Foligno, Pysyk, McCabe, Eichel · CBJ Bourque, Calvert, Prout, Connauton, Karlsson

  68. P3 15:43Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  69. P3 15:45Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  70. P3 15:47Goal by Moulson (O'Reilly, Ristolainen)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Ennis, O'Reilly, McCabe, Ristolainen · CBJ Tyutin, Dubinsky, Johnson, Jenner

  71. P3 17:23Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bobrovsky
  72. P3 19:01Shot by Johansen, saved by Johnson5v6
  73. P3 19:53Shot by Foligno, saved by Johnson5v6
  74. P3 19:57Shot by Johansen, saved by Johnson5v6
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final