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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 15, 2015·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Buffalo Sabres 2, Florida Panthers 3

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

Home

Florida Panthers

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 73% of the time.

FLA winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:27Shot by Smith, saved by Johnson
  3. P1 1:28Shot by Pirri, saved by Johnson
  4. P1 2:25Shot by Petrovic, saved by Johnson
  5. P1 3:43Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Johnson
  6. P1 5:53Shot by Kane, saved by Luongo
  7. P1 5:58Shot by Kane, saved by Luongo
  8. P1 6:03Shot by Gionta, saved by Luongo
  9. P1 6:07Shot by Gionta, saved by Luongo
  10. P1 6:48Shot by Ekblad, saved by Johnson
  11. P1 7:12Shot by Ennis, saved by Luongo
  12. P1 7:22Weber: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Brickley, Howden, Barkov, Ekblad · BUF Franson, Weber, Ennis, O'Reilly, Girgensons

  13. P1 7:46Gorges: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Bjugstad, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Larsson, Ristolainen

  14. P1 8:01Shot by Barkov, saved by Johnson5v3
  15. P1 8:07Shot by Barkov, saved by Johnson5v3
  16. P1 8:14Shot by Barkov, saved by Johnson5v3
  17. P1 8:29Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Johnson5v3
  18. P1 8:52Goal by Jagr (Barkov, Bjugstad)5v3+16 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Bjugstad, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad · BUF Franson, O'Reilly, Larsson

  19. P1 9:49Shot by Pirri, saved by Johnson
  20. P1 10:23Bolland: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Mitchell, MacKenzie, Bolland, Howden, Gudbranson · BUF Gionta, Franson, Weber, Kane, Eichel

  21. P1 10:31Shot by Ennis, saved by Luongo4v5
  22. P1 15:10Shot by Ennis, saved by Luongo
  23. P1 16:39Shot by Jokinen, saved by Johnson
  24. P1 17:34Goal by Jagr, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Mitchell, Gudbranson, Huberdeau, Barkov · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Kane, Ristolainen, Eichel

  25. P1 18:38Shot by Bolland, saved by Johnson
  26. P1 19:40Mitchell: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Mitchell, MacKenzie, Brickley, Howden, Gudbranson · BUF Gorges, Foligno, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:30Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Luongo4v5
  30. P2 0:57Shot by Reinhart, saved by Luongo4v5
  31. P2 1:48Shot by Kane, saved by Luongo
  32. P2 1:56Smith: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Mitchell, Campbell, MacKenzie, Smith, Petrovic · BUF Gorges, McGinn, Kane, Ristolainen, Eichel

  33. P2 4:26Shot by Gorges, saved by Luongo
  34. P2 4:27Gudbranson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Mitchell, Smith, Pirri, Bjugstad, Gudbranson · BUF Gorges, Weber, Foligno, Deslauriers, Larsson

  35. P2 4:56Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Luongo4v5
  36. P2 6:30Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Luongo
  37. P2 7:10Goal by McCabe (Foligno, Deslauriers)+14 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Smith, Pirri, Bjugstad, Ekblad · BUF Foligno, Deslauriers, Pysyk, McCabe, Reinhart

  38. P2 8:33Shot by Gionta, saved by Luongo
  39. P2 9:10Shot by Jokinen, saved by Johnson
  40. P2 9:16Shot by Brickley, saved by Johnson
  41. P2 9:31Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Johnson
  42. P2 10:01Shot by Eichel, saved by Luongo
  43. P2 11:11Shot by Ennis, saved by Luongo
  44. P2 11:35Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Johnson
  45. P2 13:16Shot by Larsson, saved by Luongo
  46. P2 17:27Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Luongo
  47. P2 18:09Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Johnson
  48. P2 18:52Shot by Ekblad, saved by Johnson
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 2:49Pysyk: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Mitchell, MacKenzie, Brickley, Howden, Gudbranson · BUF Gionta, Kane, Pysyk, Ristolainen, Eichel

  52. P3 3:21Shot by Barkov, saved by Johnson5v4
  53. P3 4:23Shot by Jagr, saved by Johnson5v4
  54. P3 4:24Goal by Barkov (Jagr, Ekblad)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Bjugstad, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad · BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Deslauriers, Ristolainen

  55. P3 5:16Moulson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Jokinen, Kulikov, Petrovic, Trocheck · BUF Moulson, Ennis, Pysyk, Girgensons, McCabe

  56. P3 6:06Shot by Campbell, saved by Johnson5v4
  57. P3 7:29Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Johnson
  58. P3 8:04Shot by McCabe, saved by Luongo
  59. P3 8:50Trocheck: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jokinen, Bolland, Kulikov, Petrovic, Trocheck · BUF Gorges, Ennis, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  60. P3 9:14McGinn: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Mitchell, MacKenzie, Smith, Gudbranson · BUF Gionta, McGinn, Kane, Ristolainen, Eichel

  61. P3 10:20Shot by Kane, saved by Luongo4v4
  62. P3 11:44Ekblad: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Smith, Pirri, Bjugstad, Ekblad · BUF Franson, Weber, McGinn, Larsson, Reinhart

  63. P3 12:35Goal by Ennis (O'Reilly, Ristolainen)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Mitchell, Jokinen, Bolland, Gudbranson · BUF Moulson, Ennis, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  64. P3 13:28Shot by Girgensons, saved by Luongo
  65. P3 14:48Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Luongo
  66. P3 16:34Shot by Eichel, saved by Luongo
  67. P3 16:53Shot by Barkov, saved by Johnson
  68. P3 17:13Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Johnson
  69. P3 17:30Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Luongo
  70. P3 18:02Shot by Kulikov, saved by Johnson
  71. P3 18:12Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Johnson
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final