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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 15, 2015·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Buffalo Sabres 2, Florida Panthers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 73% of the time.

FLA winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Gionta–Kane–EichelEnnis–O'Reilly–GirgensonsMoulson–McGinn–LarssonFoligno–Deslauriers–ReinhartEnnis–O'Reilly–ReinhartFoligno–Deslauriers–LarssonMoulson–Ennis–GirgensonsGorges–RistolainenFranson–WeberPysyk–McCabe
Jokinen–Bolland–Trocheck1:070.00–0.482:510.00–0.081:430.02–0.000:560.11–0.000:370.02–0.000:460.04–0.003:050.11–0.583:100.04–0.002:370.04–0.00
Jagr–Huberdeau–Barkov3:220.02–0.001:370.00–0.010:570.13–0.000:430.00–0.005:020.06–0.003:270.19–0.01
Smith–Pirri–Bjugstad2:300.12–0.001:410.02–0.000:530.00–0.162:000.00–0.023:060.15–0.092:510.00–0.16
MacKenzie–Brickley–Howden3:220.07–0.200:570.05–0.001:090.02–0.001:310.00–0.221:180.07–0.002:560.07–0.01
Kulikov–Petrovic1:350.03–0.003:460.00–0.090:460.02–0.001:270.13–0.000:350.13–0.000:400.02–0.000:520.00–0.004:220.11–0.094:130.19–0.014:300.12–0.08
Mitchell–Gudbranson4:350.11–0.772:210.12–0.001:100.00–0.401:030.00–0.001:050.00–0.006:420.06–1.103:490.25–0.092:030.00–0.00
Campbell–Ekblad2:280.04–0.012:120.06–0.151:510.02–0.000:350.00–0.160:430.00–0.002:010.00–0.034:200.11–0.153:470.06–0.16
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHuberdeau FBarkov FJagr FSmith FBjugstad FPirri FTrocheck FJokinen FBolland FMacKenzie FHowden FBrickley FPetrovic DKulikov DGudbranson DMitchell DEkblad DCampbell DLuongo GKane FGionta FEichel FGirgensons FO'Reilly FEnnis FLarsson FMoulson FMcGinn FReinhart FDeslauriers FFoligno FGorges DRistolainen DWeber DFranson DPysyk DMcCabe DJohnson G
FLABUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2824:280:522:1043
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2322:350:591:5566
Tyler EnnisBUF2221:170:581:4963
Erik GudbransonFLA2721:090:471:4128
Dmitry KulikovFLA2520:520:502:1534
Cody FransonBUF2920:500:431:5054
Jussi JokinenFLA2420:130:511:4254
Willie MitchellFLA2620:030:461:2327
Alexander PetrovicFLA2419:530:502:1534
Evander KaneBUF2519:490:481:3374
Brian GiontaBUF2319:290:511:3653
Jack EichelBUF2418:560:471:3362
Josh GorgesBUF2618:220:421:3524
Aleksander BarkovFLA2018:140:551:4345
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA1916:450:531:3553
Brian CampbellFLA1716:300:581:4371
Dave BollandFLA2516:280:401:2455
Nick BjugstadFLA1916:040:511:3541
Aaron EkbladFLA1515:581:042:2780
Vincent TrocheckFLA1815:440:521:4242
Reilly SmithFLA2215:100:411:0324
Mike WeberBUF2415:100:381:0724
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1815:000:501:2823
Jake McCabeBUF2214:440:401:1935
Jaromir JagrFLA1614:300:541:3542
Mark PysykBUF2113:470:391:0535
Derek MacKenzieFLA2013:280:401:1235
Matt MoulsonBUF1712:550:461:1371
Jamie McGinnBUF1612:290:471:2032
Sam ReinhartBUF1512:270:501:3032
Johan LarssonBUF1712:070:431:2515
Brandon PirriFLA1711:570:421:0621
Marcus FolignoBUF159:130:371:0212
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF138:410:401:3513
Quinton HowdenFLA128:350:431:1721
Connor BrickleyFLA127:360:381:1731