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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 17, 2015·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Nashville Predators 4, Ottawa Senators 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 75% of the time.

OTT winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Fisher–Neal–ForsbergRibeiro–Wilson–SmithHodgson–Bourque–JarnkrokGaustad–Nystrom–WatsonFisher–Neal–WilsonWeber–JosiEllis–EkholmJackman–JonesEkholm–JonesJosi–Jones
Turris–Hoffman–Stone5:120.14–0.152:260.02–0.012:090.10–0.011:260.01–0.006:100.25–0.152:100.04–0.012:500.02–0.010:330.00–0.00
Michalek–Ryan–Zibanejad1:050.04–0.012:060.17–0.263:020.00–0.023:170.02–0.022:370.20–0.035:130.03–0.141:370.00–0.140:350.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Chiasson–Pageau–Lazar3:110.17–0.082:520.10–0.003:140.41–0.120:360.05–0.003:150.12–0.000:400.14–0.002:330.09–0.122:590.20–0.080:520.19–0.00
Neil–Smith–Prince0:440.06–0.031:080.00–0.022:440.04–0.001:170.03–0.002:570.45–0.031:390.01–0.00
Wiercioch–Ceci2:320.15–0.062:390.10–0.123:540.15–0.111:270.00–0.003:320.06–0.065:080.16–0.151:570.00–0.081:260.18–0.000:380.00–0.00
Karlsson–Borowiecki3:060.14–0.193:570.37–0.161:440.19–0.002:280.06–0.004:560.55–0.102:020.02–0.001:520.01–0.141:170.00–0.080:570.19–0.00
Cowen–Wideman2:200.06–0.041:140.02–0.021:370.00–0.043:200.01–0.020:320.05–0.003:280.14–0.042:560.08–0.033:030.02–0.040:320.00–0.00
Karlsson–Cowen2:070.44–0.000:320.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:320.03–0.000:440.03–0.001:410.00–0.001:230.38–0.00
Karlsson–Wiercioch0:380.07–0.000:520.02–0.000:490.39–0.00
Wiercioch–Wideman0:400.00–0.010:400.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndTurris FStone FHoffman FLazar FPageau FChiasson FPrince FSmith FNeil FMichalek FZibanejad FRyan FKarlsson DBorowiecki DCeci DWiercioch DCowen DWideman DAnderson GForsberg FFisher FNeal FSmith FWilson FRibeiro FNystrom FGaustad FWatson FHodgson FJarnkrok FBourque FWeber DJosi DEllis DEkholm DJones DJackman DHutton G
OTTNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH3329:050:531:5935
Erik KarlssonOTT3027:210:552:1361
Shea WeberNSH3426:070:461:3736
Seth JonesNSH2823:500:511:4843
Filip ForsbergNSH3022:340:451:4644
James NealNSH2822:330:481:5422
Jared CowenOTT2722:100:491:4565
Mike FisherNSH3122:030:431:5336
Cody CeciOTT2620:370:482:0138
Patrick WierciochOTT2520:140:492:0127
Mark StoneOTT2520:050:481:1933
Kyle TurrisOTT2520:030:481:3543
Curtis LazarOTT2419:310:491:4555
Mattias EkholmNSH2818:570:411:1033
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2418:320:461:2426
Mike HoffmanOTT2418:220:462:0653
Mark BorowieckiOTT2517:490:431:5123
Ryan EllisNSH2217:100:471:1352
Mike RibeiroNSH2416:320:411:2830
Mika ZibanejadOTT2416:190:411:12112
Milan MichalekOTT2316:170:421:0682
Alex ChiassonOTT2316:010:421:4124
Colin WilsonNSH2315:550:421:1630
Bobby RyanOTT2115:500:451:3782
Craig SmithNSH2115:240:441:4131
Chris WidemanOTT1814:110:471:3261
Gabriel BourqueNSH1813:010:431:2932
Barret JackmanNSH1512:130:491:2621
Eric NystromNSH1811:570:401:0109
Calle JarnkrokNSH1611:420:441:1332
Cody HodgsonNSH1411:130:481:1941
Austin WatsonNSH1710:500:381:1008
Paul GaustadNSH2010:490:321:17110
Zack SmithOTT179:210:331:0322
Shane PrinceOTT137:360:350:5820
Chris NeilOTT136:420:310:5720