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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 23, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Montréal Canadiens 7, Buffalo Sabres 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.

BUF winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by Kane, saved by Condon
  3. P1 0:47Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Johnson
  4. P1 1:21Shot by Eichel, saved by Condon
  5. P1 2:15Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Johnson
  6. P1 3:26Shot by Kane, saved by Condon
  7. P1 4:36Shot by Eller, saved by Johnson
  8. P1 5:03Semin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Moulson, Foligno, Girgensons, Ristolainen · MTL Gilbert, Semin, Eller, Beaulieu, Galchenyuk

  9. P1 5:54Shot by Plekanec, saved by Johnson5v4
  10. P1 6:30Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Johnson5v4
  11. P1 7:19Shot by Pysyk, saved by Condon
  12. P1 8:32Shot by Gorges, saved by Condon
  13. P1 10:31Shot by Markov, saved by Johnson
  14. P1 10:57Shot by Eichel, saved by Condon
  15. P1 13:23Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Johnson
  16. P1 14:09Shot by Semin, saved by Johnson
  17. P1 14:23Shot by Larsson, saved by Condon
  18. P1 14:35Goal by Weise (Subban, Fleischmann)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Weber, McGinn, Deslauriers, Larsson, McCabe · MTL Markov, Fleischmann, Desharnais, Subban, Weise

  19. P1 15:58Shot by Moulson, saved by Condon
  20. P1 17:41Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Johnson
  21. P1 18:39Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Johnson
  22. P1 18:56Shot by Eichel, saved by Condon
  23. P1 19:32Shot by Weber, saved by Condon
  24. P1 19:59Shot by Ennis, saved by Condon
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:45Goal by Gallagher (Plekanec, Subban)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Ennis, Ristolainen, Eichel · MTL Plekanec, Petry, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  28. P2 4:35Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Condon
  29. P2 4:44Shot by Reinhart, saved by Condon
  30. P2 4:49Goal by Moulson (Reinhart, Franson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Franson, Weber, O'Reilly, Reinhart · MTL Gilbert, Semin, Eller, Beaulieu, Galchenyuk

  31. P2 5:29Shot by Girgensons, saved by Condon
  32. P2 9:43Shot by Pysyk, saved by Condon
  33. P2 10:02Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Johnson
  34. P2 10:11Shot by Emelin, saved by Johnson
  35. P2 10:59Fleischmann: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Moulson, Foligno, Girgensons, Ristolainen · MTL Fleischmann, Emelin, Desharnais, Petry, Weise

  36. P2 11:04Goal by O'Reilly (Franson)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Franson, Ennis, O'Reilly, Reinhart · MTL Gilbert, Mitchell, Subban, Eller

  37. P2 11:13Shot by Eller, saved by Johnson
  38. P2 11:20Shot by Semin, saved by Johnson
  39. P2 13:31Goal by Mitchell (Subban, Markov)+26 pts WP

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Kane, Deslauriers, Pysyk, McCabe · MTL Markov, Mitchell, Subban, Smith-Pelly, Flynn

  40. P2 14:38Shot by Eichel, saved by Condon
  41. P2 15:34Shot by Weber, saved by Condon
  42. P2 16:32Shot by Kane, saved by Condon
  43. P2 17:17Shot by McGinn, saved by Condon
  44. P2 18:09Shot by Gionta, saved by Condon
  45. P2 18:18Ennis: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Franson, Weber, Ennis, Eichel · MTL Markov, Fleischmann, Desharnais, Subban, Weise

  46. P2 18:22Goal by Markov (Plekanec)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  47. P2 19:11Gorges: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart · MTL Plekanec, Emelin, Petry, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:26Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Johnson4v5
  51. P3 0:27Goal by Gallagher (Pacioretty, Markov)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Franson, Weber, O'Reilly, Girgensons · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  52. P3 0:34Shot by Foligno, saved by Condon
  53. P3 1:04Shot by Girgensons, saved by Condon
  54. P3 1:17Shot by Mitchell, saved by Johnson
  55. P3 2:04Shot by Ennis, saved by Condon
  56. P3 2:54Subban: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Weber, O'Reilly, Kane, Pysyk, Girgensons, Reinhart · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  57. P3 3:07Shot by Franson, saved by Condon5v4
  58. P3 3:58Shot by Kane, saved by Condon5v4
  59. P3 5:29Shot by Moulson, saved by Condon
  60. P3 5:42Shot by Franson, saved by Condon
  61. P3 5:52Shot by Reinhart, saved by Condon
  62. P3 7:26Shot by Markov, saved by Johnson
  63. P3 7:40Franson: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Franson, Ennis, Ristolainen, Eichel · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Fleischmann, Desharnais, Subban, Weise

  64. P3 9:27Shot by Larsson, saved by Condon4v5
  65. P3 11:11Goal by Pacioretty (Markov, Plekanec)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Franson, Ennis, Kane, Eichel · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  66. P3 11:33Beaulieu: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Foligno, Pysyk, McCabe, Eichel · MTL Gilbert, Semin, Beaulieu, Flynn, Galchenyuk

  67. P3 14:15Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Condon
  68. P3 14:38Shot by Reinhart, saved by Condon
  69. P3 14:59Shot by Larsson, saved by Condon
  70. P3 15:23Goal by Weise (Markov, Desharnais)0 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, McGinn, Deslauriers, Larsson, Ristolainen · MTL Markov, Fleischmann, Gilbert, Desharnais, Weise

  71. P3 17:16Shot by Eller, saved by Johnson
  72. P3 17:18Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Johnson
  73. P3 17:44Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Condon
  74. P3 18:15Shot by Weber, saved by Condon
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final