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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 24, 2015·Centre Bell, Montreal

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Montréal Canadiens 5

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Montréal Canadiens

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 73% of the time.

MTL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:37Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 1:08Shot by Subban, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 1:23Shot by Winnik, saved by Price
  5. P1 1:51Shot by Gilbert, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 1:57Shot by Petry, saved by Bernier
  7. P1 3:15Shot by Mitchell, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 3:16Harrington: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Mitchell, Subban, Smith-Pelly, Flynn · TOR Boyes, Matthias, Arcobello, Harrington, Rielly

  9. P1 3:55Shot by Matthias, saved by Price5v4
  10. P1 5:59Subban: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher · TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Kadri, Rielly

  11. P1 5:58Shot by Kadri, saved by Price
  12. P1 6:28Shot by Boyes, saved by Price4v5
  13. P1 7:41Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Price4v5
  14. P1 7:39Shot by Lupul, saved by Price4v5
  15. P1 8:25Shot by Petry, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 9:16Shot by Froese, saved by Price
  17. P1 9:21Parenteau: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gilbert, Semin, Eller, Beaulieu, Galchenyuk · TOR Parenteau, Grabner, Froese, Harrington, Rielly

  18. P1 9:26Shot by Markov, saved by Bernier5v4
  19. P1 9:49Shot by Subban, saved by Bernier5v4
  20. P1 10:15Shot by Subban, saved by Bernier5v4
  21. P1 10:53Goal by Subban (Pacioretty, Plekanec)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Petry, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher · TOR Winnik, Matthias, Marincin, Rielly

  22. P1 12:10Shot by Winnik, saved by Price
  23. P1 12:24Shot by Winnik, saved by Price
  24. P1 12:30Shot by Harrington, saved by Price
  25. P1 12:55Shot by Arcobello, saved by Price
  26. P1 14:08Shot by Komarov, saved by Price
  27. P1 15:52Shot by Arcobello, saved by Price
  28. P1 18:25Shot by Lupul, saved by Price
  29. P1 19:35Shot by Markov, saved by Bernier
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 1:53Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 1:54Goal by Eller (Galchenyuk)+14 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Gilbert, Semin, Eller, Beaulieu, Galchenyuk · TOR Parenteau, Polak, Grabner, Froese, Rielly

  34. P2 2:36Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Price
  35. P2 2:37Goal by Komarov (van Riemsdyk, Harrington)+14 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Mitchell, Subban, Smith-Pelly, Flynn · TOR Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Kadri, Harrington, Rielly

  36. P2 2:49Shot by Lupul, saved by Price
  37. P2 3:04Shot by Gallagher, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 3:05Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bernier
  39. P2 3:33Shot by Boyes, saved by Price
  40. P2 4:13Shot by Grabner, saved by Price
  41. P2 4:24Goal by Desharnais (Fleischmann, Weise)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Fleischmann, Emelin, Desharnais, Petry, Weise · TOR Parenteau, Polak, Grabner, Froese, Marincin

  42. P2 5:08Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Bernier
  43. P2 5:34Shot by Harrington, saved by Price
  44. P2 6:36Goal by van Riemsdyk (Phaneuf, Komarov)+11 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Semin, Subban, Eller, Galchenyuk · TOR Phaneuf, Hunwick, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Kadri

  45. P2 6:36Spaling: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Semin, Subban, Eller, Galchenyuk · TOR Phaneuf, Hunwick, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Kadri

  46. P2 6:44Shot by Subban, saved by Bernier5v4
  47. P2 8:05Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Bernier5v4
  48. P2 10:04Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Price
  49. P2 10:19Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Price
  50. P2 12:40Shot by Froese, saved by Price
  51. P2 12:44Shot by Rielly, saved by Price
  52. P2 13:47Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Price
  53. P2 13:51Shot by Lupul, saved by Price
  54. P2 14:33Shot by Flynn, saved by Bernier
  55. P2 14:36Eller: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Subban, Eller, Flynn, Galchenyuk · TOR Boyes, Polak, Matthias, Marincin, Arcobello

  56. P2 15:22Shot by Parenteau, saved by Price4v5
  57. P2 15:30Goal by Pacioretty, unassisted4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Gilbert, Subban, Pacioretty · TOR Boyes, Komarov, Froese, Arcobello, Rielly

  58. P2 15:41Smith-Pelly: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MTL Markov, Subban, Smith-Pelly, Flynn · TOR Boyes, Phaneuf, Komarov, Froese, Arcobello

  59. P2 15:40Shot by Arcobello, saved by Price4v5
  60. P2 15:57Shot by Kadri, saved by Price3v5
  61. P2 16:08Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Price3v5
  62. P2 16:29Shot by Lupul, saved by Price3v5
  63. P2 16:31Shot by Lupul, saved by Price3v5
  64. P2 16:42Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Price4v5
  65. P2 17:35Shot by Komarov, saved by Price4v5
  66. P2 17:56Shot by Winnik, saved by Price
  67. P2 18:48Phaneuf: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Fleischmann, Emelin, Desharnais, Petry, Weise · TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Kadri, Rielly

  68. P2 18:48Kadri: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Fleischmann, Emelin, Desharnais, Petry, Weise · TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Kadri, Rielly

  69. P2 18:48Emelin: Cross checking (2 min)5v3

    On ice: MTL Fleischmann, Emelin, Desharnais, Petry, Weise · TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Kadri, Rielly

  70. P2 18:51Shot by Hunwick, saved by Price5v4
  71. P2 19:46Goal by Gallagher (Subban, Markov)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher · TOR Hunwick, Winnik, Froese, Rielly

  72. P2 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Period start
  74. P3 0:06Shot by Hunwick, saved by Price
  75. P3 0:44Shot by Eller, saved by Bernier
  76. P3 1:25Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Bernier
  77. P3 2:52Shot by Winnik, saved by Price
  78. P3 4:39Shot by Matthias, saved by Price
  79. P3 5:00Shot by Gallagher, saved by Bernier
  80. P3 5:20Shot by Lupul, saved by Price
  81. P3 7:11Goal by Rielly (Boyes)+4 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Semin, Subban, Eller, Galchenyuk · TOR Boyes, Matthias, Arcobello, Harrington, Rielly

  82. P3 8:48Shot by Weise, saved by Bernier
  83. P3 9:21Shot by Hunwick, saved by Price
  84. P3 9:42Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Price
  85. P3 10:56Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Bernier
  86. P3 11:23Shot by Spaling, saved by Price
  87. P3 12:08Petry: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Emelin, Petry, Pacioretty, Gallagher · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Hunwick, Winnik, Kadri

  88. P3 12:46Shot by Arcobello, saved by Price4v5
  89. P3 15:22Shot by Grabner, saved by Price
  90. P3 16:56Shot by Lupul, saved by Price
  91. P3 17:08Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Price5v6
  92. P3 17:54Shot by Boyes, saved by Price5v6
  93. P3 18:00Shot by Harrington, saved by Price5v6
  94. P3 18:29Shot by Kadri, saved by Price5v6
  95. P3 19:45Weise: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MTL Markov, Fleischmann, Desharnais, Subban, Weise · TOR Parenteau, Phaneuf, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Kadri, Rielly

  96. P3 0:00Period end
  97. P3 0:00Final