Sat, Oct 24, 2015·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Montréal Canadiens 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 73% of the time.
21%
66%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:00 | 0.06 | 60.4% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 22:54 | 0.34 | 46.9% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:46 | 0.23 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 21:02 | 0.19 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 20:28 | 0.63 | 59.1% | +25.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:14 | 0.42 | 58.4% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:51 | 0.20 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:09 | 0.02 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16:00 | 1.14 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.01 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:00 | 0.07 | 70.8% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.29 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 12:50 | 0.51 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:09 | 0.20 | 59.4% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11:23 | 0.19 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:13 | 0.05 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:09 | 0.45 | 56.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 22 | 5 | .815 | 2.70 | −2.3 | 56:57 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 5 | 26:41 | 0.28 | 57.1% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 24:42 | 0.07 | 55.7% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:10 | 0.03 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:44 | 0.00 | 70.8% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:44 | 0.58 | 70.8% | +29.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:39 | 0.00 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:07 | 0.36 | 70.8% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 15:15 | 0.28 | 44.5% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.01 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:42 | 0.40 | 43.9% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.01 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.72 | 29.2% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.12 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.10 | 28.7% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.02 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.09 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:35 | 0.15 | 27.5% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:05 | 0.19 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 52 | 49 | 3 | .942 | 5.01 | +2.0 | 60:00 |