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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 30, 2015·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Colorado Avalanche 2, Carolina Hurricanes 3

Away

Colorado Avalanche

2

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 75% of the time.

CAR winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:37Shot by Gerbe, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 0:55Shot by Versteeg, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 3:51Shot by Versteeg, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 6:36Shot by Faulk, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 7:17Shot by Tanguay, saved by Ward
  7. P1 7:19Rask: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Versteeg, Rask, Murphy, Hanifin · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Beauchemin, Johnson, MacKinnon

  8. P1 7:58Shot by Soderberg, saved by Ward4v5
  9. P1 8:49Liles: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Liles, McClement, Nash · COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog

  10. P1 9:15Shot by Iginla, saved by Ward3v5
  11. P1 9:43Shot by Landeskog, saved by Ward4v5
  12. P1 9:58Shot by Landeskog, saved by Ward4v5
  13. P1 9:59Shot by Duchene, saved by Ward4v5
  14. P1 10:38Shot by Barrie, saved by Ward4v5
  15. P1 12:06Shot by Landeskog, saved by Ward
  16. P1 13:10Shot by Gerbe, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 14:14Shot by Murphy, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 14:15Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 16:57Shot by Comeau, saved by Ward
  20. P1 17:06Shot by Holden, saved by Ward
  21. P1 17:08Shot by Everberg, saved by Ward
  22. P1 18:20Johnson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Liles, Terry, Nash, Skinner, Pesce · COL Beauchemin, Skille, Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog

  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 2:25Shot by Comeau, saved by Ward
  26. P2 2:32Shot by Gormley, saved by Ward
  27. P2 2:39Gormley: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gerbe, Staal, Terry, Murphy, Hanifin · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Gormley, Zadorov, Everberg

  28. P2 6:49Goal by Tanguay (Grigorenko, MacKinnon)+24 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gerbe, Staal, Terry, Murphy, Hanifin · COL Tanguay, Gormley, Grigorenko, MacKinnon, Zadorov

  29. P2 7:25Shot by Iginla, saved by Ward
  30. P2 7:49Shot by Rask, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 8:57Shot by Terry, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 9:32Staal: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Versteeg, Rask, Murphy, Hanifin · COL Mitchell, Holden, Barrie, Landeskog, Grigorenko

  33. P2 10:29Shot by Iginla, saved by Ward4v5
  34. P2 11:33Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Ward
  35. P2 12:00Goal by Rask (Versteeg, Murphy)+25 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Versteeg, Rask, Murphy, Hanifin · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Holden, Zadorov, Everberg

  36. P2 12:45Shot by Liles, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 13:02Shot by Duchene, saved by Ward
  38. P2 13:21Mitchell: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Liles, Versteeg, Skinner, Rask, Pesce · COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, McLeod, Johnson, Grigorenko

  39. P2 13:24Shot by Rask, saved by Varlamov5v4
  40. P2 14:54Goal by Faulk (Murphy, Versteeg)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Versteeg, Gerbe, Faulk, Murphy · COL Tanguay, Holden, MacKinnon, Zadorov

  41. P2 15:32Shot by McClement, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 16:56Shot by Versteeg, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 17:13Shot by Hanifin, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 18:48Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 19:17Shot by Rask, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 19:50Shot by Nash, saved by Varlamov
  47. P2 19:53Shot by Skinner, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 3:52Shot by Faulk, saved by Varlamov
  51. P3 5:07Goal by Skinner (Nash, Pesce)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Terry, Nash, Skinner, Murphy, Hanifin · COL Skille, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog

  52. P3 6:33Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  53. P3 7:26Shot by Barrie, saved by Ward
  54. P3 7:49Shot by Hainsey, saved by Varlamov
  55. P3 8:05Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  56. P3 9:49Shot by McGinn, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 10:54Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 11:24Shot by Barrie, saved by Ward
  59. P3 12:07Shot by Mitchell, saved by Ward
  60. P3 12:11Shot by Mitchell, saved by Ward
  61. P3 12:54Shot by Iginla, saved by Ward
  62. P3 13:36Shot by Soderberg, saved by Ward
  63. P3 13:40Landeskog: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Liles, Gerbe, Staal, McGinn, Pesce · COL Beauchemin, Soderberg, Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog

  64. P3 17:22Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Ward
  65. P3 18:19Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Ward5v6
  66. P3 18:26Shot by Landeskog, saved by Ward5v6
  67. P3 19:28Goal by Soderberg (Landeskog, Comeau)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Gerbe, Staal, Faulk, McGinn · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog

  68. P3 19:44Shot by Landeskog, saved by Ward5v6
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 19:25Shot by Landeskog, saved by Ward5v6
  71. P3 19:26Shot by Comeau, saved by Ward5v6
  72. P3 0:00Final