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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 30, 2015·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Ottawa Senators 3, Detroit Red Wings 1

Away

Ottawa Senators

3

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 75% of the time.

DET winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Miller, saved by Hammond
  3. P1 2:10Shot by Ryan, saved by Howard
  4. P1 2:11Shot by Ryan, saved by Howard
  5. P1 2:59Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Howard
  6. P1 4:06Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Hammond
  7. P1 5:25Shot by McCormick, saved by Howard
  8. P1 8:00Shot by Nyquist, saved by Hammond
  9. P1 8:31Shot by Pulkkinen, saved by Hammond
  10. P1 8:49Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Hammond
  11. P1 8:53Shot by Miller, saved by Hammond
  12. P1 10:20Shot by Sheahan, saved by Hammond
  13. P1 12:21Shot by Tatar, saved by Hammond
  14. P1 12:33Shot by Ceci, saved by Howard
  15. P1 12:41Shot by Prince, saved by Howard
  16. P1 13:17Shot by Cowen, saved by Howard
  17. P1 14:08Shot by Chiasson, saved by Howard
  18. P1 14:45Abdelkader: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kindl, Abdelkader, Smith, Larkin · OTT Neil, Smith, Wiercioch, McCormick, Ceci

  19. P1 15:23Shot by Stone, saved by Howard4v5
  20. P1 16:12Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Howard4v5
  21. P1 16:43Shot by Ceci, saved by Howard4v5
  22. P1 17:50Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Hammond
  23. P1 18:46Goal by Turris (Stone)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nyquist, Tatar, Marchenko, Glendening, DeKeyser · OTT Turris, Karlsson, Wiercioch, Stone, Puempel

  24. P1 19:12Shot by Sheahan, saved by Hammond
  25. P1 19:14Ceci: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan, Marchenko, DeKeyser · OTT Ryan, Wiercioch, Zibanejad, Puempel, Ceci

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:06Shot by Nyquist, saved by Hammond5v4
  29. P2 2:13Shot by Stone, saved by Howard
  30. P2 2:44Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Howard
  31. P2 3:13Neil: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kindl, Helm, Smith, Pulkkinen, Jurco · OTT Neil, Michalek, Wiercioch, Pageau, Ceci

  32. P2 4:33Shot by Pulkkinen, saved by Hammond5v4
  33. P2 4:48Smith: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Kindl, Pulkkinen, Jurco, DeKeyser, Larkin · OTT Methot, Smith, Chiasson, Ceci

  34. P2 5:11Shot by Pageau, saved by Howard5v3
  35. P2 5:25Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Hammond5v4
  36. P2 6:00Shot by Stone, saved by Howard5v4
  37. P2 6:17Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Hammond5v4
  38. P2 6:53Jurco: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Kindl, Sheahan, Jurco, Larkin · OTT Michalek, Turris, Smith, Borowiecki, Cowen

  39. P2 8:25Shot by Karlsson, saved by Howard4v5
  40. P2 10:10Goal by Puempel (Ryan, Karlsson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kindl, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan, Marchenko · OTT Methot, Ryan, Karlsson, Zibanejad, Puempel

  41. P2 10:53Shot by Prince, saved by Howard
  42. P2 14:15Shot by Ericsson, saved by Hammond
  43. P2 15:27Shot by Nyquist, saved by Hammond
  44. P2 15:44Ceci: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Miller, Nyquist, Marchenko, Glendening, DeKeyser · OTT Ryan, Wiercioch, Zibanejad, Puempel, Ceci

  45. P2 15:51Shot by Larkin, saved by Hammond5v4
  46. P2 16:37Smith: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Larkin · OTT Michalek, Smith, Borowiecki, Cowen

  47. P2 17:00Goal by Zetterberg (Pulkkinen, Nyquist)5v3+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Pulkkinen · OTT Borowiecki, Cowen, Pageau

  48. P2 17:16Shot by Larkin, saved by Hammond5v4
  49. P2 17:27Shot by Pulkkinen, saved by Hammond5v4
  50. P2 18:35Shot by Nyquist, saved by Hammond5v4
  51. P2 18:56Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Miller, Helm, Smith, Glendening, DeKeyser · OTT Ryan, Smith, Karlsson, Wiercioch, Zibanejad

  52. P2 19:58Shot by Michalek, saved by Howard4v5
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:47Shot by Karlsson, saved by Howard4v5
  56. P3 1:02Shot by Michalek, saved by Howard
  57. P3 1:19Shot by Pageau, saved by Howard
  58. P3 1:26Shot by Pageau, saved by Howard
  59. P3 1:50Shot by Nyquist, saved by Hammond
  60. P3 2:15Shot by Nyquist, saved by Hammond
  61. P3 2:21Shot by Sheahan, saved by Hammond
  62. P3 2:57Shot by Kronwall, saved by Hammond
  63. P3 5:03Shot by Karlsson, saved by Howard
  64. P3 5:18Shot by Prince, saved by Howard
  65. P3 6:50Shot by Ryan, saved by Howard
  66. P3 7:13Shot by McCormick, saved by Howard
  67. P3 7:35Shot by McCormick, saved by Howard
  68. P3 7:55Shot by Karlsson, saved by Howard
  69. P3 8:18Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Hammond
  70. P3 8:59Kindl: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kindl, Smith, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan · OTT Michalek, Wiercioch, Chiasson, Zibanejad, Ceci

  71. P3 11:38Shot by McCormick, saved by Howard
  72. P3 12:48Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Howard
  73. P3 12:58Shot by Methot, saved by Howard
  74. P3 16:12Shot by Chiasson, saved by Howard
  75. P3 16:40Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Hammond
  76. P3 16:49Shot by Pulkkinen, saved by Hammond
  77. P3 17:58Shot by Nyquist, saved by Hammond6v5
  78. P3 18:30Shot by Larkin, saved by Hammond6v5
  79. P3 19:05Goal by Ryan (Michalek)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Helm, Tatar, Pulkkinen · OTT Michalek, Methot, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final