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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 5, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.

BUF winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by Paquette, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 0:56Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 3:47Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 3:56Shot by Killorn, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 5:55Goal by Stamkos (Filppula, Palat)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Ennis, O'Reilly, Deslauriers, Ristolainen · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Stamkos, Palat, Sustr

  7. P1 6:25Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 6:31Shot by Killorn, saved by Ullmark
  9. P1 7:42Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 7:48Shot by Weber, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 7:49Condra: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Weber, McGinn, Pysyk, Reinhart · TBL Boyle, Condra, Garrison, Nesterov, Brown

  12. P1 8:12Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  13. P1 8:16Shot by Moulson, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  14. P1 9:36Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  15. P1 11:12Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 11:35Goal by Johnson (Killorn, Kucherov)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Weber, McGinn, Ennis, Pysyk · TBL Killorn, Garrison, Johnson, Nesterov, Kucherov

  17. P1 13:29Shot by Boyle, saved by Ullmark
  18. P1 16:33Shot by Boyle, saved by Ullmark
  19. P1 16:52Shot by Legwand, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 18:18Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Ullmark
  21. P1 18:20Goal by Kucherov (Namestnikov, Coburn)+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Moulson, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TBL Stralman, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov

  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:01Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 1:10Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 1:35Shot by Gorges, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 1:44Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 2:04Shot by Weber, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 2:34Shot by Girgensons, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 3:23Shot by Garrison, saved by Johnson
  31. P2 3:56Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 4:06Shot by Boyle, saved by Johnson
  33. P2 4:21Goal by Eichel (Weber, Ennis)+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Weber, Foligno, Larsson, Pysyk, Eichel · TBL Coburn, Boyle, Condra, Brown, Sustr

  34. P2 4:32Shot by Brown, saved by Johnson
  35. P2 5:12Girgensons: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Weber, Foligno, Larsson, Pysyk, Girgensons · TBL Callahan, Garrison, Nesterov, Namestnikov, Paquette

  36. P2 5:40Shot by Kucherov, saved by Johnson4v5
  37. P2 6:20Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  38. P2 7:04Shot by Filppula, saved by Johnson4v5
  39. P2 7:55Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 8:14Shot by Gionta, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 8:18Shot by Moulson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 10:13Shot by Palat, saved by Johnson
  43. P2 12:27Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Johnson
  44. P2 12:46Shot by Girgensons, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 13:43Shot by McCabe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 14:19Shot by Stamkos, saved by Johnson
  47. P2 16:48Shot by Moulson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 16:54Shot by Weber, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 18:19Shot by McCabe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 18:21Sustr: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Franson, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe, Eichel · TBL Filppula, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Sustr

  51. P2 18:34Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  52. P2 18:40Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  53. P2 19:04Shot by Franson, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  54. P2 19:40Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 4:14Shot by Johnson, saved by Johnson
  58. P3 5:48Shot by Paquette, saved by Johnson
  59. P3 10:12Shot by Foligno, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 11:26Weber: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Weber, Ennis, O'Reilly, Pysyk, Girgensons · TBL Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Sustr

  61. P3 15:37Weber: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Weber, Ennis, Pysyk, Girgensons, Reinhart · TBL Callahan, Garrison, Nesterov, Namestnikov, Paquette

  62. P3 16:44Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  63. P3 19:30Goal by Hedman (Sustr)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, McGinn, Ennis, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Eichel · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Palat, Paquette, Sustr

  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final