Thu, Nov 5, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Buffalo Sabres 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.
47%
9%
10%
33%
BUF winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Killorn–Johnson–Kucherov | Filppula–Stamkos–Palat | Boyle–Condra–Brown | Callahan–Namestnikov–Paquette | Hedman–Sustr | Coburn–Garrison | Garrison–Nesterov | Coburn–Sustr | Stralman–Nesterov | Stralman–Hedman | Coburn–Stralman | Garrison–Hedman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ennis–O'Reilly–Reinhart | 3:360.03–0.08 | 2:500.10–0.09 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.06 | 2:290.00–0.15 | 3:200.12–0.00 | 1:010.08–0.00 | 2:150.02–0.08 | ||||
| Gionta–Moulson–Girgensons | 4:560.08–0.21 | 2:000.03–0.07 | 2:040.20–0.02 | 1:520.20–0.21 | 1:180.00–0.02 | 1:320.03–0.00 | 1:240.03–0.00 | 3:080.05–0.43 | ||||
| Foligno–Larsson–Eichel | 1:450.02–0.03 | 1:060.11–0.04 | 2:170.00–0.01 | 1:070.02–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.03 | 1:330.17–0.01 | 0:500.00–0.03 | 1:390.02–0.05 | ||||
| McGinn–Larsson–Eichel | 1:120.00–0.02 | 2:180.14–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Ennis–O'Reilly–Deslauriers | 0:590.00–0.14 | 1:220.08–0.09 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.09 | 0:590.00–0.14 | ||||||
| Legwand–McGinn–Deslauriers | 1:400.13–0.00 | 0:570.06–0.00 | 0:340.07–0.00 | |||||||||
| Legwand–Foligno–Deslauriers | 1:170.13–0.00 | 0:410.13–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Legwand–McGinn–Reinhart | 1:130.14–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Gionta–Girgensons–Eichel | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Franson–McCabe | 3:210.00–0.14 | 2:570.12–0.14 | 1:490.00–0.00 | 4:160.13–0.01 | 1:540.02–0.09 | 3:420.22–0.02 | 1:540.00–0.00 | 2:120.03–0.00 | 1:270.06–0.03 | 2:250.00–0.16 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 |
| Weber–Pysyk | 2:510.05–0.08 | 3:050.09–0.00 | 4:580.52–0.03 | 2:250.20–0.00 | 3:410.25–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.00 | 3:400.30–0.12 | 1:130.25–0.00 | 3:210.11–0.00 | 1:090.05–0.00 | ||
| Gorges–Ristolainen | 5:080.05–0.33 | 3:390.08–0.16 | 1:100.00–0.01 | 1:320.00–0.07 | 2:190.00–0.27 | 1:530.00–0.02 | 1:000.08–0.00 | 2:500.05–0.18 | 1:320.11–0.00 | 2:350.02–0.47 | ||
| Weber–Ristolainen | 0:310.00–0.09 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 24 | 23:12 | 0:58 | 1:30 | 2 | 2 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 26 | 21:35 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 4 | 3 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 28 | 21:28 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 5 | 5 |
 Cody FransonBUF | 24 | 21:27 | 0:54 | 1:50 | 2 | 1 |
 Jason GarrisonTBL | 27 | 20:14 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 1 | 5 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 24 | 20:12 | 0:51 | 1:41 | 1 | 1 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 24 | 19:41 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 3 | 0 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 22 | 19:36 | 0:53 | 1:31 | 2 | 1 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 25 | 19:36 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 0 | 4 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 21 | 19:31 | 0:56 | 1:40 | 5 | 1 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 20 | 19:11 | 0:58 | 1:34 | 5 | 2 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 17 | 19:03 | 1:07 | 2:07 | 4 | 4 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 22 | 18:24 | 0:50 | 1:32 | 0 | 2 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 20 | 18:12 | 0:55 | 1:35 | 3 | 2 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 24 | 18:09 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 2 | 0 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 26 | 17:49 | 0:41 | 1:04 | 5 | 5 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 17 | 17:26 | 1:02 | 1:35 | 0 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 21 | 17:00 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 5 | 1 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 16 | 16:30 | 1:02 | 2:07 | 4 | 4 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 17 | 16:29 | 0:58 | 1:23 | 2 | 4 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 17 | 16:21 | 0:58 | 1:44 | 3 | 1 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 22 | 16:15 | 0:44 | 1:32 | 2 | 0 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 18 | 16:06 | 0:54 | 1:33 | 4 | 0 |
 Nikita NesterovTBL | 19 | 15:40 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 1 | 2 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 18 | 15:23 | 0:51 | 1:26 | 1 | 0 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 19 | 15:06 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 2 | 3 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 16 | 13:46 | 0:52 | 1:17 | 6 | 1 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 16 | 13:42 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 2 | 1 |
 Brian BoyleTBL | 16 | 12:36 | 0:47 | 1:12 | 0 | 0 |
 Erik CondraTBL | 17 | 11:51 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 0 | 0 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 17 | 11:32 | 0:41 | 1:24 | 2 | 3 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 14 | 10:47 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 1 | 0 |
 JT BrownTBL | 14 | 10:30 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 0 | 0 |
 Jamie McGinnBUF | 16 | 10:20 | 0:39 | 1:30 | 2 | 1 |
 David LegwandBUF | 12 | 8:07 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 0 | 3 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 10 | 8:05 | 0:49 | 1:11 | 0 | 2 |