Thu, Nov 5, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Buffalo Sabres 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.
47%
9%
10%
33%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 23:12 | 0.47 | 74.5% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:14 | 0.02 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:36 | 0.00 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:36 | 0.00 | 35.2% | +8.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:03 | 0.17 | 79.1% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:24 | 0.02 | 51.2% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.05 | 53.1% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.19 | 51.9% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:30 | 0.58 | 87.8% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.11 | 81.4% | +14.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:21 | 0.21 | 45.4% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.00 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.03 | 14.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:42 | 0.05 | 43.9% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:36 | 0.15 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:51 | 0.00 | 14.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:32 | 0.05 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:30 | 0.04 | 12.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 2.54 | +1.5 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 21:35 | 0.18 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 21:28 | 0.07 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:27 | 0.05 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:12 | 0.04 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19:41 | 0.55 | 59.4% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 0 | 19:31 | 0.21 | 40.2% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.12 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:09 | 0.17 | 78.5% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.02 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.07 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.00 | 89.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.08 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.00 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:46 | 0.31 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:47 | 0.13 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:20 | 0.24 | 81.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:07 | 0.18 | 87.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:05 | 0.14 | 58.5% | 0.0 |
| – | 10 | 10 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.69 | +0.7 | 39:08 | |
| L | 11 | 8 | 3 | .727 | 1.02 | −2.0 | 20:00 |