Tue, Nov 17, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Dallas Stars 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 76% of the time.
15%
9%
10%
66%
BUF winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 24:17 | 0.10 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 23:40 | 0.10 | 60.3% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:11 | 0.10 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.00 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.18 | 41.9% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.06 | 78.7% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.04 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.20 | 89.4% | +14.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:34 | 0.73 | 45.3% | +5.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:30 | 0.31 | 70.8% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:15 | 0.04 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.00 | 76.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.13 | 74.8% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:14 | 0.08 | 81.7% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:02 | 0.17 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:41 | 0.01 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:22 | 0.11 | 88.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:56 | 0.05 | 61.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 24 | 1 | .960 | 1.17 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 22:09 | 0.27 | 33.4% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:04 | 0.04 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:39 | 0.11 | 46.2% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:03 | 0.17 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:37 | 0.08 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:37 | 0.00 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:24 | 0.06 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.08 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:39 | 0.09 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.15 | 39.3% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:49 | 0.00 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.01 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:42 | 0.00 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:54 | 0.03 | 16.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.01 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:51 | 0.02 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.00 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:45 | 0.02 | 10.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 1.77 | −0.2 | 58:45 |