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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 17, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Dallas Stars 3, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

Dallas Stars

3

Final

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Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 76% of the time.

BUF winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:36Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Niemi
  3. P1 0:51Goal by Nichushkin (Roussel, Eakin)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Ennis, Larsson, McCabe, Eichel · DAL Oduya, Demers, Roussel, Eakin, Nichushkin

  4. P1 3:04Shot by Goligoski, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 4:53Shot by Gorges, saved by Niemi
  6. P1 6:13Shot by Benn, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 6:39Shot by Eakin, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 8:34Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Niemi
  9. P1 9:01Shot by Demers, saved by Ullmark
  10. P1 10:37Reinhart: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, McCabe, Schaller, Reinhart · DAL Spezza, Eaves, Benn, Jokipakka, Janmark

  11. P1 11:39Shot by Benn, saved by Ullmark4v5
  12. P1 11:47Shot by Seguin, saved by Ullmark4v5
  13. P1 12:27Shot by Hemsky, saved by Ullmark4v5
  14. P1 13:01Shot by Reinhart, saved by Niemi
  15. P1 16:00Shot by Roussel, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 16:40Shot by Bogosian, saved by Niemi
  17. P1 18:48Klingberg: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Moulson, O'Reilly, Ristolainen · DAL Goligoski, Roussel, Eakin, Klingberg, Nichushkin

  18. P1 18:53Shot by Ennis, saved by Niemi5v4
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:28Shot by Fiddler, saved by Ullmark5v4
  22. P2 1:41Shot by Spezza, saved by Ullmark
  23. P2 2:56Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Niemi
  24. P2 3:12Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Niemi
  25. P2 4:25Shot by Sceviour, saved by Ullmark
  26. P2 4:33Shot by Sceviour, saved by Ullmark
  27. P2 5:15Shot by Bogosian, saved by Niemi
  28. P2 6:07Shot by Franson, saved by Niemi
  29. P2 6:13Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Niemi
  30. P2 6:49Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Niemi
  31. P2 8:31Shot by Eichel, saved by Niemi
  32. P2 8:48Shot by Eichel, saved by Niemi
  33. P2 9:43Shot by Fiddler, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 10:23Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Niemi
  35. P2 11:25Shot by Sceviour, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 11:52Shot by Eaves, saved by Ullmark
  37. P2 13:57Shot by Eaves, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 14:03Shot by Goligoski, saved by Ullmark
  39. P2 14:42Shot by Spezza, saved by Ullmark
  40. P2 16:12Shot by Demers, saved by Ullmark
  41. P2 16:52Shot by McGinn, saved by Niemi
  42. P2 17:02Shot by Legwand, saved by Niemi
  43. P2 19:12Shot by Klingberg, saved by Ullmark
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:58Shot by Eichel, saved by Niemi
  47. P3 4:34Shot by Benn, saved by Ullmark
  48. P3 5:05Shot by Oduya, saved by Ullmark
  49. P3 7:35Goal by Spezza (Goligoski, Janmark)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, Deslauriers, Pysyk, Schaller · DAL Spezza, Hemsky, Goligoski, Klingberg, Janmark

  50. P3 8:44Shot by Roussel, saved by Ullmark
  51. P3 10:43Shot by Ennis, saved by Niemi
  52. P3 12:37Benn: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart · DAL Sharp, Benn, Benn, Seguin, Jokipakka

  53. P3 12:45Shot by Ennis, saved by Niemi5v4
  54. P3 13:03Goal by O'Reilly (Franson, Ennis)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Franson, Ennis, O'Reilly, Reinhart · DAL Oduya, Fiddler, Sceviour, Demers

  55. P3 13:16Goligoski: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel · DAL Spezza, Eaves, Goligoski, Klingberg, Janmark

  56. P3 14:27Shot by Franson, saved by Niemi5v4
  57. P3 15:40Shot by Goligoski, saved by Ullmark
  58. P3 15:45Shot by Janmark, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 16:08Shot by Demers, saved by Ullmark
  60. P3 17:25Shot by Ennis, saved by Niemi
  61. P3 17:56Shot by Eichel, saved by Niemi
  62. P3 18:25Shot by Gionta, saved by Niemi6v5
  63. P3 18:33Goal by Seguin (Benn, Goligoski)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Ennis, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · DAL Goligoski, Benn, Eakin, Seguin, Klingberg

  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final