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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 17, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Colorado Avalanche 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 62% of the time.

TOR winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:17Shot by Soderberg, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 1:32Shot by Iginla, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 2:15Shot by Johnson, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 2:32Froese: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Polak, Winnik, Froese, Marincin · COL McLeod, Skille, Holden, Barrie, Street

  6. P1 3:21Goal by Komarov (Matthias)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, Matthias, Rielly · COL Iginla, Duchene, Barrie, Grigorenko, MacKinnon

  7. P1 4:39Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 5:03Shot by Kadri, saved by Berra
  9. P1 6:20Shot by Holland, saved by Berra
  10. P1 6:54Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 7:50Shot by Kadri, saved by Berra
  12. P1 8:11Shot by Kadri, saved by Berra
  13. P1 8:35Shot by Froese, saved by Berra
  14. P1 9:48Shot by Comeau, saved by Reimer
  15. P1 10:55Shot by Holden, saved by Reimer
  16. P1 11:12Shot by Duchene, saved by Reimer
  17. P1 11:43Shot by Street, saved by Reimer
  18. P1 12:47Shot by Holland, saved by Berra
  19. P1 13:18Shot by Parenteau, saved by Berra
  20. P1 14:41Shot by Barrie, saved by Reimer
  21. P1 15:02Shot by Street, saved by Reimer
  22. P1 16:43Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Reimer
  23. P1 17:04Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Reimer
  24. P1 18:19Comeau: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Phaneuf, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Holland · COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Comeau, Johnson, Street

  25. P1 18:26Shot by Boyes, saved by Berra5v4
  26. P1 18:37Goal by Parenteau (Holland, Bozak)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Parenteau, Phaneuf, Bozak, Holland · COL Beauchemin, Johnson, MacKinnon, Everberg

  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 5:50Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Reimer
  30. P2 5:58Shot by Barrie, saved by Reimer
  31. P2 7:01Shot by Boyes, saved by Berra
  32. P2 7:22Shot by Gardiner, saved by Berra
  33. P2 7:24Shot by Grabner, saved by Berra
  34. P2 7:34Shot by Soderberg, saved by Reimer
  35. P2 7:43Shot by Iginla, saved by Reimer
  36. P2 7:43Froese: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Winnik, Gardiner, Froese · COL Iginla, Comeau, Soderberg, Holden, Barrie

  37. P2 8:43Shot by Iginla, saved by Reimer4v5
  38. P2 9:17Shot by Rielly, saved by Berra4v5
  39. P2 9:52Shot by Froese, saved by Berra
  40. P2 9:53Comeau: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Winnik, van Riemsdyk, Froese, Rielly · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Holden, Wagner, Martinsen

  41. P2 10:12Goal by Bozak (Boyes, Holland)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Parenteau, Phaneuf, Bozak, Holland · COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Wagner, Everberg

  42. P2 10:19Shot by Street, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 10:31Shot by Skille, saved by Reimer
  44. P2 11:35Shot by Marincin, saved by Berra
  45. P2 12:00Shot by Wagner, saved by Reimer
  46. P2 12:04Goal by Johnson (Duchene, MacKinnon)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Kadri, Rielly · COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, Grigorenko, MacKinnon

  47. P2 13:09Shot by Froese, saved by Berra
  48. P2 13:51Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Berra
  49. P2 15:53Shot by Skille, saved by Reimer
  50. P2 17:27Shot by Iginla, saved by Reimer
  51. P2 18:01Shot by Lupul, saved by Berra
  52. P2 18:43Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Reimer
  53. P2 19:46Shot by Bozak, saved by Berra
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:54Shot by Johnson, saved by Reimer
  57. P3 3:31Shot by Kadri, saved by Berra
  58. P3 4:35Shot by Barrie, saved by Reimer
  59. P3 4:55Shot by Skille, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 6:13Shot by Kadri, saved by Berra
  61. P3 6:25Kadri: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Johnson, Duchene, MacKinnon

  62. P3 6:46Shot by Duchene, saved by Reimer4v5
  63. P3 7:05Shot by Barrie, saved by Reimer4v5
  64. P3 8:26Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Reimer
  65. P3 8:37Shot by Wagner, saved by Reimer
  66. P3 9:51Beauchemin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri · COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Johnson, Grigorenko, MacKinnon

  67. P3 10:39Shot by Kadri, saved by Berra5v4
  68. P3 11:09Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Berra5v4
  69. P3 11:21Goal by Parenteau (Holland, Bozak)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Parenteau, Phaneuf, Bozak, Holland · COL Guenin, Comeau, Skille, Holden

  70. P3 11:31Gormley: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Polak, Winnik, Froese, Marincin · COL McLeod, Barrie, Gormley, Wagner, Martinsen

  71. P3 13:51Shot by Marincin, saved by Pickard
  72. P3 14:38Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Reimer5v6
  73. P3 15:39Shot by Barrie, saved by Reimer5v6
  74. P3 15:46Shot by Martinsen, saved by Reimer5v6
  75. P3 15:50Martinsen: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Winnik, Gardiner, Froese · COL McLeod, Holden, Barrie, Wagner, MacKinnon, Martinsen

  76. P3 15:59Goal by van Riemsdyk (Hunwick, Rielly)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Kadri, Rielly · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Johnson, Wagner

  77. P3 16:58Shot by Grabner, saved by Pickard
  78. P3 18:08Shot by Kadri, saved by Pickard
  79. P3 19:14Marincin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Polak, Winnik, Froese, Marincin · COL Guenin, Soderberg, Gormley, Everberg, Martinsen

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final