Tue, Nov 17, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Colorado Avalanche 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 62% of the time.
54%
9%
10%
27%
TOR winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 24:28 | 0.17 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:35 | 0.11 | 33.0% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:17 | 0.06 | 24.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:00 | 0.37 | 52.2% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:30 | 0.01 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:44 | 0.27 | 54.7% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:14 | 0.02 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:09 | 0.07 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.01 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:53 | 0.42 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:41 | 0.11 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.01 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.11 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.02 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:25 | 0.03 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:28 | 0.08 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:41 | 0.12 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:29 | 0.10 | 27.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 1.77 | −2.2 | 51:42 | |
| – | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0.30 | −0.7 | 6:51 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:17 | 0.00 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 21:15 | 0.00 | 55.3% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:20 | 0.04 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.09 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:36 | 0.03 | 48.9% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:27 | 0.16 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 17:18 | 0.61 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.07 | 40.5% | +19.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.10 | 59.9% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.00 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.13 | 55.8% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.74 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.06 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14:33 | 0.41 | 43.8% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.06 | 48.5% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:59 | 0.08 | 94.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:02 | 0.07 | 90.0% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:39 | 0.10 | 68.2% | +5.1 |
| W | 35 | 34 | 1 | .971 | 2.08 | +1.1 | 59:31 |